Democracy, governance, and citizenship

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    Brazil elections 2018: from conspiracy nightmares of Dilma to millennial dreams of Bolsonaro

Brazil elections 2018: from conspiracy nightmares of Dilma to millennial dreams of Bolsonaro

The poisonous political climate around the October 2018 elections in Brazil has been brewing since Dilma Rousseff’s first term. Attacks on various institutions from both left and right, combined with massive corruption and fractious culture wars, have allowed Jair Bolsonaro and his millenarian evangelical supporters to expand his personality cult into this political vacuum, writes David Lehmann (Federal University of Bahia).

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    Brazil elections 2018: who will win the race for second place behind Bolsonaro?

Brazil elections 2018: who will win the race for second place behind Bolsonaro?

With Jair Bolsonaro certain to reach the second round of Brazil’s elections in October 2018, the real issue now is which of the other 12 candidates will join him. Mark S. Langevin (George Mason University) analyses the key factors that will shape the prospects of Bolsonaro’s main rivals: Marina Silva, Geraldo Alckmin, Ciro Gomes, and especially Lula’s hand-picked candidate Fernando Haddad.

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    Discretionary rule of law in Mexico could undermine AMLO’s anti-corruption drive

Discretionary rule of law in Mexico could undermine AMLO’s anti-corruption drive

Mexico has a long history of discretionary application of the law, as demonstrated recently by the government’s failure to prosecute corrupt state governors while they remained in office. Even from their position of political strength, Andrés Manuel López Obrador and his Morena party may find it hard to revert this trend and make good on their promise to root out corruption, writes Rodrigo Aguilera.

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    Brazil elections 2018: could a lack of legitimacy make the country ungovernable?

Brazil elections 2018: could a lack of legitimacy make the country ungovernable?

Brazil’s elections in October 2018 are likely to see unusually high levels of abstention. With legitimacy undermined both by the vast Lava Jato corruption scandal and by the horse-trading typical of Brazil’s hotly contested political system, the effectiveness of governance is likely to deteriorate even further, writes Mark S. Langevin (George Mason University).

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    La era del big data requiere una nueva forma de observación y monitoreo de elecciones

La era del big data requiere una nueva forma de observación y monitoreo de elecciones

La habilidad de conducir elecciones libres y justas enfrenta un nuevo e inmediato riesgo, sobre todo en situaciones electorales polarizadas. Las próximas elecciones en la región presentan una oportunidad para explorar pilotos que vigilen los nuevos fenómenos digitales y colocar a Latinoamérica a la vanguardia, armonizando tecnología, democracia y ciudadanía, escribe Renata Ávila (Ciudadano Inteligente).

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    Los peligros económicos de la victoria de Iván Duque en Colombia

Los peligros económicos de la victoria de Iván Duque en Colombia

El programa de Iván Duque podría resultar en una mayor concentración del poder tanto político como económico. Su énfasis en las industrias extractivas no responde a desafíos claves como la baja productividad, los bajos salarios y la desigualdad extrema, escribe Tobias Franz (Universidad de los Andes).

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    Elecciones Colombia 2018: dos mujeres vicepresidentas, dos visiones de país

Elecciones Colombia 2018: dos mujeres vicepresidentas, dos visiones de país

El hecho de que ambas candidatas a la vicepresidencia sean mujeres representa un avance, pero las trayectorias y agendas disímiles de Marta Lucía Ramírez y Ángela Robledo pueden tener impactos muy distintos para el futuro de Colombia, escribe Diana Gómez (Universidad de los Andes).

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    Despite reform, Mexico’s 2018 election is business as usual

Despite reform, Mexico’s 2018 election is business as usual

On paper the 2018 Mexican presidential election should benefit from recent reforms that sought to improve electoral conditions. But the reality of campaigns awash with dark money, widespread vote buying, toothless electoral institutions, weak democratic processes within parties, and independents that aren’t very independent suggests that little has really changed, writes Rodrigo Aguilera.

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    Colombia elections 2018: candidates and their chances in times of hope and fear

Colombia elections 2018: candidates and their chances in times of hope and fear

Colombia’s pathbreaking presidential election of 2018 will most likely be won by Álvaro Uribe’s protege Iván Duque, which could endanger the peace process and signal a return to a dark past of violence and exclusion. But support for leftist and centrist candidates Gustavo Petro and Sergio Fajardo, as well as the unpredictable role of Germán Vargas Lleras, mean that this is far from […]

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    Colombia elections 2018: safeguarding progress towards implementation of the peace agreement

Colombia elections 2018: safeguarding progress towards implementation of the peace agreement

The future of the peace agreement faces many significant risks. Since implementation is a game of confidence building, and compliance and noncompliance alike create snowball effects, mitigation of these risks must be a critical priority for any incoming administration, argues Nelson Camilo Sánchez (National University of Colombia).