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    Third-way à la française: What do Macron’s reforms involve and how likely are they to succeed?

Third-way à la française: What do Macron’s reforms involve and how likely are they to succeed?

Now that Emmanuel Macron has won a large majority in the French parliament, there are few obstacles preventing him from implementing his ambitious reform agenda. But what exactly will Macron’s reforms involve and are they likely to be successful? Philip Rathgeb and Fabio Wolkenstein draw a parallel between Macron’s agenda and the ‘Third Way’ politics of Gerhard Schröder. But […]

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    Macron won a huge majority, but he is supported by only one in five voters

Macron won a huge majority, but he is supported by only one in five voters

Emmanuel Macron’s La République En Marche (LREM) completed their victory of the French legislative elections on 18 June, although the size of the majority was not as large as had been predicted following the first round of voting a week earlier. Nick Parsons highlights that although Macron can now claim legitimacy to push forward with a number of ambitious reforms, […]

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    Prelude to a crisis? Why France has an abstention problem in legislative elections

Prelude to a crisis? Why France has an abstention problem in legislative elections

Emmanuel Macron’s La République en marche (LREM) are set to win a large majority of seats in the second round of the French legislative elections on 18 June. But perhaps the biggest story from the first round was the low turnout, with abstentions passing the 50 per cent mark. Alexandros Alexandropoulos suggests that declining turnout in French legislative elections […]

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    Macron looks set for a huge majority, but does he have popular support?

Macron looks set for a huge majority, but does he have popular support?

Emmanuel Macron’s La République En Marche (LREM) are set to win a large majority in the French parliament following the first round of legislative elections on 11 June. Nick Parsons suggests that while few can question Macron’s victory, the low turnout in the election also raises questions about the health of French democracy. Far-reaching reforms may ultimately be initiated […]

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    Campaign leaks and the far-right: Who influenced #Macronleaks on Twitter?

Campaign leaks and the far-right: Who influenced #Macronleaks on Twitter?

Shortly before the French presidential election, a large number of emails from Emmanuel Macron’s campaign were leaked online. The details of the leak quickly spread on social media, but mainstream news organisations in France were prohibited from publishing the material. Wasim Ahmed and Joseph Downing present an analysis of how the leak spread and what lessons it can provide for future campaign […]

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What will President Macron mean for UK universities?

Emmanuel Macron’s victory in the French presidential election will have a significant impact on European politics across a wide number of policy areas. Anne Corbett assesses what Macron’s presidency could mean for higher education in the UK and for bilateral relations between the UK and France.

Oxford, Corpus Christi college. Credits: Diliff (CC BY-SA 3.0)
On 21 February this year, the […]

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    Understanding the campaign dynamics of the French presidential election

Understanding the campaign dynamics of the French presidential election

Now that the dust has settled on Emmanuel Macron’s victory in the French presidential election, what lessons can be derived from the campaign? Thomas Vitiello assesses both rounds of the election, highlighting the key campaign dynamics that ultimately shaped the result.

Credit: French Embassy in the United States (CC BY SA 2.0)
In French politics, there is a saying that “in […]

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We haven’t heard the last of the Le Pens

Marine Le Pen secured a far higher share of the vote in the second round of the French presidential election than her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, managed in 2002. But as David Lees writes, Marine may soon come under pressure from within her own party, with many of her followers sceptical about the nature of her campaign.

Emmanuel Macron won […]

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    Macron’s victory: A historic break with the past, or simply the postponement of real change?

Macron’s victory: A historic break with the past, or simply the postponement of real change?

Emmanuel Macron’s En Marche! movement will attempt to win a majority in the French legislative elections in June, but if he fails to achieve this, his power to implement substantial policy changes may be limited. Nick Parsons writes that winning the presidency was a relatively easy task in comparison to what he will face in June, and that Marine Le […]

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What Macron’s victory means for Brexit

As one of the EU’s most powerful states, France will have a large say over the final outcome of the Brexit negotiations. Andrew Glencross assesses how Emmanuel Macron’s victory in the French presidential elections will impact on the process. Macron could pursue a tougher line on Brexit than his predecessor, while the current border arrangements between the UK and […]

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    Macron has won the presidency – now he must turn his attention to the ‘third round’ in June

Macron has won the presidency – now he must turn his attention to the ‘third round’ in June

Emmanuel Macron is the new President of France, but having won the presidency, he now faces the daunting task of securing a majority in the country’s upcoming legislative elections. Marta Lorimer writes that although early opinion polling has been encouraging for Macron’s ‘En Marche!’ movement, the campaign will present a number of major challenges.

French voters will go back to the […]

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    France reaction: Macron wins, but he will lead a divided country

France reaction: Macron wins, but he will lead a divided country

Emmanuel Macron has won the French presidential election, with projections giving him a vote share exceeding 65%. Alexandros Alexandropoulos argues that regardless of Macron’s victory, the problems affecting the country’s economy and society mean that France is heading for a period of division.

Inside a train on the Paris Metro, I recently heard a conversation that illustrates the dilemma that has […]

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    New election prediction: Macron will win, but the race will be closer than opinion polls suggest

New election prediction: Macron will win, but the race will be closer than opinion polls suggest

Opinion polls suggest Emmanuel Macron will win the second round of the French presidential election, but given the surprise results in the UK’s Brexit referendum and the 2016 US presidential election, how certain can we be of the result? Outlining findings from a new prediction model, Vuk Vukovic and Ilona Lahdelma discuss the precision of French pollsters in calling the first […]

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    How Emmanuel Macron could still lose the French presidential election

How Emmanuel Macron could still lose the French presidential election

Emmanuel Macron has a substantial lead in opinion polls ahead of the second round of the French presidential election. But could Marine Le Pen still gather enough support to claim victory on 7 May? Elise M. Dermineur outlines three circumstances that could damage Macron’s campaign, noting that while these are unlikely to see Le Pen win the election, they […]

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    Three ways in which the French presidential election reflects Western European trends

Three ways in which the French presidential election reflects Western European trends

The French presidential election has already produced high drama, with Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen ultimately advancing to the second round on 7 May. But were their parallels with the first round of voting and developments in other European countries? Caterina Froio draws together three key ways in which the election has reflected Western European trends, but argues that […]

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Will the ‘front républicain’ carry Macron to power?

The so called ‘front républicain’ refers to a strategy by France’s mainstream parties to ally against far-right politicians when electoral circumstances demand it. But with both of the two major parties in France failing to see their presidential candidates qualify for the second round, is this approach still viable? Joshua Forstenzer traces the history of the front républicain, writing that […]

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In and out: Emmanuel Macron’s anti-populist populism

Emmanuel Macron has cultivated an image as a political outsider, but some of his critics accuse him of being more closely integrated with the French establishment than he claims. Fabio Bordignon characterises Macron’s candidacy as ‘anti-populist populism’, suggesting that despite appealing to the political centre and being staunchly pro-EU, Macron has adopted a form of ‘soft populism’ to capitalise […]

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    Macron demonstrates that liberalism is still alive and well in Europe

Macron demonstrates that liberalism is still alive and well in Europe

When French voters go back to the polls for the second round of the presidential election on 7 May, they will be choosing between two candidates – Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron – with radically different visions for the country. Christian Lequesne writes that the election has underlined the cleavage that exists in French society between those who believe […]

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    Projecting vote transfers in the second round of the French presidential election

Projecting vote transfers in the second round of the French presidential election

Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron have advanced to the second round of the French presidential election, but which candidate will supporters of losing candidates such as François Fillon, Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Benoît Hamon back in the run-off vote? Using updated polling, Alexandre Afonso illustrates where the votes are likely to go, with Emmanuel Macron standing to benefit most […]

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    Experts react: Macron and Le Pen advance to the run-off in the French presidential election

Experts react: Macron and Le Pen advance to the run-off in the French presidential election

France held the first round of its presidential election on 23 April, with Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen making it to the second round. The centrist Macron is projected to have won 23.8 percent of the vote, while the Front National’s leader Le Pen came second with 21.5 percent. For the first time since the 1970s, no candidate from […]

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