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    Despite winning Turkey’s presidential election, Erdoğan could find himself marginalised by the presidency’s limited powers

Despite winning Turkey’s presidential election, Erdoğan could find himself marginalised by the presidency’s limited powers

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan won Turkey’s presidential election on 10 August, becoming the first directly elected President in the country’s history. Firat Cengiz writes that while Erdoğan’s ultimate aim is to establish a presidential system in Turkey, his strategy rests on securing an increase in support for his ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) at the 2015 parliamentary elections. She […]

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    Erdoğan is in the process of establishing a presidential political system in Turkey based on Islamic rather than secular principles

Erdoğan is in the process of establishing a presidential political system in Turkey based on Islamic rather than secular principles

On 10 August, Turkey’s Prime Minister, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, won the country’s presidential election, becoming the first directly elected President in Turkey’s history. Soli Özel assesses Erdoğan’s victory and what it means for the country’s future. He writes that the result is a step toward the creation of a new presidential political system within Turkey, but that this will […]

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    The Swedish government is set to lose the 2014 general election despite the country’s economic performance

The Swedish government is set to lose the 2014 general election despite the country’s economic performance

Sweden will hold a general election on 14 September. With one month to go until the vote, Anders Sundell presents two distinct forecasting models on the results: one based on the country’s economic performance and one based on opinion polling data. The results show that if the vote reflected Sweden’s economic performance, it would be expected that Fredrik Reinfeldt’s […]

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    The fall of Bulgaria’s government provides an opportunity to overcome the country’s persistent corruption problem

The fall of Bulgaria’s government provides an opportunity to overcome the country’s persistent corruption problem

The Bulgarian parliament was dissolved on 6 August, with new elections being called for 5 October. As Aneta Spendzharova writes, one of the key precipitating factors in the Bulgarian government’s collapse was a scandal relating to one of the country’s largest banks. She argues that the banking crisis is indicative of wider corruption issues within Bulgaria and that the […]

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    The Spanish government must find a positive message for Catalonia if it is to reduce support for Catalan independence

The Spanish government must find a positive message for Catalonia if it is to reduce support for Catalan independence

In April, the Spanish parliament rejected a request by Catalan authorities to hold a referendum on Catalonia’s independence from Spain, which had been proposed for November this year. Diego Muro and Martijn Vlaskamp argue that the Spanish government requires a more positive message for the people of Catalonia if it is to reduce public support for independence.

The Catalan secessionist […]

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    Having won Slovenia’s elections, political newcomer Miro Cerar will have to make tough decisions if he is to bring stability to a new government

Having won Slovenia’s elections, political newcomer Miro Cerar will have to make tough decisions if he is to bring stability to a new government

Slovenia held parliamentary elections on 13 July. Alenka Krašovec and Tim Haughton assess the results of the election, which saw a newly formed party led by Miro Cerar win the largest share of the vote. They write that the key challenge for Cerar will be to retain his new party’s appeal while making the tough decisions necessary to solve […]

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