Party politics and elections

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    Optimism does go viral: Labour, the Conservatives, and social media in the 2017 general election

Optimism does go viral: Labour, the Conservatives, and social media in the 2017 general election

Analysing the social media strategies of Labour and the Conservatives during the 2017 general election, Paolo Gerbaudo explains that the latter focused on negative issues such as Brexit and terrorism, while Labour focused on positive ones, such as the promise of higher social spending, generating higher levels of engagement.

Social media are widely held to have played an important role in […]

Fact-checking GE2019 compared to fact-checking GE2017

Public debate in the last two general elections saw significant input from UK fact-checkers. Jen Birks examines the role of fact-checking journalism during the 2017 and 2019 campaigns, and identifies differences in approaches as well as in the policy issues covered.

Amid concern about widespread manipulation and deceit in campaigning, fact-checking journalism is achieving new prominence in this election, […]

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    ‘The most important election in a generation’ – just like the last election (and the next?)

‘The most important election in a generation’ – just like the last election (and the next?)

Despite the 2019 general election being portrayed as the most important in a generation, Christopher Kirkland writes that it is too simplistic to suggest that some elections are more important than others.

The Conservatives’ message in the 2019 election is that it wants to ‘get Brexit done’. More than three years after the EU referendum, which was consistently defined as […]

Five reasons to vote in a safe seat

Why bother to vote in a safe seat, knowing your vote won’t make a difference to that constituency’s outcome? Jonathan Birch offers five key reasons why voting makes a difference to the legitimacy and stability of parliamentary democracy, even when individual seats don’t change hands.

Elections can be pretty demoralising if you live in a safe seat. Where I live, […]

Women and gender in the 2019 party manifestos

Claire Annesley, Francesca Gains, and Anna Sanders offer an overview of manifesto pledges concerning women. They conclude that, while most parties are taking the diversity of women and their interests seriously, it is difficult to judge the value of their offer. 
Half of the electorate are women. Research has consistently shown that women are more likely to be floating voters […]

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    A rough guide to key non-party entities in British politics ahead of GE2019

A rough guide to key non-party entities in British politics ahead of GE2019

Luke Temple and Ana Ines Langer outline the changing electoral landscape as partisan and non-partisan entities get heavily involved in the general election.

Since 2015 it has been impossible to think about UK elections without considering the role played by digital technology and social media. Political parties are of course desperate to use this technology to win votes. However, the […]

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    The next parliament will face big dilemmas on Scottish independence

The next parliament will face big dilemmas on Scottish independence

With the Scottish government focused on securing an independence referendum in 2020, the next UK Parliament is set to face difficult dilemmas on how to deal with the matter. Jack Sheldon explains why the current positions of the parties involved, and the trajectory of party support in different parts of the UK, mean that there is a real risk of stumbling […]

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    Forecasting the 2019 General Election using the PM and the Pendulum model

Forecasting the 2019 General Election using the PM and the Pendulum model

Using a forecasting model that captures both the cyclical nature of the competition for power and the important role of prime ministers in elections, Matthew Lebo and Stephen Fisher predict 311 Conservative seats to 268 for Labour.

Rafael Behr said of 2018’s local election results that “Brexit has caused Britain’s political pendulum to stick.” Maybe the forthcoming general election will […]