Tim Bale

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    Friends with benefits? Nine things worth knowing about the links between centre-left parties and trade unions

Friends with benefits? Nine things worth knowing about the links between centre-left parties and trade unions

Many European parties have a formal or informal relationship with trade unions. While such alliances can often prove beneficial for parties, they can also generate disagreement between unions and politicians, as events in the UK’s Labour Party have often illustrated. Based on a new study, Tim Bale outlines nine key points for understanding the relationship between centre-left parties and unions.

A […]

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The UK’s snap election makes a softer Brexit more likely

Theresa May has announced plans to call a UK general election for 8 June. Tim Bale writes that there is little doubt about the result, with the Conservatives a long distance ahead of Labour in the polls. But if the election does deliver a large majority for May, it could make a ‘softer Brexit’ far more likely as she will be […]

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Truth to tell: populism and the immigration debate

The populist surge that helped propel Brexit isn’t going to help the UK take control of its borders, writes Tim Bale. Neither Labour nor the Conservatives have been honest with voters about immigration policy, and that shows little signs of changing after a hard Brexit. The gap between rhetoric and reality has given politicians the opportunity to indulge in populist promises. […]

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Explaining the pro-Corbyn surge in Labour’s membership

In the course of a year and a half, Labour Party membership has increased massively. The number of full members has moved from 190,000 in May 2015 to 515,000 in July 2016 – an influx of 325,000 new members. Monica Poletti, Tim Bale and Paul Webb explore how we can explain the pro-Corbyn surge in this growth.
As part of our ESRC-funded […]

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    David Cameron risks losing his grassroots support if his EU plan fails

David Cameron risks losing his grassroots support if his EU plan fails

Internal disagreements within the Conservative Party over the campaign rules and timing of the UK’s EU referendum have occurred in recent weeks, with 27 Conservative MPs voting against the government in favour of an amendment to the EU Referendum Bill, which was nevertheless defeated in a vote in parliament on 16 June. Paul Webb and Tim Bale write on […]

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    How do you solve a problem like… Nigel? What Austria can teach the Conservatives about dealing with UKIP

How do you solve a problem like… Nigel? What Austria can teach the Conservatives about dealing with UKIP

The United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) gained the largest vote share and seat allocation in the UK’s European Parliament elections. Tim Bale writes that while UKIP’s strong polling ratings prior to the election had already prompted David Cameron’s Conservative Party to take a harder line on immigration and the EU, it would be a mistake to respond to UKIP’s […]

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May 28th, 2014|Tim Bale|0 Comments|
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    David Cameron will face challenges both at home and abroad after the votes are counted in the European Parliament elections

David Cameron will face challenges both at home and abroad after the votes are counted in the European Parliament elections

The UK’s Conservative Party does not sit with other mainstream centre-right parties in the European Parliament as a member of the European People’s Party, but instead sits in a smaller group, the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR). Tim Bale assesses some of the challenges the party might face after the European Parliament elections on 22-25 May. He notes that with […]

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The CDU/CSU’s election victory is in stark contrast to the experiences of other Christian Democratic parties across Europe.

On Sunday, Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU won 41.5 per cent of the vote in Germany’s federal election, falling just short of an absolute majority of seats in the Bundestag. Tim Bale and André Krouwel note that the success of Germany’s Christian Democrats is at odds with their sister parties across Western Europe. The strength of Merkel’s leadership, and the fact that […]

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Poor economic performance may leave the UK with no choice but to join the euro if it wishes to remain in the EU.

In light of the Eurozone crisis, many commentators in the UK maintain that the Eurozone and the EU are doomed. Recalling the UK’s desire to remain apart from embryonic attempts towards European integration in the 1950s, Tim Bale argues that, should the euro survive, the UK may be unable to resist further integration. With a relatively poor outlook for growth […]

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David Cameron’s EU referendum pledge may not guarantee a Conservative victory in the next UK general election

As part of our collaborative project exploring contemporary Euroscepticism, Tim Bale offers an analysis of recent European events and their implications for both the UK political scene and the internal politics of the Conservative party.  Conservatives clearly care an awful lot – some would say too much – about Europe. But most of them care even more about winning elections. […]

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David Cameron should not bow to Eurosceptic pressures from his own party to replace David Lidington as Minister for Europe.

In the UK there is growing support within the Conservative Party for David Cameron to appoint a new Minister for Europe. Tim Bale assesses why the incumbent minister, David Lidington, is so unpalatable to Conservative MPs, noting that his moderation and pragmatism work against him with Tory Eurosceptics, who not only misunderstand the nature of the EU’s impact on member […]

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Britain leaving the EU is now a serious possibility

Last December UK Prime Minister, David Cameron, refused to sign the UK up to the EU’s Fiscal Compact Treaty, in a move, at least in part, aimed at assuaging the Conservative party’s Eurosceptic wing. Tim Bale argues that the Conservatives may find it very difficult to avoid promising an in/out referendum at the next election, and that the Labour Party […]

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