• Nigel Farage (2)
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    The data suggests a connection between UKIP support, skills and immigration

The data suggests a connection between UKIP support, skills and immigration

Looking at data at the ward level on qualifications and immigration, Steven Ayres finds that UKIP support seems to be affected by the interaction effect between accession country diasporas and poorly qualified UK-born residents. Evidence from areas that UKIP have not done quite as well appears to reinforce this idea.

Speculation regarding the how, why, and who of UKIP successes over recent years has continued to amass over […]

  • Douglas Carswell
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    The lessons of Clacton and Heywood: Why UKIP will damage the Tories in 2015 but may ultimately harm Labour

The lessons of Clacton and Heywood: Why UKIP will damage the Tories in 2015 but may ultimately harm Labour

Douglas Carswell has become the first UK MP with an easy win in the Clacton by-election. UKIP has also performed strongly in the Heywood by-election, taking 38% of the vote. Two strong UKIP performances, resulting in a Tory loss in one and a Labour win in the other. The results are indicative of what may happen in the 2015 […]

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    The traditional parties should be on their guard for a Green surge

The traditional parties should be on their guard for a Green surge

The Green Party has seen a significant rise in party membership and voting intention. Sarah Birch investigates where the Greens’ new support is coming from and what accounts for the rising popularity. She finds that the Greens may now be attracting voters from across a wider spectrum of the population, which should give MPs looking to retain their seats in 2015 cause for concern.
In the run-up to […]

  • Ed-Miliband-1
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    Avoiding talk of the deficit has been a systematic feature of Labour’s contribution to the economic debate

Avoiding talk of the deficit has been a systematic feature of Labour’s contribution to the economic debate

Ed Miliband was roundly mocked for ‘forgetting’ to mention the deficit in his speech to the Labour Party conference. However, as Jack Blumenau shows in this post, avoiding talk of the deficit is a systematic feature of Labour’s contributions to the political debate about the economy over the past four years. In a statistical analysis of parliamentary speeches, he […]

  • Clegg - CC BY UK in Brazil_0
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    Prior Liberal Democrat voters who are now undecided will be crucial for the party in the 2015 general election

Prior Liberal Democrat voters who are now undecided will be crucial for the party in the 2015 general election

The Liberal Democrats have gathered in Glasgow for their annual conference. What is the scale of their challenge? Two surveys indicate that the Liberal Democrats are set to lose 75-78% of their 2010 vote, with Labour getting the highest proportion of this and other parties, including UKIP, also benefiting. Importantly, around 20%) of prior Liberal Democrat voters are now undecided, and […]

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    Ed Miliband’s conference speech should be understood as part of a narrative reorientation process

Ed Miliband’s conference speech should be understood as part of a narrative reorientation process

John Gaffney takes a look at Ed Miliband’s rhetorical approach at the Labour Party conference, writing that The challenge now is to reorientate the party – through his performance – towards an election winning set of policies that will keep the party united behind him and reflect him as possessing a Prime Minister’s ‘character’. 

Nearly all the editorial coverage of Ed […]

  • Ed Miliband (2)
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    Labour invests the family silver in ‘credibility’ shares

Labour invests the family silver in ‘credibility’ shares

Many have been critical of Ed Miliband’s conference speech for not mentioning the deficit. But Labour has promised more or less the same austerity for the next five years in an attempt to earn ‘credibility’. Eunice Goes gives her take of the party’s conference this week, writing that Labour can’t have it both ways; those who doubt Labour’s ‘credibility’ will remain unpersuaded by the party’s ambivalent embrace […]

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    Though the Green Party’s popularity may continue to rise, it is too ideological to become a ‘UKIP of the Left’

Though the Green Party’s popularity may continue to rise, it is too ideological to become a ‘UKIP of the Left’

There was an air of confidence at the Green Party annual conference last weekend, with keynote speeches painting a clear target on Labour. James Dennison argues that, though the Green Party is likely to see its vote share increase over the next few years, it neither has the anti-elite credentials nor the untapped demographic to enjoy the successes of UKIP.

With attention on […]

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Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported
This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.