Matt Singh

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    Where did the General Election polls really go wrong? The answer lies in a misreading of switching voters

Where did the General Election polls really go wrong? The answer lies in a misreading of switching voters

Since May’s General Election, one question has dominated discussion of opinion polling in Britain – how did the polls get it so wrong? New analysis by Matt Singh from Number Cruncher Politics finds that the polls were wrong because the flows of voters between parties, following the Lib Dem collapse and the UKIP surge, were substantially different from what voting intention polling […]

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    The numbers behind the “1 in 5” headline: British non-Muslims make an important comparison group

The numbers behind the “1 in 5” headline: British non-Muslims make an important comparison group

The week has just begun but we have already new polling-related controversy to get stuck into. The Sun’s front page from yesterday cited a poll by Survation of British Muslims and their attitudes towards terrorism and Syria. Here, Matt Singh from Number Cruncher Politics looks at the problems with the numbers.

 

The first thing to say is that getting a […]