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Monthly Archives: March 2010
Mar 31 2010
State of the Race for 31 March
Leave a commentTweet Posted by Chris Gilson. The Conservative’s lead over Labour continues to widen in both of our measures today, to 7 per cent. In our polling measure, Labour (again) loses one point and the Tories gain one. Is this the … Continue reading
Posted by: March 31, 2010
Tagged with: Polls
Mar 29 2010
State of the Race 29 March
Leave a commentTweet Posted by Chris Gilson. Last we week we commented on the possibility of the budget affecting the polls (as has been the case in previous years). At the end of last week, we saw the Labour/Tory gap narrow to … Continue reading
Posted by: March 29, 2010
Tagged with: polling
Mar 26 2010
State of the Race 26 March
Leave a commentTweet Posted by Chris Gilson and Patrick Dunleavy. All the recent polls have shown a narrowing of the gap between the Conservatives and Labour. As the recent Hicks-Vivyan analysis on this Blog shows, the Conservatives’ support has drifted down perilously … Continue reading
Posted by: March 26, 2010
Tagged with: Polls
Mar 26 2010
Will a hung parliament endanger fiscal consolidation?
Leave a commentTweet Many commentators fear the detrimental effects of a hung parliament on the speed and depth of fiscal adjustment. Yet an election that fails to deliver a clear majority for a single party need not spell fiscal disaster, says Joachim … Continue reading
Posted by: March 26, 2010
Tagged with: coalitions, financial consolidation, Hung Parliament, Sweden
Mar 26 2010
A shallow or a deeply Hung Parliament?
Leave a commentTweet Posted by Patrick Dunleavy. All recent projections are pointing to a hung Parliament – where the top party in the Commons does not have an overall majority (that is, 326 or more out of the 650 MPs). But this … Continue reading
Posted by: March 26, 2010
Tagged with: Hung Parliament, Polls
Mar 26 2010
Weekly Political Blog Round up for 26 March
Leave a commentTweet This week we start a new round-up, summarising the election blogosphere. Posted by Chris Gilson. Monday saw the breaking of ‘Lobbygate’ with several ex-Cabinet Labour Ministers being found by Channel 4’s Dispatches programme to have offered their influence on … Continue reading
Posted by: March 26, 2010
Tagged with: blog round up, political blogs
Mar 25 2010
Still a Hung Parliament: Hix-Vivyan Prediction up to 23 March
Leave a commentTweet Posted by Simon Hix and Nick Vivyan. We have updated our election prediction model, based on national voting intention results from all polls by YouGov, Ipsos-MORI, Populus, ICM, ComRes and Angus Reid with fieldwork up to and including 23 … Continue reading
Posted by: March 25, 2010
Tagged with: Polls, pooling the polls
Mar 24 2010
State of the Race 24 March
Leave a commentTweet Posted by Chris Gilson and Patrick Dunleavy. Today marks the first clear change for all the parties’ support in our measure since we began tracking polls in early March. Labour falls two points to 30 per cent support; and … Continue reading
Posted by: March 24, 2010
Tagged with: election betting, Polls
