Tactically, strategically and constitutionally, it’s utter madness for the Prime Minister rule out another coalition, says Tim Bale in an article that first appeared in the Telegraph. David Cameron’s “big, open and comprehensive offer” to the Lib Dems in May 2010 was for many Right-wing Tories the ultimate confirmation of a long-held belief that their leader really wasn’t “one of […]
On virtually every measure that counts, the Prime Minister remains not just an asset to the Tories (in the sense of being more popular than his party) but way ahead of Ed Miliband. Tim Bale writes that there remains at least a reasonable chance that the Conservatives will emerge as the largest single party, giving Cameron first go at forming another government. […]
The Prime Minister is prone to sounding the alarm on immigration when his political fortunes are waning
After David Cameron’s much covered immigration speech earlier this week, Tim Bale questions whether there was anything more to the Prime Minister’s announcements than a desire to head off the advance of UKIP and turn voter’s attention away from issues on which the Government are currently failing to meet public expectations. The Prime Minister’s Ipswich speech brings to mind the message […]
Asphyxiation Nation? This is not a budget for ‘a Britain that wants to be prosperous, solvent and free’
Tim Bale found yesterday’s budget depressingly ideological, driven by an attempt to stick to a script written by Margaret Thatcher and Geoffrey Howe in the 1980s. However he argues that this script of ‘staying the course’ is inadequate for economic challenges of the scale facing the UK. ‘We have to hold,’ said George Osborne in his budget speech yesterday, ‘to the right […]
Team Cameron was shocked by how many right-wingers simply banked their ‘victory’ on the referendum and moved swiftly onto gay marriage
In the first part of our collaborative project explore contemporary Euroscepticism, Tim Bale offers an analysis of recent European events and their implications for both the UK political scene and the internal politics of the Conservative party. Conservatives clearly care an awful lot – some would say too much – about Europe. But most of them care even more about […]
Tim Bale argues that the Conservatives may find it very difficult to avoid promising an in/out referendum on EU membership at the next election, and the Labour Party may well follow suit. With that referendum comes the serious possibility that Britain will cease to be a member of the Union. I never thought I would write this sentence but here goes: […]
The coalition is at least as likely to end up shipwrecked as it is to sail through, or at least stay afloat, until 2015
Liberal Democrat MPs may soon find themselves watching a slow motion car crash while their Conservative counterparts might feel that their ‘business arrangement’ has served its purpose. Either way, a parliamentary full-term, while not impossible, remains less likely than an early and potentially messy, dénouement, writes Tim Bale. Both Patrick Dunleavy and Chris Hanretty have recently had a stab at […]
The Conservative party’s devotion to Thatcher’s legacy may be blinding it to new and innovative solutions to current problems.
David Cameron’s current trouble with his party over Europe is increasingly being compared with that of his predecessors. Tim Bale argues that while comparisons with previous Conservative leaders can be helpful, the modern Conservative party must resist the urge to continually look to the past, and seek to build its own narrative and solutions to problems it now faces.