Danny Quah

Is China’s Collapse Finally at Hand? Danny Quah

For three decades now many of the world’s most insightful observers have predicted imminent demise to China’s system. But these same three decades have also seen China confound expectations. China’s economy turned in double-digit growth rates. China lifted 600mn people out of poverty. While 35 years ago China’s per capita income was only US$300 (just 2 per cent that […]

  • Chinese Students Students at Anyang Normal University. Photo credit: V.T.Polywoda, via Flickr (https://www.flickr.com/photos/vtpoly/15687397105/). Licence: CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
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    Response to the Repeal of China’s One-Child Policy: Part 3 – Managing a Population

Response to the Repeal of China’s One-Child Policy: Part 3 – Managing a Population

In the last of our three-part series on China, the department considers the demographic implications behind the decision to repeal the one-child policy. Will families want to enlarge their families? Should the state maintain control over population growth? Find out below. Time for a change – Jude Howell After more than three decades of one-child policy, it was time for […]

  • Global-Tech China. Photo credit: Institute for Global Labour and Human Rights, via Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/nlcnet/8024490316. Licence: CC BY 2.0.
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    Response to the Repeal of China’s One-Child Policy: Part 2 – The Economic Transformation

Response to the Repeal of China’s One-Child Policy: Part 2 – The Economic Transformation

In the second of our three-part series, academics from the Department of International Development consider the consequences for China’s economic growth and productivity following the formal repeal of the one-child policy. Maintaining rapid growth requires people – Shamel Azmeh The change in China’s “one child policy” is highly interesting from the perspective of China’s economic transformation and its position in […]

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    A Realistically Dangerous Southeast Asian Neighborhood – Danny Quah

A Realistically Dangerous Southeast Asian Neighborhood – Danny Quah

Professor Danny Quah’s latest article has been republished in The Malaysian Insider and The Edge. The Realist position in the Straits Times article “Singapore is not an Island” (Bilahari Kaushikan, 06 Oct 2015) might grate for many readers. The article talks about young Malaysian Chinese being delusional for believing the Malaysian political discourse will actually change. It warns ominously how […]

The Extreme Poor Gaining Control of Their Own Environment

Professor Danny Quah asks whether some of development’s best friends are also its worst enemies? Originally posted on DannyQuah.com. When Pope Francis addressed the UN on 25 September 2015 he said this on the problem of economic development: To enable these real men and women to escape from extreme poverty, we must allow them to be dignified agents of their […]

  • USA Flag (Photo Credit: Mike Mozart, via Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/jeepersmedia/14325899679/) License: Attribution 2.0 Generic (CC BY 2.0)
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    China’s rise undermines US claims to legitimacy as global leader

China’s rise undermines US claims to legitimacy as global leader

Danny Quah says China can provide a new narrative to lead, without even needing to mention power. China’s currency recalibrations have jolted global markets, as did America’s 2013 “taper tantrum”, when then US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said the fed might slow the rate of bond purchases. China is seeking inclusion of its currency in the International Monetary Fund’s […]

  • Kuala Lumpur City Centre Malaysia (Photo credit: Hadi Zaher via Flickr (https://www.flickr.com/photos/hazara/11446765955/) Shared via CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
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    Malaysia’s leaders no longer serve the people – Danny Quah

Malaysia’s leaders no longer serve the people – Danny Quah

Malaysia has gone rogue – with a corrupt political elite, a compromised judiciary, an electoral process that isn’t working, and a system that punishes whistle-blowers, says LSE’s Danny Quah. (Originally published by The Diplomat.) In 1971, more than forty years before the world would turn its attention to the so-called one percent and the problem of income inequality, Malaysia embarked […]

China’s New Normal and the AIIB: Danny Quah in the Media

[jwplayer mediaid=”2443″] Danny Quah predicts that even if China’s growth slows to 7% in 2015, the Chinese economy would still (for most of the world) provide a 50% increase in new export market opportunity compared to the 12% growth a decade ago. At current rates of labour productivity, 7% growth in 2015 could still generate millions of new jobs. The […]

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    Danny Quah: The simple arithmetic of China’s growth slowdown

Danny Quah: The simple arithmetic of China’s growth slowdown

This first appeared in Brookings Future Development, 18 February 2015, as “The Simple Arithmetic of China’s Growth Slowdown”
What does China’s growth slowdown mean to you?
I ask here not about the New World Order, global power shifts, or whether the United States retains its position as a global hegemon. Nor do I mean the impact on the world economy, a colossal […]

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    Danny Quah’s “The Great East Shift” featured in The Economist’s eye-catching statistical landmarks of 2015

Danny Quah’s “The Great East Shift” featured in The Economist’s eye-catching statistical landmarks of 2015

Danny Quah’s calculation of the world’s economic centre of gravity has been included in The Economist’s eye-catching statistical landmarks of 2015:
“Danny Quah of the London School of Economics has calculated the world’s economic centre of gravity and reckons that, thanks to Asia’s rise, over the 70 years from 1980 to 2050 it will move eastwards from the mid-Atlantic all the way to […]