On 6 May 2010, US financial markets experienced a systemic intraday event that has come to be known as the “Flash Crash.”[i] The large and temporary decline in prices and the corresponding increase in trading volume in the S&P 500 E-mini Futures on 6 May is depicted in the figure below. During this extreme volatility event, which took about […]
Technology is changing society more than ever before. The way we shop, socialise and communicate have all changed radically over our lifetimes. The financial services industry is in many ways behind the curve, with many product lines unchanged in decades. We are likely to enter an online and digital age and many firms are yet to adapt to the […]
In May 2017, new available jobs in London’s financial sector fell by 16% relative to the same period the previous year. And while Frankfurt and Dublin are emerging as the favourite destinations after Brexit in terms of attracting investment banking jobs, Warsaw is also becoming a destination. The announcements of actual or planned reassignments add up to a potential 17,000 jobs leaving London, out […]
With less than two years until Britain leaves the EU, the implications of Brexit for financial stability are of some concern. Two key central bankers have reached opposites conclusions, with Mark Carney worried and Mario Draghi more sanguine. Broadly in line with Draghi, we think Brexit should mostly decrease systemic risk, albeit with a potential for an increase.
Brexit will […]
The last financial crises highlight the importance of operational procedures used by central banks to cool down financial distress. To fulfill their mandate of financial stability, central banks have always featured temporary extraordinary loans to previously ineligible financial intermediaries or to the purchases of new types of assets.
Critics of those policies insist central banks lack knowledge on their counterparties […]
One of the areas frequently mentioned as ripe for improvement by applications of the broad group of technologies known as blockchain, or distributed ledger technology (DLT), is capital markets. In the “ledger nirvana” of many blockchain proponents, market counterparties use consistent sets of trade data. They also use smart contracts, computer protocols that facilitate, verify, or enforce the negotiation […]
The concept of asset securitisation dates back to the Roman Empire. The practice of Pignus and Hypothec enabled a Roman citizen to secure his or her long-term debts with land. By the 11th and 12th centuries in medieval Europe, mortgages were used to finance crusades. Modern-day securitisation marks its beginning in Copenhagen, in the 1800’s, when the British set fire to the city. Proceeds from […]
The US-President has signed an executive order which directs the US Treasury department to revise financial regulation, especially the Dodd-Frank Act. But starting a regulatory competition with the EU will endanger global financial stability.
The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act was initiated under the Obama administration as a response to the Global Financial Crisis. President Trump argues […]
Sovereign credit rating decisions taken by major agencies such as Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s (S&P) and Fitch are often considered a ‘black box.’ Empirical analysis has concluded that up to 40 per cent of credit rating decisions cannot be explained by economic fundamentals.
This is not a trivial issue because sovereign credit ratings provide a measure of the probability that […]
Shadow banking has become a systemic pillar of global finance. A typical map shows a complex network of shadow entities such as highly levered off-balance-sheet vehicles, broker-dealers, private equity firms, money market funds or hedge funds. Yet (large) regulated banks also moved in the shadows, driven by a combination of yield, regulatory and tax arbitrage in order to engage […]
The financial economics literature regularly assumes that the markets in which firms sell their products are perfectly competitive, i.e., that firms take product prices as given while making corporate decisions. Alternatively, many models in the literature assume that firms operate in isolation, and hence their decisions do not affect other firms. Reality lies in between. The most prominent firms […]
The financial market landscape has changed dramatically since the global financial crisis nine years ago. A key feature of today is the dominance of central banks in financial markets, especially in Europe. However, central bank activism has crowded out long-term investors (insurance companies, pension funds and sovereign wealth funds).
Not only do long-term investors hold assets worth about USD 70 trillion […]
A debate about whether firms with superior customer satisfaction also earn better-than-average stock returns has been persistent in the academic business and marketing literature (Fornell, Mithas, Morgeson, and Krishnan 2006). Proponents of the customer satisfaction-stock market relationship make a simple, intuitive argument that is highly relevant to both consumers and investors: Companies that do better by their customers also […]
The decision whether to buy a financial asset and add it to an existing portfolio depends on three main variables: (1) what is the asset’s return? (2) What is the asset’s level of risk? and (3) how well does the asset fit into my existing portfolio?
The third question is usually answered by looking at the correlation between assets. At […]
Corporate bond spreads – the difference in yields between a risky corporate bond and a low-risk government bond – have significant ability to predict GDP growth rates for the largest European economies and the onset of recessions. We found that in our recent research. The study also shows that when bond spreads widen, they reduce GDP growth by a […]
Besides inflicting losses to shareholders, corporate fraud may also have indirect effects on people’s willingness to participate in the stock market, which may generate even larger losses by increasing the cost of capital for other firms. Evidence of the externalities generated by corporate fraud, however, is quite limited.
In our paper, we explore the effect of corporate scandals on the demand […]
Private equity firms are financial actors that sponsor investment funds that raise billions of dollars each year. The funds typically buy out high-performing companies using high amounts of debt and plan to resell them in a five-year window – promising investors outsized returns in the process. They propose to do this through a combination of operational improvements and financial […]
My wife is a surgeon, and her field of medicine has been transformed by the ‘evidence-based’ approach. Every pill she prescribes is extensively tested and empirically validated. You will agree that this makes sense, since it directly affects our physical health.
However, when it comes to our financial health we are not yet that advanced. When somebody makes a profitable […]
The New York Times building, by Haxorjoe, under a CC-BY-SA-3.0 licence
Firms that are more visible in the press are better governed and more profitable. But investors underestimate the value of visibility and could profit from investing into high-visibility firms.
In our study, ‘The Value of Visibility’, we analyse 90 years of The New York Times’ coverage of more than 22,000 publicly listed US […]