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Ultimately, public opinion is unlikely to tolerate a hard Brexit

Given the high costs associated with a hard Brexit, argues Dennis Shen (Scope Ratings), it is unlikely to happen. The EU27 see no advantage in significant concessions and the challenge of maintaining public support for a hard Brexit is considerable. A transition period concluding in a soft Brexit – or even ‘Breversal’ – are the most likely outcomes.

The UK government’s objective remains a […]

What young Britons really think about Brexit and their prospects outside the EU

In the immediate aftermath of the EU referendum, much was made of how devastated young people were by the result. A survey by Lord Ashcroft suggested that over 70% of young people aged 18-24 voted Remain, while almost 60% of over 55s voted to Leave. In her ongoing research, Avril Keating (UCL) found that this view is too simplistic: in practice, young people’s […]

Brexit has led to falling real wages in the UK

The UK has not yet left the European Union and the long-term economic effects of Brexit remain unknown. However, one of the trends which has attracted attention so far is a drop in real wages for UK workers, which many economists have put down to the immediate depreciation of the pound after the referendum and a subsequent rise in […]

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    Juncker, Euroscepticism and the guinea pig: how other Europeans assess the dangers of leaving the EU

Juncker, Euroscepticism and the guinea pig: how other Europeans assess the dangers of leaving the EU

Public support for the EU rose after the referendum, while Jean-Claude Juncker has painted a starry picture of the Union’s prospects without Britain. In effect, writes Catherine E De Vries (University of Essex), the UK is a guinea pig for Eurosceptics on the rest of the continent. Consequently, national leaders have every incentive to make Brexit as arduous as […]

Can EU actors keep using common law after Brexit?

English common law is the choice of law for financial contracts, even for parties in EU members with civil law systems. This creates a lucrative legal sector in the UK, but Brexit could make UK court decisions difficult to enforce in the EU, say Uuriintuya Baatsaikhan and Dirk Schoenmaker. Parties will be able to continue using English common law after Brexit, […]

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    There May be trouble ahead: post-EU referendum instability will keep afflicting the UK

There May be trouble ahead: post-EU referendum instability will keep afflicting the UK

In advance of the election, Theresa May claimed that a resounding victory would enhance her bargaining position in the coming negotiations with the EU. Andrew Blick (King’s College London and the Federal Trust) has long argued that the size of the UK  government majority would not be a preeminent concern for the EU, and would not in itself lead to their […]

Acrimonious and divisive: the role the media played in Brexit

Britain’s media is highly partisan, and this was more apparent than ever in the run-up to the EU referendum. In this extract from a report on media coverage of the campaign, Martin Moore (left) and Gordon Ramsay explain how the Leave campaign styled Remain’s warnings about the effects of Brexit as ‘Project Fear’, accusing ‘experts’ arguing for the status quo of self-interest […]

Off the top of your head: LSE vox pop on Brexit

LSESU Politics and Forum Society have asked LSE students what they think about Brexit. How has the government handled it so far? How has the vote affected student’s lives? Should Scotland become independent as a result? Should there be a second EU Referendum?

LSESU Politics & Forum is LSESU’s official politics society. The society was created by merging the lsesu forum (LSESU’s Best New […]

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    Not punishment or revenge, but stone-cold sober calculations: the EU will drive a hard bargain

Not punishment or revenge, but stone-cold sober calculations: the EU will drive a hard bargain

Having triggered Article 50 of the EU Treaty, the British government officially kicked off the Brexit negotiations on March 29. Until today, both parties pretended not to give in and instead promised a tough negotiation strategy. Game theory offers one way of testing the reliability of these claims and allowing the negotiations to be seen for what they […]

Post-Brexit trade can thrive under WTO rules

Prime Minster Theresa May gave a speech on 17 January in which she provided further information on the arrangements for Brexit. After Brexit, the UK will no longer be in the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice (ECJ). The UK will, once again, take full control of its own laws and the Single Market altogether. The UK will […]