Apr 29 2012

Analyzing the ‘war on terror’ and its impact on Americans

Leave a comment

Jennifer Noud, undergraduate at Florida State university, examines how the war on terror has evolved and impacted on Americans since 9/11.

Previous modern wars have traditionally been broadcast through radio and then television. The current ‘war on terror’ is drastically distinctive because of both the advent of the internet and the way the war is being reported. In the article, “The Real Terror War Is On the Internet” a U. S. National Intelligence Estimate says that radicalization is occurring rapidly and anonymously because of the internet; this makes surprise attacks more likely, especially attacks by unknown groups that use the internet.  Furthering it’s argument the article states that “we judge that groups of all stripes will increasingly use the Internet to communicate, propagandize, recruit, train and obtain logistical and financial support”.

Continue reading

Print Friendly
FacebookGoogle GmailDeliciousShare
Posted by: Posted on by Posted by AD Brown

Apr 7 2012

Beware the Al Qaeda phantom in Syria

Leave a comment

Abdul Hakim Belhaj an example by some of Syrian ties to Al Qaeda

As Hafez al Assad stares down at the rapidly deteriorating situation in Syria from that special place in heaven for Syrian dictators, surely the thought that a Libyan styled intervention happening in Syria would have crossed his mind. As much as it would make him turn in his grave, there is very little moral credit these days to staunchly deny that an imminent or at the very least a likely intervention is just around the corner.

All the quintessential elements are present and accounted for – there is a dictator with an alleged history of sponsoring terrorism who with each move he makes does no favours for himself in the eyes of the international community, there is a resilient population that knows not the meaning of being subdued, a Syrian National Council that should slowly gain momentum as things unravel in Syria and soon in the Free Syrian Army we might have a Northern Alliance. At the time of this writing, a humanitarian intervention makes sense, but what makes a moment opportune? Or more importantly is there something unseen here that ought to be?

Continue reading

Print Friendly
FacebookGoogle GmailDeliciousShare
Posted by: Posted on by Posted by AD Brown Tagged with: , , , , , , , ,

Mar 4 2012

Car Bomb: from Belfast to Baghdad

Leave a comment

Belfast on 21st July 1972 will always be remembered as a black day for those covering the history of the troubles in Northern Ireland, for it is the day that the Provisional Irish Republican Army (IRA) set a precedent which even today is the curse of all urban conflict: The deadly car bomb.

Twenty-two car bombs in the space of eight minutes, nearly 400 kilograms of explosives used, between 30 and 70 minute warnings given, and nine people die with 130 civilians injured.

Kill a leader. Defy a government. Blow up the peace.

The use of remote car bombs are still a phenomenon which conflicts around the world have failed to overcome, and with good reason. All that it requires is roads, and traffic. Wherever we need to go, whatever place we need to stop, be it a place of work or a busy airport or train station; there is always that street or road we can’t escape.

And twenty-first century conflict has been synonymous with car bombs; they are the pedestrian’s worst nightmare, the terrorist’s best weapon. They can bring civilian life to a near halt, they can cause unprecedented economic damage, and they can take a whole city hostage.

In urban conflict they are free from limitations: no trenches no bases; just roads and streets.

Continue reading

Print Friendly
FacebookGoogle GmailDeliciousShare
Posted by: Posted on by Posted by AD Brown Tagged with: , , , ,

Feb 26 2012

GWOT bi-weekly round-up February 26

Leave a comment

Afghanistan

Paul Miller questions Obama’s policy towards Afghanistan.

Qatar

Harry’s Place looks at Qatar’s decision to host a conference of anti-semites.

Saudi Arabia

The Arabist looks at protests in Saudi Arabia.

Syria

J.E.Dyer looks at Obama’s “active” support for those struggling against Assad. Spencer Ackerman looks at concerns about Syria’s WMD’s.
Anne-Marie Slaughter
calls for more direct intervention.
Lawrence Haas
praises journalists who operate in war-zones, like Marie Colvin.
Commentary
looks at Saudi proposals for arming anti-Assad fighters.
Michael Weiss
argues that any negotiation with Assad and his regime would be futile.
Emile Nakhleh
believes Western intervention is a matter of time.

Print Friendly
FacebookGoogle GmailDeliciousShare
Posted by: Posted on by Posted by AD Brown

Feb 16 2012

The road not taken: how Frost is teaching us to understand the Muslim Brotherhood in the fight against Al Qaeda

Leave a comment

In this article Meor Alif examines the future of an Egypt governed by the Muslim Brotherhood, arguing that both expectations and preconceived notions of the Brotherhood should be adjusted in light of their historical legacy in Egypt and the reality of the situation on the ground.

“Two roads diverged in a yellow wood, and sorry I could not travel both”

For decades the international community pretended to lose sleep over the fate that had befallen Egypt. It was not too long ago when instability, oppression, deprivation and the lack of respect for human rights were all words that we didn’t even think twice to use when describing the domestic conditions that the country was under. Despite our supposed best efforts to facilitate change, Egypt remained a quicksand for hope and with its hopelessness, thousands upon thousands of fellow human beings were left to rot under a government that they simply had no say in. And as though that was not bad enough – the real irony of the bigger picture was that Mubarak and his league of truly extraordinary gentlemen claimed to be coherent with democracy, and worst of all, our tacit acceptance and cooperation with his regime made a mockery out of the universal principles which we claim to stand for. Rather than change it – we lived with it. And we tried to make a profit out of it – after all what were we to do? It was just how it was and we were just making the best out of it.

Well, when enough is enough, three weeks is all it takes.

The events that unfolded between 25th January and 11th February 2011 were magnificent. The word uprising has never described something so meaningful in the 21st century until it was used to describe the protests that occurred in Egypt. The near impossible was achieved through several series of mass protests in Egypt, and now, almost a year after that fateful February day when Hosni Mubarak was escorted to the dustbin of history, the world and the entire Egyptian nation is still reeling from the shockwaves that Tahrir created.

However, the bigger question remains, what will the future look like? Can we support the change that is happening in Egypt? Can we, against every fibre of our conviction that is unwilling to support ‘evil Islamists’, rally behind the Muslim Brotherhood?

Continue reading

Print Friendly
FacebookGoogle GmailDeliciousShare
Posted by: Posted on by Posted by AD Brown Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Feb 13 2012

GWOT bi-weekly round-up February 13

Leave a comment

Afghanistan

The Economist’s Clausewitz blog discusses Pakistan’s role in supporting the Afghan Taliban.

Democracy

Jay Ufelder looks at the survival chances of democracies in the Middle East.

Egypt

Barry Rubin looks at the evolving allegiances of Egypt’s army.

Iran

The Commentator advocates a strong line on Iran.

Syria

Daniel Korski looks at how we can stop Bashir Assad.
J.E.Dyer is not disappointed by Russia and China’s veto.
Juan Cole disagrees with intervention in Syria.
Daniel Drezner thinks the US should arm the Free Syrian Army.
Elliott Abrams agrees.
Michael Weiss thinks that Russia and China’s decision to intervene make a mockery of the arguments against US intervention.

Beginning February 13, GWOT weekly round-ups are now bi-weekly, published on Mondays and will now be authored by Clark Clifford. 

Print Friendly
FacebookGoogle GmailDeliciousShare
Posted by: Posted on by Posted by AD Brown

Feb 1 2012

Hezbollah: enter the Arab Summer

1 Comment

This week Meor Alif examines Hezbollah and a Middle East changed by the Arab Spring. From its modest beginnings, Hezbollah has emerged as an eminent force in the region bolstered by Iran but this alliance faces a number of challenges. Hezbollah and Iran, argues Meor Alif, will have to adapt to a post-Arab Spring that has reshaped the political landscape in the region.

Very few fighting units in the course of modern history can boast to have such an impressive portfolio than that of Hezbollah in waging effective asymmetric warfare. It doesn’t take much to realize that given the right time of day and the right weapons in their hand, Hassan Nasrallah’s band of brothers can make a Thermopylaeic stand against any incoming hoard. There is no doubt that it has traditionally been able to hold its own despite all sorts of geopolitical changes that has occurred in the Middle East. In recent weeks however, as we have witnessed in the news, there have been interesting developments in the politics surrounding the Sparta they live in. Hezbollah might be facing their toughest challenge to date with the slow but certain demise of the Assad family in Syria. This regime change seems to be ebbing away against Hezbollah’s traditional power base and draws out a very intriguing point to consider; what is the future of Hezbollah in Levant? And will they be able to adapt to the changes to continue to be the force that they are in the axis of resistance?

Continue reading

Print Friendly
FacebookGoogle GmailDeliciousShare
Posted by: Posted on by Posted by AD Brown Tagged with: , , , , , , , , ,

Jan 31 2012

GWOT weekly round-up January 30

Leave a comment

Due to technical difficulties the GWOT blog has been unable to publish posts for the past few weeks. Apologies to all our readers for this downtime. To catch up on our weekly round-ups, we will be publishing a larger weekly round-up today with this post and the regular weekly round-up for this past week on Monday.

Afghanistan

Juan Cole looks at how problems in Pakistan will affect its neighbour.
Thomas Joscelyn believes that the Taliban are insincere about a negotiated peace.

Arab Spring

Melanie Phillips is pessimistic about the Arab Spring.
David Hearst argues that Anglo-Saudi relations undercut Cameron’s support for democracy in the Middle East and North Africa.

Democracy

Stephen Walt suggests that gradual democratisation may be more sustainable that a sudden change.
Jay Ulfelder analyzes the factors that determine the success of democratic transitions.

Egypt

The Arabist looks at the future of Civil-Military relations in Egypt.

Iran

Michael Rubin discusses Iran’s posturing in the straits of Hormuz.
Ray Walser looks at Iran-Cuba links.
Lawrence Haas discounts the value of regional expertise.
Spencer Ackerman looks at US troop deployments in the Persian Gulf.
The Arabist has a round-up of other Iran related material.
William Tobey argues that assassinations are a sign of Israeli desperation and no substitute for action.
Jeffrey Goldberg criticises Israel’s tactics against Iran’s nuclear programme.
Jennifer Dyer looks at the role that Russia and China can play in Iran.

Nigeria

Colin Freeman looks at the deteriorating situation in Nigeria.

Syria

John McCreary believes that recent events have left Assad’s regime on the brink of collapse.
Michael Weiss looks at the prospects for Western intervention in Syria.
Paul Bonicelli is optimistic that Assad’s regime will collapse.

North Korea

Scott Snyder sees some possibility that talks might restart.

Print Friendly
FacebookGoogle GmailDeliciousShare
Posted by: Posted on by Posted by AD Brown