Iain Begg

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    How the current political fixation with Brexit jeopardises the economy

How the current political fixation with Brexit jeopardises the economy

All of a sudden Britain has become the slowest growing of the major western economies, and there are increasing concerns about its medium-term outlook. Iain Begg writes that with both government and opposition fixated on what kind of Brexit to favour, there is a growing risk that fundamental and necessary measures to underpin the economy will be neglected.

Until well after the […]

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    Theresa May’s timeline for Brexit: Canny tactics or Brexishambles?

Theresa May’s timeline for Brexit: Canny tactics or Brexishambles?

Theresa May has stated that the UK will trigger Article 50 before the end of March 2017. Iain Begg writes that while her speech gave some indication of timing, there is still no concrete statement on what kind of relationship the UK would actually like to negotiate with the EU. In the absence of this level of clarity he […]

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    Delaying talks with the rest of the EU is fraught with economic risk

Delaying talks with the rest of the EU is fraught with economic risk

Last week it was all about hypotheticals, scenarios and speculation. Now, it’s real and it will rapidly become clear whether those who foresaw short term damage to the British economy from Brexit were correct, writes Iain Begg. But it is alarming to hear Brexiteers who forecast only a short-term shock calling for a delay in invoking Article 50 – […]

HM Treasury v Economists for Brexit: whom to believe?

Two recent assessments of the economics of Brexit, from the Treasury and a new group calling itself Economists for Brexit, come to diametrically opposed conclusions, writes Iain Begg. They add to an array of claims and counter-claims, many of which come up with apparently firm predictions, but have subtle differences that make direct comparisons difficult. Voters are entitled to be […]

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    Lies, damned lies and yet more misleading statistics on Europe

Lies, damned lies and yet more misleading statistics on Europe

Both sides of the EU referendum debate are deploying statistics to back their arguments. Citing recent examples from Vote Leave, the Sunday Times and the Centre for Economics and Business Research, Iain Begg warns that these figures can make misleading assumptions or even be downright inaccurate.

In war, according to the ancient Greek dramatist Aeschylus, truth is the first casualty. Plainly, he […]

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    Push or jump? Why the UK could be facing a ‘Brexpulsion’ rather than a ‘Brexit’

Push or jump? Why the UK could be facing a ‘Brexpulsion’ rather than a ‘Brexit’

The UK’s EU referendum is likely to be heavily influenced by the extent to which David Cameron is successful in his attempt to renegotiate the country’s terms of membership. Iain Begg writes that while Cameron’s intention appears to be to gain enough from a renegotiation to win the referendum, he faces a difficult balancing act in keeping other EU […]

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    The UK’s £1.7 billion EU bill puts the country one step closer to a ‘Brexit’

The UK’s £1.7 billion EU bill puts the country one step closer to a ‘Brexit’

The UK has been asked to pay an extra £1.7 billion to the EU budget by 1 December following a reassessment of the size of the British economy. Iain Beggwrites that while the issue has generated an extremely hostile reaction from David Cameron, the data correction process used to arrive at the figure is well-known to the UK authorities […]

It is entirely possible that Britain could leave the European Union within the next decade

The prospect of a referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union was a recurring theme in 2012. Ahead of David Cameron’s speech on Europe, Iain Begg assessed recent developments on Britain’s future relationship with Europe. He argues that current trends are making a British exit from the EU more likely, and that even if the country maintains EU membership, its […]

January 14th, 2013|Europp, Iain Begg|1 Comment|