O presidente Bolsonaro alcançou o sucesso eleitoral culpando o Partido dos Trabalhadores e o establishment político pelo naufrágio do país. No entanto, se o presidente brasileiro não conseguir combater o desemprego em breve, as eleições municipais de 2020 poderão se tornar um referendo nacional sobre o estado da economia e a aprovação presidencial, argumentam Mark S. Langevin (George Mason University) e Elisa Antunes (BrazilWorks).
Revolt of the peripheries in Brazil: why low-income voters in wealthy regions swung from the PT to Bolsonaro
Shifts in the social and institutional conditions of the urban peripheries of Brazil’s major cities have altered political subjectivities and weakened affinities with the once-dominant Workers’ Party of Lula da Silva and Dilma Rousseff. With a “revolt of the peripheries” brewing, Bolsonaro was able exploit his comparative rhetorical advantage and win the presidency despite making few real commitments to address the […]
Brazil elections 2018: how will Bolsonaro’s victory affect migration policy in Brazil and South America?
Jair Bolsonaro’s victory in Brazil’s 2018 presidential election could lead to a more severe migration policy, attacks on migrants’ rights, and fragmentation of regional approaches to mobility, write Marcia Vera Espinoza (Queen Mary University of London) and Leiza Brumat (European University Institute).
Differences in ethnic makeup, religious affiliation, institutional openness to outsiders, experiences of crime, and economic performance have driven Mexican and Brazilian voters in opposite ideological directions: left towards AMLO in Mexico and right towards Bolsonaro in Brazil. But this doesn’t mean Mexico will remain immune to right populism in future, writes Rodrigo Aguilera.
The poisonous political climate around the October 2018 elections in Brazil has been brewing since Dilma Rousseff’s first term. Attacks on various institutions from both left and right, combined with massive corruption and fractious culture wars, have allowed Jair Bolsonaro and his millenarian evangelical supporters to expand his personality cult into this political vacuum, writes David Lehmann (Federal University of Bahia).