Tag Archives: coalition

May 8 2013

How will the coalition end? Cameron and Clegg may look to the precedent set by the 1945 caretaker government

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Tweet Alun Wyburn-Powell provides a historical account of the 1945 caretaker government and argues that it provides a useful model for thinking about when the current coalition might end. Whilst obviously very different situations, there is good logic in parting some … Continue reading

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Apr 18 2013

The lack of attention by the government to the overlapping effects of April’s welfare changes is indicative of a poorly thought-through process

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Tweet Adam Tinson analyses the combined impacts of the individual changes to the social security system which have come into force this month. He focuses on four major changes: the bedroom tax, the replacement of council tax benefit, the overall benefit … Continue reading

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Oct 2 2012

The ‘progressive alliance’ idea is no longer a meaningful basis for a Labour-LibDem rapprochement, but there is much common ground that remains between the two parties

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Tweet Michael Kenny argues that, despite how surprising it may sound, there is a lot of areas of agreement between the Liberal Democrats and Labour that would allow for a coalition between the two parties were the situation to arise in the … Continue reading

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Jun 14 2012

The government has misrepresented research findings on ‘troubled families’, blaming the poor, not coalition policies, for rising poverty levels

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Tweet The government’s use of multiple deprivation as a proxy for anti-social behaviour implies that poorer people are all potential criminals. Ruth Levitas argues that the government’s policies either illustrate a statistical incompetency or conceal rising levels of poverty spilling … Continue reading

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May 14 2012

Another hung parliament? The difference between a Labour or Conservative Government in 2015 may come down to a handful of Midlands’ votes

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Tweet The Conservatives could lose 100 parliamentary seats if they ignore the rot in their vote share that is spreading across Northern cities and boroughs writes Lewis Baston. Another strong vote for UKIP could also gift Labour some vital Midlands seats. … Continue reading

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Feb 27 2012

The coalition is at least as likely to end up shipwrecked as it is to sail through, or at least stay afloat, until 2015

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Tweet Liberal Democrat MPs may soon find themselves watching a slow motion car crash while their Conservative counterparts might feel that their ‘business arrangement’ has served its purpose. Either way, a parliamentary full-term, while not impossible, remains less likely than … Continue reading

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Feb 23 2012

The Coalition Government has only a 1 in 3 chance of lasting its term. Statistical modelling predicts its fall in October 2014

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Tweet There has been much recent talk about the possibility of the Coalition government falling before the parliamentary term is up. Chris Hanretty uses a quantitative statistical model to suggest that this is indeed probable, and that the best prediction indicates the government … Continue reading

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Feb 6 2012

The Government’s recent sidelining of the House of Lords highlights the absolute irrelevance of the institution.

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Tweet Rid of pomp and circumstance, and boasting a newly found political legitimacy, Bart Cammaerts argues that a reformed House of Lords would command the political attention and respect of government.   The utter irrelevance of the House of Lords, … Continue reading

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