Kai Arzheimer

Look ahead to 2017: The German federal election

To mark the end of the year, we’ve asked our contributors to preview some of the potential stories of 2017. In this contribution, Kai Arzheimer looks ahead to the German federal election, which is due to be held in the autumn.

In September 2017, Germans will go to the polls to elect the members of their national parliament, the Bundestag. In […]

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    The AfD’s second place in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania illustrates the challenge facing Merkel in 2017

The AfD’s second place in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania illustrates the challenge facing Merkel in 2017

Angela Merkel’s CDU came third behind the Alternative for Germany (AfD) and the German Social Democrats (SPD) in elections in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania on 4 September. Kai Arzheimer writes that while the result was not unexpected and the CDU still has a lead in national polling, the election underlines the challenge facing Merkel as she seeks reelection in the next […]

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    What does the UK’s election result mean for Europe? Four expert responses

What does the UK’s election result mean for Europe? Four expert responses

Simon Usherwood: “For an EU that’s really suffered in recent years, this is all another massive problem to have to deal with”
Kai Arzheimer: “Angela Merkel will not be thrilled by the news that David Cameron will continue as PM”
John Gaffney: “Opinion in France is generally as stunned by the unexpected result as opinion in the UK”
Paul Kennedy: “Spain’s conservative […]

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    Despite hostile German public opinion, a deal on Greece may still be politically feasible for Angela Merkel

Despite hostile German public opinion, a deal on Greece may still be politically feasible for Angela Merkel

Following the Greek elections on 25 January, the Greek government has attempted to negotiate a deal with other European states, notably Germany, over the country’s debt. But how might opinions within Germany affect the prospects of such a deal being reached? Kai Arzheimer writes on German public opinion and the views of German political decision-makers on the issue. He […]

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    Success for the AfD at the European Parliament elections would entrench their place in the German party system

Success for the AfD at the European Parliament elections would entrench their place in the German party system

At the 2013 German federal elections, the Eurosceptic Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) only narrowly fell short of the five per cent electoral threshold required to gain representation in the Bundestag. Ahead of the European Parliament elections in May, Kai Arzheimer assesses the party’s prospects. He notes that there is a significant gap between the party’s leadership and its support base, […]

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German federal elections preview: the parties and their campaigns

With Germany heading to the polls for federal elections tomorrow, Kai Arzheimer offers a final preview of the vote and outlines the main issues facing Germany’s major parties. He writes that as Angela Merkel and the CDU/CSU are comfortably ahead in the polls, the main issue will be whether their current coalition partner, the FDP, can clear the country’s five […]

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Germany’s new anti-euro party is unlikely to be a key player in September’s Federal Elections.

The formation of a new anti-euro party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), has generated significant media attention ahead of Germany’s Federal Elections in September. Kai Arzheimer assesses the party’s electoral prospects, arguing that despite the media coverage, the AfD will find it difficult to gain substantial support in the four months leading up to the election. Current opinion polls suggest only […]

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