italy2016referendum

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    Italy’s ‘trilemma’: How to balance integration, sovereignty and democracy following the constitutional referendum

Italy’s ‘trilemma’: How to balance integration, sovereignty and democracy following the constitutional referendum

On 4 December, Italian voters rejected a proposed constitutional reform in a referendum, with Matteo Renzi subsequently resigning as the country’s prime minister. Nicolò Fraccaroli writes on where the country now stands, arguing that the situation is best captured as a ‘trilemma’ where economic integration, national sovereignty, and democracy create competing pressures on Italy’s economy and political system.
Check out EUROPP’s […]

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    Stop the drama: Italy’s referendum outcome will not lead to the break-up of the EU

Stop the drama: Italy’s referendum outcome will not lead to the break-up of the EU

In the aftermath of Italy’s referendum and of Matteo Renzi’s resignation, a new government has taken office in Italy, led by former FM Paolo Gentiloni. What does the future hold for Italy and for the EU? Reflecting on media coverage of the referendum, Daniele Albertazzi takes issue with the hyperbole that has characterised much of the commentary, arguing that in spite of […]

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    Renzi’s referendum defeat is part of the legitimacy crisis plaguing left wing parties in Europe

Renzi’s referendum defeat is part of the legitimacy crisis plaguing left wing parties in Europe

The rejection of Matteo Renzi’s constitutional reform occurred in the context of a highly personalised referendum, hinting at a wider rebuff of his policies. Iacopo Mugnai argues that the outcome of the referendum was not a victory for the populists, but a defeat of an electoral machine without political vision.
Check out EUROPP’s full coverage of Italy’s constitutional referendum.
On Sunday 4th December […]

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    Will Italy’s post-Renzi government be led by a technocrat?

Will Italy’s post-Renzi government be led by a technocrat?

Already before Matteo Renzi had lost his constitutional referendum, media around the world claimed that a ‘government of technocrats’ was the most likely option to follow Renzi in case of electoral defeat. Drawing on their analysis of all technocratic governments appointed in 30 European democracies after 1977, Christopher Wratil and Giulia Pastorella estimate a rather low probability of 12-18% […]

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    Why Italy’s German-speakers overwhelmingly voted ‘Yes’

Why Italy’s German-speakers overwhelmingly voted ‘Yes’

Italy’s constitutional referendum resulted in a strong No vote in most parts of the country. But as Stephen J. Larin and Marc Röggla highlight, this was not the case everywhere, with over 60 per cent of voters in Italy’s predominantly German-speaking province, South Tyrol, backing the proposed reform. They write that this was a victory for the province’s governing […]

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    Italy cannot afford to allow political instability to affect its troubled banking system

Italy cannot afford to allow political instability to affect its troubled banking system

One of the key concerns raised since Matteo Renzi’s resignation as Italian Prime Minister is that a period of financial instability could damage Italy’s already fragile banking system. Mara Monti writes that although the short-term market reaction to Renzi’s resignation was fairly mild, there may be a more severe reaction if the political situation cannot be resolved before the […]

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    Italy’s referendum: Renzi’s big gamble failed. What’s next?

Italy’s referendum: Renzi’s big gamble failed. What’s next?

Following the outcome of today’s referendum, President Mattarella will do his best to avoid early elections. Any new caretaker government would easily take a full year to deliver a new electoral law and thus the baseline case remains for elections no earlier than the natural end of this parliamentary term in spring 2018, writes Lorenzo Codogno. The tail risks […]

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    Italy’s referendum: Renzi’s gamble failed, so what’s next?

Italy’s referendum: Renzi’s gamble failed, so what’s next?

Following the outcome of Sunday’s referendum, Italy’s President, Sergio Mattarella, will do his best to avoid early elections. Any new caretaker government would easily take a full year to deliver a new electoral law and thus the baseline case remains for elections no earlier than the natural end of this parliamentary term in spring 2018, writes Lorenzo Codogno. He […]

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Italy’s referendum was a triumph of hope over fear

What does the result of Italy’s constitutional referendum mean for the country moving forward? Valentino Larcinese argues that the vote should be seen as a positive development for Italian democracy, albeit one that has opened up deep divisions which will take time to heal.
Check out EUROPP’s full coverage of Italy’s constitutional referendum.
Sunday, 4 December 2016, was an extraordinary day for Italian […]

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    Reaction: Italian referendum and Matteo Renzi’s resignation

Reaction: Italian referendum and Matteo Renzi’s resignation

Italian Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi, has announced he will resign following defeat in the country’s constitutional referendum. We asked a number of EUROPP contributors for their immediate thoughts on the result, Renzi’s resignation, and where Italy is heading next. 

Alberto Alemanno: “The vote has killed the dream of once in a generation change”
James Newell: “The result was not simply another […]

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    Italy’s constitutional referendum: A roundup of the political commentary

Italy’s constitutional referendum: A roundup of the political commentary

On Sunday, 4 December, Italians are going to the polls to approve or reject the proposed constitutional reform, promoted by PM Matteo Renzi. The referendum may also carry political and economic consequences, as Renzi has stated he would resign in case the reform should not be approved. In the run up to the vote, Silvia Merler summarises some of […]

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    Criticism of Renzi’s constitutional reform is wide of the mark – it would make Italy’s institutions more efficient and responsive

Criticism of Renzi’s constitutional reform is wide of the mark – it would make Italy’s institutions more efficient and responsive

In the final days of campaigning before Italy’s referendum, we are featuring a number of articles on the pros and cons of the proposed constitutional changes. In this contribution, Corrado Morricone takes issue with recent criticism of the reforms, arguing that they would make the country’s institutions more efficient and responsive to the needs of citizens.
Interested in other points […]

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    Who’s afraid of the Five Star Movement? Why Italy leaving the euro remains unlikely regardless of what happens on Sunday

Who’s afraid of the Five Star Movement? Why Italy leaving the euro remains unlikely regardless of what happens on Sunday

Several observers have raised the possibility that should Italy’s constitutional referendum result in a No vote, it could leave the door open for Beppe Grillo’s Five Star Movement (M5S) to win power at the next Italian election. As James L. Newell writes, there has been particular concern over this prospect due to the Five Star Movement’s commitment to hold […]

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    Italy’s referendum: Don’t expect shockwaves after Sunday

Italy’s referendum: Don’t expect shockwaves after Sunday

The constitutional referendum scheduled for 4 December in Italy has been viewed as a key event for the country’s political stability. However, James L. Newell argues that the picture is far more complex than has commonly been recognised, with both a yes and a no vote likely to lead to a period of uncertainty.

Italy’s constitutional referendum, due to […]

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    The outcome of Italy’s referendum may be decided in Castelnuovo di Porto

The outcome of Italy’s referendum may be decided in Castelnuovo di Porto

Many Italian citizens living outside the country will have the opportunity to vote in the constitutional referendum on 4 December. But what impact could these votes have in shaping the result? Lorenzo Piccoli highlights that with voters outside Italy accounting for around 8 per cent of the electorate, the count at the Civil Protection Centre in Castelnuovo di Porto, […]

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Watch Italy’s referendum for potential banking problems

Italy’s constitutional referendum is fast approaching and financial markets are already jittery. Lorenzo Codogno and Mara Monti write that while some observers have pointed to the risk of the Five Star Movement getting into power, or even Italy leaving the euro, these are unlikely developments, at least in the short term. The real issue is not about political instability, […]

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    Italians should back the constitutional reform – there is no guarantee this opportunity will arise again

Italians should back the constitutional reform – there is no guarantee this opportunity will arise again

As part of our series covering Italy’s constitutional referendum, scheduled for 4 December, Marco Simoni outlines a case for a Yes vote. He argues that the proposed reform would address a number of key institutional weaknesses in the country, and that by improving the functioning of Italian democracy, it would help establish proper accountability and trust in the political […]

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    New survey evidence: Renzi’s support is damaging the chances of a Yes vote in Italy’s referendum

New survey evidence: Renzi’s support is damaging the chances of a Yes vote in Italy’s referendum

When the Italian constitutional referendum was called, Italy’s Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi, linked the result to the fate of his government, suggesting that he would resign in the case of a No vote. Based on new survey evidence, Céline Colombo, Andrea De Angelis and Davide Morisi write that this strategy appears to have been counterproductive. They illustrate that voter […]

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Why Italians should support Renzi’s constitutional reform

We are now in the final weeks of campaigning before Italy’s constitutional referendum on 4 December. As part of our coverage of the referendum, Mattia Guidi makes the case for why Italians should support the proposed reform. He argues that much of the criticism of the reform is unfounded and that it would ultimately bring Italy closer to the […]

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Why Italians should reject Renzi’s constitutional reform

We are now in the final month of campaigning ahead of Italy’s constitutional referendum on 4 December. Presenting a case for a No vote, Valentino Larcinese argues that the proposed reform would remove much needed checks and balances on executive power in Italy, while the method used by the government to try and enact the reform is also worthy […]

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