• Belfast
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    Northern Ireland is suddenly relevant for Westminster elections and Westminster is relevant for Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland is suddenly relevant for Westminster elections and Westminster is relevant for Northern Ireland

What happens in the 18 constituencies of Northern Ireland next May could well be of profound importance both for the outcome at Westminster and for the stability of Northern Ireland. In past elections, MPs from Northern Ireland have been largely irrelevant to the legislative arithmetic of government formation in Westminster. However, in 2015, as Matthew Whiting shows in this […]

Anger and fear: how do they shape our vote?

‘Angry voters turn to anti-politics of Nigel Farage’, the FT reports. Scotland’s ‘No’ campaign tried to scare people into voting against independence, Alex Salmond argued. Such statements are not rare. When explaining how people vote, we often turn to emotional explanations, and usually we don’t mean this as a compliment. Instead, saying that people’s decisions are emotional is used […]

  • support for Labour party by religion
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    Religion is an important predictor of party choice in UK general elections

Religion is an important predictor of party choice in UK general elections

Political elites often down play the importance of religion in UK elections. In this post, however, James Tilley uses survey data to show that religion remains an important predictor of party vote choice, even when controlling for a host of other voter characteristics. He argues that religious voting stems from religious divisions of the 19th and 20th century, and explores […]

  • forecasters1
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    Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future

Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future

Forecasting election results is hard. Forecasting UK election results is even harder. Forecasting in 2015 will be harder still. Over the coming months, this blog will showcase a wide variety of academic research analysing the forthcoming UK general election, with a particular focus on those researchers who are trying to predict the election outcome. In the introductory post to the […]

  • Gordon Brown
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    (Re)evaluating Gordon Brown: It’s important to factor context into our assessment of political leaders

(Re)evaluating Gordon Brown: It’s important to factor context into our assessment of political leaders

Gordon Brown has received many negative evaluations for his tenure as Prime Minister.  Jim Buller and Toby James argue that some of this is unfair. When taking into consideration the circumstances and how he responded, a different picture emerges.

Gordon Brown has announced his decision to ‘stand down’ as MP and not contest the next election. Brown had largely stepped back from ‘front-line’ politics after leaving […]

  • Scottish parliament back
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    With the Smith Commission reporting and the SNP surging, the Scottish Labour party has reached a critical juncture

With the Smith Commission reporting and the SNP surging, the Scottish Labour party has reached a critical juncture

The Smith Commission report on further devolution to Scotland has just been published. Here, Craig McAngus writes about the difficult position the Scottish Labour party is in. It has to portray itself as truly Scottish, capture and understand the constitutional zeitgeist, and give the impression that it cares about Scottish concerns over maintaining the influence of its MPs in Westminster. 

In Aesop’s fable ‘The Man and the […]

  • UKIP car
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    The negative campaigning in Rochester and Strood may have long-lasting implications for attitudes towards immigrants and the poor

The negative campaigning in Rochester and Strood may have long-lasting implications for attitudes towards immigrants and the poor

What impact may the Rochester and Strood campaign, which was primarily about immigration and its impact on the welfare system, have on the way its citizens perceive and interact with one another? Trude Sundberg looks at the research and argues that political campaigns coloured by anti-immigrant sentiments potentially have a long-lasting negative impact on citizens’ concern towards the living conditions of others in […]

  • UKIP supporters
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    The Rochester by-election highlights a pervasive ‘anti-politics’ mood in the UK

The Rochester by-election highlights a pervasive ‘anti-politics’ mood in the UK

The result in the Rochester and Strood by-election makes clear that many are looking to Westminster and venting their dissatisfaction with what they perceive to be a distant, unresponsive and dishonest political class. The anger underpinning UKIP support is a product of the particular performance of the governing and opposition parties’ in the current economic climate as well as the perceived […]

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Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported
This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.