With a general election imminent, Ewan McGaughey (King’s College London) argues that a new law is urgently needed to stop the poll being swung by stolen data, foreign donations and Russian interference.
If a no-deal Brexit is averted, Britain nonetheless faces the prospect of a general election going ahead without electoral law reform. As Boris Johnson goaded the Leader of the Opposition last week as a ‘big girl’s blouse’ for not agreeing to an election, it seems likely that those behind him – Dominic Cummings, Steve Bannon and Nigel Farage – will deploy the strategy they used in the 2016 referendum: exploiting legal loopholes and the slow administration of justice, to lie and steal the vote.
Everyone who believes in democracy should support legislation before the next election to stop data theft, dark foreign money, foreign social media cyber-war, and evasion of criminal justice. We need a Democracy Protection Act 2019 to suffocate the far right’s criminal electoral strategy.
Data theft
According to the cross-party Culture, Media and Sport select committee, voters’ data was harvested from Facebook, insurance companies and others, and used by Vote Leave and Leave.eu against voters in the 2016 referendum. According to Dominic Cummings, in a video he tried to erase (now reposted, and below), they ‘sucked in data on the precise same basis as Facebook allows’. This was personal data that was not theirs, and Facebook has been fined for allowing it. Then he said he used this data to psycho-target ‘about seven million people’ who ‘saw something like… one and a half billion digital ads’, ‘really in the last three or four days’ before the vote (from 16:55).
Similarly, Brexit’s biggest donor, Arron Banks, called voters’ personal information, which he harvested from insurance call centres, ‘my data’. Nobody consented to let these men target them with ads, a method that the House of Commons heard described as ‘weapons-grade technology’. The meaning of ‘theft’ in the Theft Act 1968 is dishonestly appropriating property belonging to another with an intention to permanently deprive them of it. Our personal information is a human right, and despite current case law, it should be treated as our property. There has been no indication that Brexiteers have deleted the data of those seven million or other voters. It will therefore be used again.
Dark foreign money
Second, in May 2019 it was revealed that the Brexit Party was collecting foreign donations under £500 in probable violation of the law. In R (Electoral Commission) v City of Westminster Magistrate’s Court and UKIP [2010] UKSC 40, [17] the Supreme Court found it was the clear intention of the government that parties must ‘declare the source of all donations above a minimum figure… Foreign funding will be banned.’
But when the Political Parties, Elections and Referendums Act 2000 was drafted, it was not so clear – it could be interpreted that the £500 threshold for disclosure also applied to the ban on foreign donations, even though the government and the Supreme Court have explicitly said the threshold was for disclosure only. The Electoral Commission has failed to bring proceedings against the Brexit Party, probably because it fears litigation. This means far-right political parties’ bank accounts risk being flooded with foreign money, to be used against British voters in psycho-targeted ads.
Foreign social media cyber-war
Third, an existential threat to British democracy is cyberwarfare by Putin’s regime in Russia. The DCMS select committee found that Russia has already engaged in ‘unconventional warfare’ against British voters. Yale historian Timothy Snyder has documented this from the time of the Scottish independence vote and in the Brexit poll. In the US 2016 Presidential election, the Mueller report found that Russia’s attacks were ‘sweeping and systematic’. The tactics were tested during Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine, and are now deployed across the world.
Cyberwarfare occurs through Russian agents exploiting our social media networks. Fake profiles are set up, which share, retweet, like, and comment on social media posts to amplify messages in order to rupture support for their political enemies. It seems truly incredible that this could have had any effect. It is easier to believe the denials, even against overwhelming evidence. But this threat is intentional and real: in 2016, Russian state media had more reach on social media than the Vote Leave and Remain campaigns combined. They spread lies and engage in systematic harassment, propelling sexism, racism, antisemitism, Islamophobia and homophobia. Facebook has reportedly deleted billions of fake profiles, but without democratic oversight, and the company acting alone is insufficient. Social media corporations have a financial interest in maximising the quantity of discourse (however corrosive) and the number of users (however fake) to profit from ads. Brexit is a key element of the Kremlin’s geopolitical strategy, because it disables another UN Security Council member, and begins to dismantle the EU.
Why does Russia do this? The best answer is probably that its exports are over 55% coal, gas and oil (compared to the UK’s 8%). To maintain demand for these toxic products, it backs climate damage deniers and sceptics worldwide, including Donald Trump, Alternative für Deutschland, Lega Nord and Nigel Farage. It cannot touch China, but is having serious success in the US, France, the UK and across the EU – the political entities with the greatest capacity to stop climate damage. I said this directly to Russia Today – a propaganda network that should be banned – and then told its TV host he should quit. Unsurprisingly they didn’t broadcast the whole interview.
Evasion of criminal justice
Fourth, laws must be enforced. Before the Brexit poll in 2016, the then home secretary Theresa May reportedly stopped an investigation into whether Arron Banks – Brexit’s £8.4m donor – was financed by Russia. A failing insurance salesman, Banks visited the Russian Embassy multiple times, lied about it to the Commons, and was allegedly offered a gold mine: credit he could use to finance the largest donation in British political history. While Boris Johnson was foreign secretary, the suggestion that there was any ‘successful’ interference by Russia in British politics was denied. But ‘successful’ interference is a matter of judgement, and would be intensely embarrassing, so that will not happen easily. Dominic Cummings, now in Downing Street, has a history of Russian sympathy. The Metropolitan Police still have not completed their investigation into Banks, who cannot prove he is the ‘true source’ of his money.
Undermining of the rule of law and constitutional convention is mounting. Parliament is being prorogued. Cummings has a security pass to Parliament despite being held in contempt of it. Johnson threatens to ignore an Act of Parliament. We risk descending into an eternal state of Brexit paralysis. A no-deal exit will reduce the UK to pauperism, unable to make autonomous economic decisions in the face of multinational corporate power. Even as party to a US trade deal, Canada is routinely sued for violating World Trade Organization laws, particularly in environmental policy. India’s solar programme has been attacked in the same way. Brazil faced litigation for trying to stop AIDS. The issue is not whether these cases are right or wrong. It is that in fighting them, the UK will be alone. The UK will languish under puppet governments beholden to international finance, the fossil fuel industry, and corporations that want to privatise the NHS.
A Democracy Protection Act 2019
For all these reasons, Parliament – before supporting the next election – should pass a Democracy Protection Act. Section 1 should require that all personal data held by political organisations, other than that freely given in door knocking and phone calls, must be deleted, and make it a criminal offence to do otherwise. Personal data should be treated as property. No personal data should be stored without explicit consent, and consent should be revocable any time. As the Institute of Practitioners in Advertising recommends, targeted political ads should be halted.
Section 2 should state simply ‘Foreign donations of any amount are banned’. If Parliament clarifies the law, the Electoral Commission will act to cleanse the Brexit Party coffers of foreign cash.
Section 3 should require that all major social media, particularly Facebook, YouTube and Twitter, have an immediate duty to delete all sock-puppets or bots which are not verifiably a human being or a legitimate entity. Automated functions should be banned, unless positively authorised. All harassment, or conduct in violation of the Equality Act 2010 should be banned, with vicarious liability for the websites that enable it, like in the workplace. Sock-puppets and harassment are already banned on many other websites, such as Wikipedia.
Section 4 should establish a Royal Inquiry into the conduct of the referendum, make it an offence for a public official to interfere with prosecution decisions, and require prosecution for electoral offences or deliberately flouting an Act of Parliament where there is a good arguable case for a conviction.
And for good measure, section 5 should say the Prime Minister may only dissolve and prorogue Parliament for a maximum of seven days each year, unless a majority of the House of Commons approve a longer period in a vote.
With these reforms, our technology and electoral system will be made safer for democracy. We are about to find out whether the UK’s uncodified constitution is as robust as we have taught for many years. I think it is, but we cannot leave it to chance.
This post represents the views of the author and not those of the Brexit blog, nor LSE.
You speak of the 7 million people contacted with digital ads. In the video Cummings was talking about what they did in the final 3 days. The total was 3 Billion digital ads to 8 Million electors, according to Tom Borwick who ran that side of things for Cummings. Borwick had worked for both SCL Group, and Cambridge Analytica, before Cummings persuaded him to join Vote Leave, and Borwick used one of his own companies to buy electoral registers containing 20 Million electors.
Cummings said that ‘someone found AggregateIQ on the Internet’, but it’s clear Borwick would have done work with AggregateIQ whilst at CA and he knew exactly where to go to use the data they had collected.
That database still exists. The real question is where is it now?
Then do not overlook that we know Arron Banks used his GoSkippy database of 1.5 Million to supplement what he already had from UKIP. So, there were two large databases – Big Data – being used. It is my belief that Banks has worked through his company of Big Data Dolphins to develop that database for The Brexit Party, starting when he left UKIP, and not as Farage would have us believe, six weeks before The Brexit Party launched. Furthermore, Banks has been pumping out hundreds of digital ads aimed at the deselection of every Conservative who has opposed the Brexiteers – he has developed entryism way beyond anything achieved by Momentum for the Labour Party.
many people (myself included) had already made up our minds on voting out a decade or so before- anyone in their 40-50’s and had lived through the transformation of the UK through membership of the EU -that we didnt have a referendum on anyway- only the EEC in 1975- 3 years in of joining the EEC- the EU membership was rammed through via the maastrict treaty by JOHN MAJOR signed off without mandate to do so via referendum.
People just dont vote because of a pop up on facebook, because of a letter or mailing through their letterbox ( even though the government pro -remain brochure popped on every householders doormat – taxpayer funded- whether you like it or not failed to sway the vote, we all knew what we were voting for -and against) over time people see the effect on their lives, and the degrading of that through membership of the “club” and vote accordingly. The parties such as UKIP , leave etc just gave a voice and a direction to vote for those who already had decided.
– whether you like it or not…
Jason Partridge. I agree with you. I voted against my family because of a conversation I had with someone who was living in my grangmother’snorthern seaside town. The railway had gone, the fishing had gone and the town was a shadow of it’s former self. The fishing had been sold out to EU policy and French and Dutch national interests. The other conversation i had was at a dinner. It was hardly a conversation because a dinner is not a place for politics, but the remark that all the UK needed was the Financial service sector of the city of London and the rest did not matter much made me feel quite a chill.This from the brother of someone in government. What is not understood is thatpeople need to earn their own living. For thsi they need national government support and not a centralised political experiment of the EU.where people’s lives can be used as pawns.There is something wrong with a country where all talent is pullecto London. London has become an ugly place of vulgar phalic glass and steel.It is expensive and overcrowded . It is killing itself. i think it is Parliament against the people Parliament has no grasp. Boris Johnson has promised a new order which perhaps is not the answer. I think we needed someone like Rory Stewart who , coming from the Borders has a better grasp about where people are coming from. He understands that most countries in the EU have bigreal problems which are nothing to do with pop upsbut the simple fact thatmany many people’s lives are too hard.
“For all these reasons, Parliament – before supporting the next election – should pass a Democracy Protection Act.”
Agreed but only if, simultaneously, the recommendations of the Boundary Commision are implemented and a law is passed that in future the House of Lords should have sole control over this matter.
In 2013, the Liberals, Labour and the SNP voted not to change constituency boundaries to reflect changes in population distribution since the year 2000. Had those changes been implemented Mrs May would have entered office with a majority of 32 rather than 12. It is not acceptable that we should have another election under a system that has been gerrymandered.
To be honest, this discussion reminds me of someone saying that before we send out the fire-engine we need to give the fire-engine an MOT. The British government is in crisis at the moment with no government or potential government capable of getting the support of Parliament. There are lots of things wrong with elections as they are held in the UK at the moment, but government can’t go on. The kinds of reforms suggested would need substantial and difficult discussion and there is no time to implement them before an election.
“it seems likely that those behind him – Dominic Cummings, Steve Bannon and Nigel Farage – will deploy the strategy they used in the 2016 referendum: exploiting legal loopholes and the slow administration of justice, to lie and steal the vote.”
There are several crucial difference between General Elections and referenda, which discourage lying and unlawful donations in General Elections. Lying: in the UK at least, I think voters tend to be prejudiced against blatant liars in General Elections, because they don’t want to see a liar in Downing Street. Thus someone tending towards a political party’s policies may vote against that party if they see that party’s candidates as dishonest. But there was no similar incentive in the EU referendum, it would be illogical for someone already convinced that the UK should leave the EU to vote Remain because they disapproved of Vote Leave’s campaign. Unlawful donations: there is already a procedure for dealing with these. They can, and do, lead to elected MPs being ejected from Parliament and forced to rerun. This seems to work as an effective deterrent.
Of course a lot of things are wrong, but it would be difficult to fix them with hasty legislation. If you have a handy algorithm for accurately identifying sock puppets and automated accounts then please let Facebook, Twitter & co know. (If you patent it first you can retire afterwards … ). But the available mitigations just raise the bar, they would not prevent online campaigns being supported by ingenious people around the globe. The only way of doing that would be to cut off the UK from the rest of the Internet … There is already a ban on foreign donations in excess of 500 pounds, perhaps this should be reduced, but again, given the numerous ways of shuffling money around the globe, an effective ban on foreign donation is virtually impossible.
More laws…..more judges judging laws……..leads to more democracy?……..or a judicial neo autocracy?
As Mrs May might have said: democracy is the least worst form of government…..but it is the least worst form of government…….