elections

  • Permalink Gallery

    ‘A conservatism that keeps the British dream alive’ – the rhetoric of Theresa May’s conference speech

‘A conservatism that keeps the British dream alive’ – the rhetoric of Theresa May’s conference speech

During her conference speech, Theresa May was subjected to events which were out of her control – a cold, a prankster, and falling letters. But this explanation may mean little to those who were not in the conference chamber, writes Andrew S. Crines. He analyses the speech and concludes that the PM could pay a high price for the […]

Why did the Conservatives lose the 1945 election?

Robert Crowcroft examines how the Conservative party conceptualized the problem of ‘the future’ in the run up to the 1945 election, and explains that their message was bleak, especially compared to that of Labour. He writes that, irrespective of the validity of those assessments, the 1945 contest raises broader questions about what the public is prepared to hear during […]

Redshift over Britain: is the Centre moving Left?

Is Jeremy Corbyn the new Centre in British politics? Ed Straw explains how years of privatisation, uncontrolled immigration, and deterioration in public services – combined with the lack of choice that comes with First Past the Post – all call for a leftward turn, and could rejuvenate the Labour Party.

Turning a signpost through 90 degrees at a crossroads in […]

Scotland and the myth of the ‘Corbyn bounce’

What explains the SNP’s performance in the 2017 general election? Although recent focus has been on the ‘Corbyn factor’ theory, Sean Swan writes that many factors were at play. Too much focus on Corbyn is not going to be productive for the SNP.

The SNP, or at least sections of it, have been dissecting the general election in Scotland in […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Why party leader approval ratings do not predict election outcomes

Why party leader approval ratings do not predict election outcomes

Ahead of the 2015 general election, Jack Blumenau found a weak relationship between party leader approval ratings and election outcomes. In light of the 2017 election, he re-run the analysis and here he explains why the data confirmed his earlier conclusion.

During the 2015 UK general election I wrote a piece for the LSE election blog which looked at whether […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    What explains the narrowing of GE2017 polls? Women – both young and older

What explains the narrowing of GE2017 polls? Women – both young and older

Rosalind Shorrocks recently reviewed the ways in which gender matters for GE2017, showing that, although Labour is particularly popular among young women, this was the demographic most undecided about how to vote. In this follow up piece with Stephen Fisher they write that there has been an increase in support for Labour from women after the manifesto launches. This […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    In what ways does gender matter for voting behaviour in GE2017?

In what ways does gender matter for voting behaviour in GE2017?

In an election characterised by a focus on Brexit, gender-neutral campaigns, and a dominant Conservative Party supported by more men than women, Rosalind Shorrocks explains the ways in which gender may affect vote choice. She writes that although Labour is particularly popular among young women, this is also the demographic most undecided about how to vote.

The Fawcett Society recently […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    How members of different faith communities feel about UK political parties

How members of different faith communities feel about UK political parties

Siobhan McAndrew investigates the most recent wave of the British Election Study online panel. She finds that overall religious affiliation matters for how people feel towards the major parties but there is a substantial overlap between religious affiliation and other identities and basic values.

Social scientists have become interested in cultural values and how they explain the seismic political events […]