The Scottish Labour Party has been in freefall following the Scottish referendum in September and the resignation of its leader, Johann Lamont. Eric Shaw explains how the social and institutional supports underpinning Labour rule have steadily unraveled over the last several decades. The grave strategic error made in allying with the Tories and LibDems for the ‘No’ campaign has also not done […]
While Tory MPs continue to elect their party’s leader, since 1981 Labour has used an electoral college system with MPs, individual party members and trade unions each getting a third of the votes. Norman Bonney argues that this has been disadvantageous for Labour. The system sometimes produces leaders that don’t have the full backing of their own MPs, such as in the […]
Many question what the current Labour leadership actually stands for and whether the party has witnessed an authentic ideological revision since the New Labour days. But despite his leftist campaign for party leadership, Ed Miliband offered key positions to many Blairites and, as head of the opposition, has endorsed pluralism and attenuated his critique of the Blair years. Lilia Giugni argues that […]
Why is the Labour party struggling to gain support? Ed Miliband certainly lacks that ‘X factor’, but perhaps it isn’t all his fault. There is a current disconnect between the public and politicians of all traditional parties, and it could also be that Labour has failed to connect because their policies are largely reactive and the public still holds the party responsible for […]
Looking at data at the ward level on qualifications and immigration, Steven Ayres finds that UKIP support seems to be affected by the interaction effect between accession country diasporas and poorly qualified UK-born residents. Evidence from areas that UKIP have not done quite as well appears to reinforce this idea.
Speculation regarding the how, why, and who of UKIP successes over recent years has continued to amass over […]
The lessons of Clacton and Heywood: Why UKIP will damage the Tories in 2015 but may ultimately harm Labour
Douglas Carswell has become the first UK MP with an easy win in the Clacton by-election. UKIP has also performed strongly in the Heywood by-election, taking 38% of the vote. Two strong UKIP performances, resulting in a Tory loss in one and a Labour win in the other. The results are indicative of what may happen in the 2015 […]
The Green Party has seen a significant rise in party membership and voting intention. Sarah Birch investigates where the Greens’ new support is coming from and what accounts for the rising popularity. She finds that the Greens may now be attracting voters from across a wider spectrum of the population, which should give MPs looking to retain their seats in 2015 cause for concern.
In the run-up to […]
Avoiding talk of the deficit has been a systematic feature of Labour’s contribution to the economic debate
Ed Miliband was roundly mocked for ‘forgetting’ to mention the deficit in his speech to the Labour Party conference. However, as Jack Blumenau shows in this post, avoiding talk of the deficit is a systematic feature of Labour’s contributions to the political debate about the economy over the past four years. In a statistical analysis of parliamentary speeches, he […]