Exit negotiations

Brexit’s institutional irony: how the EU has successfully outflanked the UK

The EU has been popularly derided as ineffectual, but it has shown remarkable co-ordination and unity in its Brexit negotiations with the UK. Dermot Hodson (Birkbeck College) and John Peterson (University of Edinburgh) explain how Michel Barnier has outflanked the UK, with both the Commission and the Council presenting a united front.

Before British voters went to the polls in June 2016, the institutions […]

Chequers produces the best and most elaborate fudge available

Does the text the cabinet agreed at Chequers amount to a soft Brexit or a soft-ish Brexit? Neither, says Jim Gallagher (Centre on Constitutional Change): it is yet another fudge that defers a decision on the final shape of the deal into the transitional period, and beyond.

 

“What I tell you three times is true”
Lewis Carroll

After a long day at Chequers, Theresa May’s […]

A soft Brexit is a compromise that would please no one

The outcome of most negotiations is a compromise in which all sides cede some ground. But Iain Begg (LSE) argues that ‘soft’ Brexit cannot offer an enduring compromise between ‘Brexiteers’ and ‘Remainers’ because both will be so uncomfortable with it.

Split the difference. In most negotiations it is the three-word formula most likely to be adduced, obliging both sides to […]

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    Could the Norway model work for Britain? Twelve points to help you decide

Could the Norway model work for Britain? Twelve points to help you decide

While considering the EU Withdrawal Bill, the Lords passed an amendment to require the Commons to vote on remaining in the European Economic Area, bringing the possibility of a ‘Norway model’ for the UK back on the agenda. John Erik Fossum and Hans Petter Graver explain how this works and how it has affected Norway’s relationship with the EU.

While Norway has […]

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    Britain will be scrambling hard to put Galileo at the centre of a new security partnership

Britain will be scrambling hard to put Galileo at the centre of a new security partnership

Galileo, a niche satellite technology programme, has escalated to the top of the Brexit political agenda as  Britain and the EU wrangle over access to it. There is a thrilling tension as the two have become locked in an inter-governmental conflict overhung by industrial threats, against a backdrop of science-fiction-like technologies. Galileo symbolises the power of space communications for economic […]

Outside the Single Market, what kind of deal can Britain’s services sector hope for?

Professional and business services account for more than a tenth of the UK economy. Leaving the single market means it will no longer enjoy the passporting rights that give the financial sector smooth access to EU markets. John Catalfamo and Laura Arts (LSE) look at the limited options available to Theresa May as she tries to reconcile Brexiters’ demands for regulatory autonomy with […]

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    Britain continues to make a mess of Brexit, but the EU has mishandled it too

Britain continues to make a mess of Brexit, but the EU has mishandled it too

Britain continues to make a mess of Brexit, but the EU’s record also needs to be put under the spotlight. In this post, Tim Oliver (EUI/LSE) looks at what the EU has been accused of getting wrong in how it has handled the practical challenges of Brexit.

Brexit can easily be seen as a long list of mistakes on the part of the United Kingdom. […]

In 1955, Britain had the chance to shape the future EU. It flunked it

Negotiating with the EU was never going to be successful, because the EU’s interest is in protecting the advantages its members enjoy. In their book How to Lose a Referendum: the definitive story of why the UK voted for Brexit, Paul Goldsmith (left) and Jason Farrell explain why the failure of British politicians to explain why the compromises of EU […]

Kicking the bucket down the road to Norway: EEA is back

Many months after it was ruled out by the government, membership of the European Economic Area (the ‘Norway option’) is being mooted once again. Given Theresa May’s procrastination and the obstacle of the Northern Ireland border, writes Jim Gallagher (Centre on Constitutional Change), it may be that – over time – what is effectively continued economic but not political union is broadly acceptable […]

On Brexit, Transition, Customs Partnership and Max Fac – a drama in four acts

The Brexit process has had its share of surprising twists and turns. But even seasoned observers were taken by surprise recently when the Sun reported: Brexiteers were urging Theresa May to extend the transition period. Experts have long agreed that the transition period currently provided for in the Withdrawal Agreement is unlikely to be long enough to successfully negotiate a […]