Christopher Wlezien

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    The media and public opinion react to changes in economic conditions, not the state of the economy in general.

The media and public opinion react to changes in economic conditions, not the state of the economy in general.

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Economic headlines have come to dominate media reports in our contemporary 24/7 news cycle. But how are economic changes reflected by the media? By comparing more than 30,000 news stories from the New York Times and The Washington Post with economic and consumer indicators, Stuart Soroka, Dominik Stecula, and Christopher Wlezien, find that the media and public opinion react […]

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    National polls and district information point to a 10 seat GOP midterm swing in the House to 244 seats.

National polls and district information point to a 10 seat GOP midterm swing in the House to 244 seats.

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This midterm cycle, much commentary has been focused on Senate races, given that the Republican Party looks very likely to hold and increase its seats in the House of Representatives. But how many House seats should the GOP expect to win? With a week to go, Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien give an updated House forecast. […]

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    Early campaign economic perceptions can help to predict the national verdict on Election Day

Early campaign economic perceptions can help to predict the national verdict on Election Day

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It is well known that elections are determined by certain fundamental variables: internal factors that reflect voters’ long-term political predispositions and external factors that are unique to each campaign. Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien examine how one external factor, the state of the economy, compares to how voters’ internal factors evolve over the final 200 days of presidential […]

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