Elections, party politics and government across Europe

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    Austria’s presidential election: Van der Bellen has won, but there is little reason for complacency

Austria’s presidential election: Van der Bellen has won, but there is little reason for complacency

On 4 December, Alexander van der Bellen won Austria’s presidential election, defeating Norbert Hofer of the right-wing Freedom Party of Austria. Fabio Wolkenstein assesses the result, writing that although the populist right may be defeated for now, returning to ‘politics as usual’ would be a serious mistake for the country’s mainstream politicians.

Alexander van der Bellen won the re-run of […]

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    François Fillon’s nomination was the worst case scenario for Marine Le Pen

François Fillon’s nomination was the worst case scenario for Marine Le Pen

Should François Fillon face off against Marine Le Pen in the second round of the 2017 French presidential election, which candidate would have the edge? John Gaffney assesses the key policy differences between the two candidates, arguing that Fillon’s victory in the French centre-right’s primary was probably the worst possible outcome for Le Pen.

It has been the received view […]

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    Having won the French centre-right’s primary, does François Fillon have what it takes to beat Marine Le Pen?

Having won the French centre-right’s primary, does François Fillon have what it takes to beat Marine Le Pen?

François Fillon has been selected as the French centre-right’s candidate for the 2017 presidential election. But with the nomination secured, what challenges lie ahead? Marta Lorimer suggests that although Fillon’s programme proved popular with voters in the primary, he may need to broaden its appeal to have similar success in the presidential election itself.

On 27 November, the two-month race […]

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    Fillon vs Juppé: What policy differences are there between the French centre-right’s candidates?

Fillon vs Juppé: What policy differences are there between the French centre-right’s candidates?

In the first round of the primary to select the French centre-right’s candidate for the 2017 presidential election, François Fillon unexpectedly came out in first place, ahead of favourite Alain Juppé, and former President Nicolas Sarkozy, who was subsequently eliminated. Françoise Boucek assesses the policy differences between Juppé and Fillon ahead of the second round due to be held […]

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Explaining the pro-Corbyn surge in Labour’s membership

In the course of a year and a half, Labour Party membership has increased massively. The number of full members has moved from 190,000 in May 2015 to 515,000 in July 2016 – an influx of 325,000 new members. Monica Poletti, Tim Bale and Paul Webb explore how we can explain the pro-Corbyn surge in this growth.
As part of our ESRC-funded […]

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    Igor Dodon’s election: A victory for Moldova’s oligarchs?

Igor Dodon’s election: A victory for Moldova’s oligarchs?

The Moldovan presidential election, which took place on 13 November, was framed as a straight choice between pro-Russian and pro-European candidates. The subsequent victory of Igor Dodon has been viewed as marking the end of Moldova’s Europeanisation and a potential return to Moscow’s sphere of influence, some seven years after the ‘Twitter Revolution’ that brought down the Moldovan communists. […]

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    Unity makes strength? How the radical right could become kingmakers in Bulgaria

Unity makes strength? How the radical right could become kingmakers in Bulgaria

Much of the coverage of Bulgaria’s presidential election on 13 November has focused on what the victory of Rumen Radev means for the country moving forward. But as Manès Weisskircher and Julia Rone illustrate, the election also saw success for radical right parties. They argue that a multiparty radical right platform is well placed to win a large share […]

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    Lithuania’s new parliament: Tackling emigration will be a key priority for the country’s new MPs

Lithuania’s new parliament: Tackling emigration will be a key priority for the country’s new MPs

Members of the Lithuanian parliament are being sworn in today following elections in October. Ingrida Unikaitė-Jakuntavičienė presents an analysis of the election result, which saw the Lithuanian Peasant and Greens Union make surprising gains to become the country’s largest party. She writes that addressing high levels of emigration among young Lithuanians will be one of the main aims for […]

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    A very Bulgarian drama: What Rumen Radev’s presidential election victory means for Bulgarian politics

A very Bulgarian drama: What Rumen Radev’s presidential election victory means for Bulgarian politics

Rumen Radev, the candidate backed by the Bulgarian Socialist Party, won Bulgaria’s presidential election on 13 November. Dimitar Bechev assesses what the result means for the country, stating that while Radev has been described as a pro-Russian candidate, the more important implications will be for Boyko Borisov and the Bulgarian government. Borisov has tendered the resignation of his cabinet […]

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    Rajoy’s new government: Spain’s deadlock is over, but uncertainty continues

Rajoy’s new government: Spain’s deadlock is over, but uncertainty continues

After more than 10 months of deadlock, Mariano Rajoy was finally successful in winning enough support to continue as Spain’s Prime Minister on 29 October after a large number of MPs from the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) agreed to abstain from voting on the formation of the next government. But as Javier Astudillo and Marta Romero write, with […]

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Why Italians should reject Renzi’s constitutional reform

We are now in the final month of campaigning ahead of Italy’s constitutional referendum on 4 December. Presenting a case for a No vote, Valentino Larcinese argues that the proposed reform would remove much needed checks and balances on executive power in Italy, while the method used by the government to try and enact the reform is also worthy […]

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Is Poland’s Law and Justice government losing momentum?

Although plunged immediately into a constitutional crisis that brought it into conflict with the European Commission, one year after its decisive parliamentary election victory Poland’s right-wing ruling party retains widespread support, in spite of coming again under fire over appointments to state-run companies and the abortion issue. Aleks Szczerbiak argues that the government’s fate will ultimately depend upon its […]

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    Unless the Yes campaign can shift tactics, Italy’s constitutional referendum is heading for a No vote

Unless the Yes campaign can shift tactics, Italy’s constitutional referendum is heading for a No vote

Italy’s constitutional referendum, scheduled for 4 December, has been billed as a vote of confidence in the country’s Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi. James Dennison and Jonas Bergan Draege illustrate, however, the more voters are invited to link the proposed reforms to Renzi, the less likely they are to support them. They suggest that with support for the reforms falling […]

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    A game of polls: Bulgaria’s presidential election threatens to shake up the country’s party system

A game of polls: Bulgaria’s presidential election threatens to shake up the country’s party system

Bulgaria will hold presidential elections on 6 November, with a second round runoff scheduled for 13 November. Dimitar Bechev previews the contest, writing that the candidate supported by the country’s largest party, GERB, could face a tougher contest than originally anticipated.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are supposed to be a rather dull affair. Many expected the candidate handpicked by Prime […]

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    Iceland’s election: The Pirates failed to live up to expectations, but this was still a landmark result

Iceland’s election: The Pirates failed to live up to expectations, but this was still a landmark result

Iceland held elections on 29 October which were called after the country’s government was caught up in the Panama Papers scandal earlier this year. Benjamin Leruth assesses the results, noting that the Pirate Party, who had at one stage led the polling, failed to live up to expectations by finishing with the third highest vote share. Nevertheless, the election […]

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    Romania may have the most to lose from Moldova’s presidential election

Romania may have the most to lose from Moldova’s presidential election

Moldova is due to hold presidential elections on 30 October. Alexandru Damian examines what the implications of the election may be for Romania, which has previously expressed support for the current Moldovan government. He suggests that with the government’s preferred candidate facing a challenge to make the second round of the contest, supporting Maia Sandu from the Action and […]

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    Montenegro parliamentary election: Going beyond the ‘NATO vs Russia’ dichotomy

Montenegro parliamentary election: Going beyond the ‘NATO vs Russia’ dichotomy

Montenegro votes in parliamentary elections on Sunday 16 October. Mirko Bošković outlines the main topics of the campaign, recent controversies regarding party funding, and possible future scenarios for Montenegro following the election. Montenegro’s invitation to join NATO, which is yet to be ratified by the country’s parliament and could cause a geopolitical stir should it not happen, has overshadowed all other issues in […]

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    Norbert Hofer, the friendly face of Austria’s populist right

Norbert Hofer, the friendly face of Austria’s populist right

With his friendly, moderate appearance, the right-wing populist Norbert Hofer has come within a whisker of the Austrian presidency. In December a second rerun of the election will determine whether he can lead the Freedom Party (FPÖ) into power. Fabio Wolkenstein looks at the extraordinarily wide range of executive powers available to the Austrian president, including the right to dismiss […]

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    The 2017 Dutch parliamentary elections: A fragmented picture as Rutte and Wilders draw their battle lines

The 2017 Dutch parliamentary elections: A fragmented picture as Rutte and Wilders draw their battle lines

The Netherlands is due to hold parliamentary elections in March 2017. In the leadup to the vote we will be publishing a number of articles on the parties and the campaign. In the first article in the series, Hans Vollaard writes on the Dutch party system and why efforts to form the next government are likely to be extremely […]

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    The resignation of Pedro Sánchez has left Spain’s PSOE in crisis

The resignation of Pedro Sánchez has left Spain’s PSOE in crisis

The leader of the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE), Pedro Sánchez, resigned on 1 October. Paul Kennedy assesses what lies next for the party, which has experienced a prolonged period of decline since it last won power in the 2008 Spanish general election.

 

The Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE), which has spent more time in office than any other political […]

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