• Douglas Carswell
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    Douglas Carswell’s defection to UKIP may have a significant impact on the Conservatives’ 2015 hopes

Douglas Carswell’s defection to UKIP may have a significant impact on the Conservatives’ 2015 hopes

Today Conservative MP Douglas Carswell announced that he will be leaving the Tories and will call a by-election that he will contest as a member of UKIP. Paul Whiteley writes that it will be a hard fought by-election campaign but UKIP can win it, making it less likely that the Conservatives can win the general election next year if they do so.

Douglas Carswell, the Conservative […]

  • houses of parliament at dusk
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    The widespread belief that politics is broken should not be allowed to go unchallenged

The widespread belief that politics is broken should not be allowed to go unchallenged

That politics is broken and rotten in the UK may well be the defining belief of our time. But is it broken at Westminster? Tony Wright disagrees with the pervasive assessment, writing that, though the system does require a range of political reforms, reform requires a realistic understanding of what is wrong; and a determination to work to put it right.

It is […]

  • Nigel Farage (2)
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    Whither the UKIP vote? The 2014 local elections and implications for 2015

Whither the UKIP vote? The 2014 local elections and implications for 2015

Despite its best showing yet in the local and European elections, many are questioning whether the party can manage a breakthrough in the 2015 general election given past results. However, Steven Ayres finds that there are a number of factors that indicate things may be different this time around.

Some time on from the May 2014 European and local elections, the results may be out of […]

General election 2015: What do the bookmakers say?

Chris Hanretty analyses the current bookmakers predictions for the general election 2015. The odds from Ladbrokes imply Labour will fall short of a majority, he argues.

At the time of writing, bookmakers Ladbrokes offer odds on the winning parties in 449 of the 632 mainland Britain constituencies. Betting odds offer useful information about the probability of events happening. A bookmaker that […]

  • Alex Salmond_2007
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    The Salmond-Darling debate played to the partisans, not the key undecided voters

The Salmond-Darling debate played to the partisans, not the key undecided voters

With the referendum fast approaching, Alistair Darling and Alex Salmond debated the merits of Scottish independence last night. In this article, John Curtice argues that both preferred to talk about subjects that matter to partisans on both sides and missed an opportunity to connect with undecided voters.

The first leaders’ debate was meant to be an opportunity for Scotland’s uncommitted – though not […]

  • Cameron et al
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    Five minutes with John Curtice (part 3): “The problem facing the Conservatives is that so far this is a voteless economic recovery”

Five minutes with John Curtice (part 3): “The problem facing the Conservatives is that so far this is a voteless economic recovery”

Democratic Audit’s Sean Kippin recently interviewed the polling and public opinion specialist John Curtice. Here, he argues that the Conservatives will find it very difficult to win a majority in the House of Commons in 2015, and that Ed Miliband has not succeeded in framing a compelling narrative to justify voting Labour. 

The General Election polls are quite erratic but […]

A reshuffle for women? Welcome, but underwhelming

Has David Cameron succeeded in making his cabinet more diverse and representative of the population? Claire Annesley and Francesca Gains argue that the prime minister still has much more to do to if he is to improve the representation of women. They suggest that Cameron should make sure more women are selected for winnable Conservative seats and reinstate and resource a dedicated women […]

  • Prime Minister David Cameron, speaking at the opening of the GAVI Alliance immunisations pledging conference in London, June 13 2011
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    David Cameron’s reshuffle – good butchery, or a botched job?

David Cameron’s reshuffle – good butchery, or a botched job?

Will David Cameron’s reshuffle pay off with the electorate? While we can interpret the changes as an electoral gambit, Mark Garnett argues that there might be a deeper purpose. Alongside the prime minister’s old reluctance to alienate old friends, this reshuffle suggests a keen (if not desperate) desire to cultivate some new ones.
Most aficionados of British political history know the piece of advice attributed to William Gladstone […]

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Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported
This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.