Category Archives: Lewis Baston

May 14 2012

Another hung parliament? The difference between a Labour or Conservative Government in 2015 may come down to a handful of Midlands’ votes

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The Conservatives could lose 100 parliamentary seats if they ignore the rot in their vote share that is spreading across Northern cities and boroughs writes Lewis Baston. Another strong vote for UKIP could also gift Labour some vital Midlands seats. The … Continue reading

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Mar 30 2012

The results of the Bradford West by-election indicate that something clearly went wrong with the Labour campaign, and that there is a political space for populists like Galloway

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Lewis Baston looks at the results of the by-election in Bradford West and explains how the particularities of the constituency enabled George Galloway’s victory. He argues that the results confirm that there is a big political space for populists and celebrities, and that the Labour party’s vote is … Continue reading

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Dec 16 2011

Despite Labour’s convincing victory in the Feltham and Heston by-election, there is no strong trend in the party’s favour.

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Yesterday’s by-election in Feltham and Heston saw one of the lowest by-election turnouts in recent years. And while Labour’s superior efforts on the ground to increase turnout in the Labour-loyal areas of the constituency were effective, Lewis Baston argues that … Continue reading

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Sep 23 2011

The Boundary Commission for England has been unnecessarily radical in its proposals, often ignoring local government boundaries. New constituencies may lack community cohesion and local loyalty.

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Last week, the Boundary Commission for England presented its proposals for new constituencies based on 600 rather than 650 parliamentary seats. Democratic Audit’s Lewis Baston undertook a parallel analysis in June, and while he finds some similarities, he argues that … Continue reading

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Jul 4 2011

The Inverclyde by-election is business as usual for Scottish voters

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Coming so soon after the SNP’s storming victory in the Scottish Parliamentary elections in May, many had expected an SNP victory, or at least a very close result, in last weeks’ Inverclyde by-election. Lewis Baston writes that while Labour’s victory comes … Continue reading

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Jun 15 2011

The proposed constituency boundary changes will hurt the Liberal Democrats and not help the Tories much either

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With the conclusion of the AV referendum last month, focus now turns to one of the few certain electoral reforms that this parliament will contain; the redrawing of constituency boundaries, and the reduction of the number of seats by 50 … Continue reading

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May 4 2011

Whatever the result, Thursday’s referendum will not mean the end of the road for electoral reform in the UK

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AV is seen by many as a ‘stop-gap’ measure on the road to true Proportional Representation, but is this really likely to be the case if the Yes campaign is successful? Writing in a personal capacity, Lewis Baston looks at … Continue reading

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May 2 2011

Supporters of the Liberal Democrats, Greens and UKIP should vote Yes to AV. For the Conservatives and Labour – the balance of advantage is much less clear

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The AV referendum campaign has produced some strange political alignments, more because of its perceived strategic consequences than the nature of the alternative electoral systems. Writing in a personal capacity, Lewis Baston finds that for some parties rational self-interest is … Continue reading

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