Thomas Sampson

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    Five important questions the UK government’s Brexit customs plan fails to answer

Five important questions the UK government’s Brexit customs plan fails to answer

The UK government’s recent paper on future customs arrangements sets out its objectives for how trade with the EU will be governed following Brexit. Thomas Sampson argues that the proposal is incomplete and leaves five key questions about the UK’s position unanswered.

The most welcome aspect of the government’s policy paper on future customs arrangements is its acknowledgement of the desirability of a transition agreement […]

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Four principles for the UK’s Brexit trade negotiations

The meaning of Brexit is yet to become clear. But if Brexit implies leaving the customs union of the European Union, Thomas Sampson looks at what it might mean for the UK to pursue its own trade policy for the first time since joining the European Community in 1973.

An independent trade policy presents both challenges and opportunities. The most important […]

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    What kind of relationship with the EU is best for the UK economy post-Brexit?

What kind of relationship with the EU is best for the UK economy post-Brexit?

The UK has voted to leave the EU, but not in favour of any specific alternative to EU membership. This poses a challenge for UK policy makers and the new Prime Minister. What should the UK’s relations with the EU be, following Brexit? The UK should join the EEA and remain part of the single market, write Swati Dhingra […]

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    The ‘Britain Alone’ scenario: how Economists for Brexit defy the laws of gravity

The ‘Britain Alone’ scenario: how Economists for Brexit defy the laws of gravity

There is a degree of consensus among economists that a Brexit will make us worse off. The exception is recent work by Economists for Brexit. Their forecast of income gains from Brexit contrasts with all other economic analysis, explain Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen.

The possibility of the UK leaving the European Union (EU) has […]

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    Should the UK stay or go? The economic consequences of Britain leaving the EU

Should the UK stay or go? The economic consequences of Britain leaving the EU

How would a British exit from the EU affect the UK’s economy? Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Thomas Sampson outline the economic consequences of a Brexit, writing that reduced integration with EU countries is likely to cost the UK economy far more than is gained from lower contributions to the EU budget.

The direction of UK trade policy with its biggest trade […]

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    Leaving the European Union would likely have a significant negative impact on the UK’s economy

Leaving the European Union would likely have a significant negative impact on the UK’s economy

How would leaving the EU affect the UK’s economy? Gianmarco Ottaviano, João Paulo Pessoa, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen outline findings from a new report on the economic consequences of a ‘Brexit’. They indicate that if the UK left the European Union there would likely be a significant negative impact on the economy, with the most important cost emerging […]

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