Governments face the voters: Elections are more difficult for incumbents in hard economic times

Analysing the election outcomes in European countries since the economic crisis began in 2008, Lawrence LeDuc and Jon Pammett find that voters do indeed broadly exact punishment on governments in times of economic crisis, although not necessarily in greater measure than might occur in other circumstances. Governing parties forced to face the electorate in bad economic times generally do not fare […]

Electorally vulnerable MPs’ outside interests appear to follow an election cycle

Politicians often implement popular changes in public policies – and avoid unpopular ones – prior to elections. Looking at the 2005-2010 legislature of the UK parliament, Benny Geys evaluates whether such ‘electioneering’ also affects politicians’ extra-parliamentary activities. He finds that only the electorally most vulnerable MPs appear to leave aside directorships prior to the election year. Politicians generally loathe alienating voters. This […]

Why the 2014 European Parliament elections will be about more than protest votes

European Parliamentary elections are due to be held in May 2014. Simon Hix and Christophe Crombez look ahead to the campaign, noting that the elections will not only provide an opportunity for Europe’s citizens to express their opinions over the handling of the Eurozone crisis, but will also allow them to take an active role in the selection of the […]

June 8th, 2013|Europp|0 Comments|

Book Review: Reforming Democracies: Six Facts About Politics That Demand A New Agenda

Any successful effort to reform democracies must look beyond conventional institutions to succeed, writes Douglas A. Chalmers in Reforming Democracies. In his examination of six aspects of political practice relating to the people being represented, the structure of those who make law and policy, and the links between those structures and the people, Chalmers’ work has the potential to inspire a movement from discussion to […]

Book Review: Elite Statecraft and Election Administration: Bending the Rules of the Game?

Electoral administration is a topic that only occasionally and dramatically breaks into the public consciousness, but is otherwise the province of the political obsessive. Paul Brighton finds that some of the most important examples of such moments are surprisingly absent from Elite Statecraft and Election Administration, but nonetheless he believes that Toby S. James has written a timely book which serves as […]

The Eastleigh by-election might give us some early answers to important questions about the next election

Today’s Eastleigh by-election is widely expected to shed light on some of the most important issues which will shape the next general election. In this post Chris Prosser offers a set of predictions as to the likely outcome, made on the basis of a model he developed and applied to a dataset of previous English by-elections and changes in public opinion. The voters of Eastleigh go […]

Book Review: The Gendered Effects of Electoral Institutions: Political Engagement and Participation

An increasing awareness of the under-representation of women in parliaments and business has gone hand in hand with increasing debate about gender quotas as a means of rectifying this situation. However, questions persist about their efficacy. The Gendered Effects of Electoral Institutions offers a detailed empirical contribution to this debate. Linnea Sandström Lange finds value in the book, though cautions that it should be […]

The lesson from yesterday’s election is to ignore pontificating from highly paid pundits. Put your faith in the numbers.

John Van Reenen finds great cause for optimism in President Obama having won a second term. He argues that this election was also a vindication for quantitative social science, as the eventual results confirmed what mathematical models had predicted contrary to the instincts of pundits.  President Obama’s victory today was important for many reasons. First and foremost, the American people will continue […]

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This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.