• Ed-Miliband-2
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    Ed Miliband’s conference speech should be understood as part of a narrative reorientation process

Ed Miliband’s conference speech should be understood as part of a narrative reorientation process

John Gaffney takes a look at Ed Miliband’s rhetorical approach at the Labour Party conference, writing that The challenge now is to reorientate the party – through his performance – towards an election winning set of policies that will keep the party united behind him and reflect him as possessing a Prime Minister’s ‘character’. 

Nearly all the editorial coverage of Ed […]

  • Ed Miliband (2)
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    Labour invests the family silver in ‘credibility’ shares

Labour invests the family silver in ‘credibility’ shares

Many have been critical of Ed Miliband’s conference speech for not mentioning the deficit. But Labour has promised more or less the same austerity for the next five years in an attempt to earn ‘credibility’. Eunice Goes gives her take of the party’s conference this week, writing that Labour can’t have it both ways; those who doubt Labour’s ‘credibility’ will remain unpersuaded by the party’s ambivalent embrace […]

  • Caroline Lucas rally
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    Though the Green Party’s popularity may continue to rise, it is too ideological to become a ‘UKIP of the Left’

Though the Green Party’s popularity may continue to rise, it is too ideological to become a ‘UKIP of the Left’

There was an air of confidence at the Green Party annual conference last weekend, with keynote speeches painting a clear target on Labour. James Dennison argues that, though the Green Party is likely to see its vote share increase over the next few years, it neither has the anti-elite credentials nor the untapped demographic to enjoy the successes of UKIP.

With attention on […]

  • Election forecast uk
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    Presenting a new model for forecasting the 2015 General Election

Presenting a new model for forecasting the 2015 General Election

With the 2015 General Election approaching in the distance, Chris Hanretty, Benjamin Lauderdale and Nick Vivyan have launched Election Forecast UK. Here they explain their model and the assumptions that underpin it and providing some preliminary predictions: they find another hung parliament is more likely than not (68 per cent) and that the Conservatives will edge Labour in seats (301 to […]

  • Douglas Carswell
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    Douglas Carswell’s defection to UKIP may have a significant impact on the Conservatives’ 2015 hopes

Douglas Carswell’s defection to UKIP may have a significant impact on the Conservatives’ 2015 hopes

Today Conservative MP Douglas Carswell announced that he will be leaving the Tories and will call a by-election that he will contest as a member of UKIP. Paul Whiteley writes that it will be a hard fought by-election campaign but UKIP can win it, making it less likely that the Conservatives can win the general election next year if they do so.

Douglas Carswell, the Conservative […]

  • houses of parliament at dusk
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    The widespread belief that politics is broken should not be allowed to go unchallenged

The widespread belief that politics is broken should not be allowed to go unchallenged

That politics is broken and rotten in the UK may well be the defining belief of our time. But is it broken at Westminster? Tony Wright disagrees with the pervasive assessment, writing that, though the system does require a range of political reforms, reform requires a realistic understanding of what is wrong; and a determination to work to put it right.

It is […]

  • Nigel Farage (2)
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    Whither the UKIP vote? The 2014 local elections and implications for 2015

Whither the UKIP vote? The 2014 local elections and implications for 2015

Despite its best showing yet in the local and European elections, many are questioning whether the party can manage a breakthrough in the 2015 general election given past results. However, Steven Ayres finds that there are a number of factors that indicate things may be different this time around.

Some time on from the May 2014 European and local elections, the results may be out of […]

General election 2015: What do the bookmakers say?

Chris Hanretty analyses the current bookmakers predictions for the general election 2015. The odds from Ladbrokes imply Labour will fall short of a majority, he argues.

At the time of writing, bookmakers Ladbrokes offer odds on the winning parties in 449 of the 632 mainland Britain constituencies. Betting odds offer useful information about the probability of events happening. A bookmaker that […]

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Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported
This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.