Hard Brexit, Soft Brexit, No Brexit?

What will Brexit mean for the relationship between the UK, Germany and the EU? With Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, David McAllister, John Ryan and Michael Cox.

October 19th, 2017||0 Comments|

Brussels may have agreed to accelerate Brexit negotiations – but Merkel’s priorities are elsewhere

At her meetings in Brussels this week, Theresa May and the European Commission agreed to ‘accelerate’ the stalled Brexit negotiations. But, as John Ryan (LSE) writes, after a bruising election result Angela Merkel will be preoccupied with coalition talks until Christmas. The UK should not expect major concessions from Germany, which knows its principal interest is in preserving the Single Market.

The […]

A German ‘Jamaica’ coalition will hinder Eurozone reform, but make little difference to Brexit

Angela Merkel cannot govern alone. John Ryan (LSE) explores the difficult task she faces in pulling together a coalition, which will probably be a three-way affair between the CDU/CSU, the Greens and the FDP – a so-called ‘Jamaica’ coalition. Emmanuel Macron’s plans to reform the Eurozone are likely to prove a flashpoint. But the arrival of Merkel’s governing […]

Can EU actors keep using common law after Brexit?

English common law is the choice of law for financial contracts, even for parties in EU members with civil law systems. This creates a lucrative legal sector in the UK, but Brexit could make UK court decisions difficult to enforce in the EU, say Uuriintuya Baatsaikhan and Dirk Schoenmaker. Parties will be able to continue using English common law after Brexit, […]

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    Brexit may herald a serious threat to Germany: its negotiating position will reflect that

Brexit may herald a serious threat to Germany: its negotiating position will reflect that

While Germany would prefer a “soft Brexit”, in which economic repercussions can be staved off by business flexibility, Britain’s exit from the EU creates new opportunities for its renewal. At the same time, should Brexit be the first step toward the disintegration of the EU, Germany will look back to June 2016 as the beginning of its worst nightmare: the […]

What does Germany think of Theresa May’s hard Brexit?

What was the German reaction to Theresa May’s Lancaster House speech? Inez von Weitershausen says the responses ranged from anger and disappointment to more hopeful calls for a constructive relationship with the UK following Brexit.

Those commentators suggesting that Germany’s reaction to Theresa May’s Lancaster House speech is one of Schadenfreude discard one crucial fact: the government of Angela Merkel has, along […]

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    Negotiating with the rest of the EU – and beyond: eight big challenges

Negotiating with the rest of the EU – and beyond: eight big challenges

As a process, Brexit reaches beyond the UK to involve multiple states, decision makers and outlooks. This has led to a number of attempts to understand how the remaining EU (rEU) views Brexit, or – before it – the UK-EU renegotiation. Tim Oliver outlines the eight big challenges facing negotiators.

Some reviews try to cover all 27  member states. Others focus […]

How ‘the story’ subsumed ‘The Vote’: we have no meaningful direction about the terms of Brexit

What did the 52% who voted to leave the EU want? In the first part of a lecture delivered at the Goethe University in Frankfurt, David Kershaw argues that pro-Brexit politicians and media have presumed to interpret the vote as a mandate to ensure Brexit results in the controls on free movement which are likely to result in a hard […]

What’s Germany really thinking? Vince Cable, Simon Hix and Jeromin Zettelmeyer discuss Brexit

German economic policy advisor Jeromin Zettelmeyer (far left) joined the LSE’s Simon Hix (near left) and former UK business secretary Vince Cable on 7 September to discuss how Germany plans to negotiate Brexit. How much will Angela Merkel – herself under domestic pressure – be prepared to concede to keep the UK in the Single Market (assuming Britain wants to do so)? What […]

Germany and the EU can’t afford to drive a hard bargain over Brexit

Many assume the EU will take a punitive stance towards Brexit negotiations in an effort to deter Eurosceptic parties. But Gunnar Beck argues that Germany’s negotiating position is weaker than most people realise – largely thanks to Angela Merkel’s disguise of the true cost of the eurozone bailout. Italy, too, is in no position to put its exports at […]