France will hold presidential elections in 2017, which have taken on renewed significance in the aftermath of the UK’s decision to leave the European Union. Jocelyn Evans and Gilles Ivaldi present a comprehensive look at the state of play ahead of the elections. They write that with the Socialist Party in disarray, the presidential election is the centre-right’s to […]
The 2017 French presidential election: The race has started… and so far it has more candidates than voters
On 23 April and 7 May 2017, French citizens will vote for President François Hollande’s successor. While in most cases the names of the official candidates are yet to be disclosed, several leading political figures have already announced their intention to run in the election. Marta Lorimer discusses the possible candidates and what recent polling says about their chances.
How will the terrorist attacks in Paris on 13 November affect domestic politics within France? Marta Lorimer assesses the reactions from the country’s main political parties. She writes that while the previous terrorist attacks in Paris in January resulted in a display of political unity, the united front following the November attacks has been much shorter lived. Although some […]
Sarkozy’s French local election victory sets the stage for the run up to the next presidential election
France held local elections on 22 and 29 March, with Nicolas Sarkozy’s UMP receiving the largest share of the vote ahead of Marine Le Pen’s Front National. Françoise Boucek writes that while there is still a long way to go, the UMP’s success, combined with disappointing results for François Hollande’s Socialist Party, sets the stage for the next French […]
Both Sarkozy and Hollande are victims of the French culture of scandal, but the real loser is democracy
The recent revelations surrounding former French President, Nicolas Sarkozy’s, recorded conversations have added to a long list of scandals involving France’s political leaders. John Gaffney writes that ‘plots and scandals’ have always been an integral part of French politics, but notes that the current accusations from the left and the right of the political spectrum simply serve to further […]
A little over a year since being elected, French President François Hollande’s popularity in the polls has plummeted as the French economy continues to struggle. Rainbow Murray writes that while Hollande’s first year has been beset by scandals and disappointments, France’s main opposition party, the UMP, have their own share of problems following a divisive leadership contest between François Fillon […]
In 2012 France has seen gains for the Front National, success for François Hollande and electoral defeat and infighting for the UMP.
Rainbow Murray reviews an important year in French politics, one which has seen the left return to power for the first time in a decade, as well as gains for the far-right. 2012 has also been a difficult year for the centre-right in France, with the defeat of President Nicolas Sarkozy in the presidential election, followed by infighting over who […]
Since 9/11, the Muslim presence in Europe has been increasingly perceived as ‘problematic’. Events such as the French ban on headscarves in public schools, the publication of the cartoons in Denmark, and speeches by political leaders have hit the front pages of newspapers the world over, and prompted a number of scholarly debates on Muslims’ capacity to comply with the seemingly […]
After an inconclusive debate, on the final day of the French presidential election campaign, Hollande is still ahead
This Sunday sees incumbent French president Nicolas Sarkozy face off against his Socialist challenger François Hollande in the final round of the French election. After a debate this week where neither candidate was able to land a knockout blow, Françoise Boucek looks at polling for both candidates, finding that despite some positive perceptions of Sarkozy by the French public on competence […]
The worrying rise of EU intergovernmentalism is the only viable response to the opposing desires in Europe for greater democracy and the reassertion of national sovereignty.
Hostility towards the EU has moved from the fringes to the centre. Olaf Cramme argues that even Francois Hollande’s most ambitious growth pact will not change this – radical institutional reform is the only answer. The verdict on Merkozy has already been passed. Even a few days before the final round of the French election the mainstream commentariat in Europe seems […]
François Hollande’s strong support among the young and middle-aged as well as the working class indicates that he will be the next President of the French Republic.
Which voting blocs supported François Hollande, and which supported Nicolas Sarkozy in the first round of the French presidential elections? As part of our continuing series on the French elections, Anne Corbett examines the data arguing that Hollande’s strong support among the young and middle-aged as well as the working class indicates that he will be next President of the French Republic. […]
Brussels blog round up for 21-27 April 2012: Hollande comes out in front in France, ‘ludicrous’ spending on the EEAS, and should some of the EU’s quangos get the chop?
Chris Gilson takes a look at the week in Brussels blogging. The EU Centre After Argentina’s recent expropriation of the Spanish energy firm, YPF, NpThinking, looks at the policy issues and the European Parliament’s response, while the Fride Blog maintains that the current Ibero-American rhetoric needs to be replaced with a Spanish foreign policy towards Latin America. This week, the Stokholm+40 […]
The first round of France’s presidential elections resulted in a narrow lead for Socialist leader François Hollande over the incumbent president Nicolas Sarkozy and an unexpectedly high result for the National Front candidate Marine Le Pen. As part of our continuing series on the French elections, Maurice Fraser looks forward to the second round of the election on 6 May, arguing […]
As part of EUROPP’s continuing series on the 2012 French presidential elections, Françoise Boucek looks at the economic policies of the two main candidates, incumbent president Nicolas Sarkozy and Socialist leader François Hollande, and finds that they both perpetuate the myth that France’s post-war social model can continue with only minor changes in the face of rising government debt and […]
France’s presidential election campaign is confirming the deep-seated caution of both main candidates. But, for all the disappointed expectations of Sarkozy as a reformer, there is still a sense that he ‘gets it’.
In May’s presidential elections, France faces a choice between the incumbent centre right candidate Nicolas Sarkozy, and the socialist, François Hollande. As the race narrows, Maurice Fraser looks at both candidates and the likely impacts their election might have on France’s domestic, EU and foreign policies. Whoever wins the election and becomes president, France is certain to retain its very […]
Sarkozy’s image as a strong leader is helping him narrow the gap with Hollande, but it will not be sufficient to balance out his poor economic record.
Thomas Didier, Richard Nadeau and Michael S Lewis-Beck examine the 2012 French presidential election from two standpoints: first, a retrospective dimension emphasizes the burden of Sarkozy’s poor record as a president. Second, a prospective dimension highlights how Sarkozy’s image is playing in his favour – but not enough to secure a victory. A way to predict the outcome of the […]
Marine Le Pen will not capture more than 15 per cent of the vote despite her efforts to transform Front National into a less radical populist party
How many voters will support Front National candidate Marine Le Pen in the upcoming French presidential elections? Catherine Fieschi argues that despite Le Pen’s efforts to transform the Front National into a less radical right-wing party her campaign has reached its limits, and that she will struggle to capture more than 15 per cent of the vote. Marine Le Pen’s […]
The European Politics and Policy at LSE Blog (LSE EUROPP) has recently started a series on the French presidential elections to be held in April and May. Julian Kirchherr introduces the theme and gives an overview of some of the current articles, and those expected over the next few weeks. The European Politics and Policy at LSE Blog has recently […]