Brexit

  • Permalink Gallery

    The Brexit impasse has already done real damage to what keeps Northern Ireland afloat

The Brexit impasse has already done real damage to what keeps Northern Ireland afloat

Northern Ireland politics has been brought to a standstill by a combination of Brexit politics, a crisis in the Executive over alleged corruption, and sectarianism. Duncan Morrow says little is now propping up Northern Ireland’s institutions. Without a Brexit agreement and commitment to institutional reform, the current impasse already has done real damage to the relationships that keep Northern […]

October 13th, 2018|Brexit, Featured|1 Comment|
  • Permalink Gallery

    The power of negative thinking: why perceptions of immigration are resistant to facts

The power of negative thinking: why perceptions of immigration are resistant to facts

Research shows consistently high levels of concern among people in the UK over the scale of immigration and its impact on jobs and services. Drawing on new research on how people use and understand information about the economic impacts of immigration, Heather Rolfe writes there is a tendency to rely on personal accounts rather than on economic statistics.

The recent […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Are we witnessing a ‘deal dividend’ effect on the economy?

Are we witnessing a ‘deal dividend’ effect on the economy?

The latest GDP data for 2018 shows an annual growth of about 1.6%. This may be reflecting expectations of an impending Brexit deal which would greatly reduce policy uncertainty, write Costas Milas and Michael Ellington. But if this growth is indeed conditional on a deal, no deal will result in no dividend.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has just […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    European migrants are mostly high-skilled, even if temporarily taking up low-skilled jobs

European migrants are mostly high-skilled, even if temporarily taking up low-skilled jobs

Nauro F. Campos explains that there are many benefits to migration that are hard to gauge from an economic perspective. Central-Eastern European migrants, for example, are known to have significantly higher levels of schooling than that of native workers. These migrants take on unskilled jobs because they know they are temporary, and usually enjoy rapid career progression, he argues.

The long-awaited government report […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Nationalism, racism, and identity: what connects Englishness to a preference for hard Brexit?

Nationalism, racism, and identity: what connects Englishness to a preference for hard Brexit?

Support for Brexit was higher among those who identify as English rather than British, even after accounting for relevant economic factors. But what is it that connects English identity to a preference for Brexit? Anthony Heath and Lindsay Richards outline some key characteristics that go some way in explaining the association.

‘Identity politics’ is a phrase that can be heard […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Brexit and moral foundation framing: the key to a People’s Vote is in Vote Leave’s hands

Brexit and moral foundation framing: the key to a People’s Vote is in Vote Leave’s hands

Will Conservative Brexiteers back another referendum? If so, is it the nature of the argument that will persuade them or who makes it? Eitan Tzelgov and Delia Dumitrescu show that, although views on Brexit are based around moral issues, moral framing alone does not persuade these voters. What does seem to change their minds on a second referendum […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    The ‘Exit from Brexit’ illusion: why the Liberal Democrats cannot capture the 48%

The ‘Exit from Brexit’ illusion: why the Liberal Democrats cannot capture the 48%

The days of the 2010 coalition seem a long way away for the Liberal Democrats. Is opposition to Brexit a ticket back to relevance? Can the party make inroads into the core Remain vote? David Cutts and Andrew Russell explain why this strategy, although logical, is unlikely to succeed.

Brighton was the focal point for the latest attempt by the […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Pushing the BoE to the limit: what a no-deal Brexit will mean for UK exchange and interest rates

Pushing the BoE to the limit: what a no-deal Brexit will mean for UK exchange and interest rates

The absence of a trade agreement between UK and EU will yield further depreciations of the pound relative to leading currencies, explain Michael Ellington and Costas Milas. This will then lead to a sharp cut in the Bank of England’s policy rate and to another round of quantitative easing. In other words, a no-deal Brexit will push the Bank […]