Foreign policy

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    Trump will present an enormous challenge for the UK-US ‘Special Relationship’

Trump will present an enormous challenge for the UK-US ‘Special Relationship’

Donald Trump’s victory will pose uncomfortable questions for Britain about the future of the UK-US relationship. Tim Oliver writes that despite similarities in Brexit and the politics of Trump’s rise, and the Lazarus quality of the relationship to return to life after being pronounced dead, Trump presents so many unknowns that the core of the relationship could be strained […]

UK security will both gain and suffer from Brexit. The EU will only lose

Although the EU was not, in the beginning, a security mechanism, states have increasingly co-operated on security, foreign policy and defence. Their endeavours have had mixed results that at times have been seen as a drag on Britain’s autonomy. What practical effect will Brexit have on the way Britain collects intelligence, defends itself and deals with China and Russia? Philip HJ […]

The US won’t help Britain in its negotiations with the EU

The special relationship between the United States and the United Kingdom cannot be taken for granted. Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska and Rem Korteweg argue, in the latest issue of the CER Insight, that in spite of its long history the famous UK-US alliance may not prove very useful during Brexit. It is all but certain that Washington will not aid London in its exit negotiations with […]

Why Britain cannot bank on India for post-Brexit business

The UK’s freedom to directly negotiate its economic relations with emerging economies, including India, has been one of the key arguments of Brexiters. But to think that this would be an easy task in practice would be to ignore India’s economic, political, and other domestic considerations, explains Nikita Sud.
We used to run the biggest empire the world has ever […]

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    The EU’s new defence plans don’t amount to an army – so the UK can’t veto them

The EU’s new defence plans don’t amount to an army – so the UK can’t veto them

Is the EU planning to create an army? If so, can and should the UK veto it – up until Brexit? The issue has been much debated in recent days. But this is the classic example of a debate that has created much heat but shed little light. Steve Peers clears up these misunderstandings. He argues the recently announced plans do […]

September 28th, 2016|Featured, Foreign policy|1 Comment|
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    The UK’s dilemma: a good economic result, or a political one

The UK’s dilemma: a good economic result, or a political one

There are many transitional post-Brexit scenarios currently in circulation. Each available option comes with a tradeoff : the ‘Norway’, the “Switzerland”,and the “bespoke-UK” agreement. The UK, therefore,  faces a stark choice – a solution that works economically for the business community, or one that works politically for the Leavers, says Sebastian Remøy. It can’t easily have both.

The UK faces some […]

Don’t let the Hinkley C delay sour Sino-British relations post-Brexit

The shock of the UK’s vote to leave the EU stunned China. The new PM, Theresa May, delayed approval of the Hinkley Point C nuclear project – perplexing Beijing and unexpectedly aggravating UK-China relations. Yu Jie (Cherry) says Chinese decision-makers regard post-Brexit relations  as a test of mutual trust of the so-called “golden era” of Sino-Britain relations.

In ancient Chinese philosophy, a crisis is synonymous […]

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    Africa stands to benefit from new trade deals and, possibly, from Brexit

Africa stands to benefit from new trade deals and, possibly, from Brexit

Brexit may have significant and positive trade implications for Africa. Renewed emphasis on economic integration through regional trade blocs could support economic growth, writes Sarah Logan.

The last few months have seen some significant developments for African trade and integration. These advances come at a crucial time for African countries, which have been particularly hard hit by the slump in commodity prices, China’s economic downturn, and […]

September 16th, 2016|Featured, Foreign policy|0 Comments|

There can be no “special deal” with the United Kingdom

What should the EU’s priorities be in negotiations with the UK over Brexit? Paul De Grauwe writes that the EU should offer the UK two options: either following a Norwegian style model, or leaving entirely and negotiating a free trade agreement in the same way as other nations such as the United States and Canada. He argues that offering any concessions […]

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    Brexit means Brexit – but the Norway model is clearly the least worst option

Brexit means Brexit – but the Norway model is clearly the least worst option

There has been no formal statement by Theresa May’s government on when Article 50, which initiates the process for the UK leaving the EU, will be triggered. Gavin Barrett argues that although delaying the process will prolong market uncertainty, Theresa May may be wise to hold off until early 2017, as once Article 50 is invoked much of the UK’s […]