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March 10th, 2010

State of the race 10 March

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Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

Blog Admin

March 10th, 2010

State of the race 10 March

0 comments

Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

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Latest Poll Information for 10 March

PartyBBC Poll TrackingLSE Poll Tracking
Per centPer cent
Last Change9 March10 March
Labour3432
Conservatives3937
Liberal Democrats1617
Other Parties1114

Both Labour and the Conservatives have lost a point each, according to our median smoothing measure, with the Other parties gaining two points to 14 per cent – not all that far from the Liberal Democrats’ position. The BBC’s measure takes the 8th’s YouGov poll as its latest figure, with the gap between Labour and the Conservatives narrowing from 9 points to 5 points.

Today’s Harris Interactive/Metro poll puts Labour on 29 per cent and the Conservatives on 37 per cent. While this is broadly in-line with our recent figures for Conservative polling, it is about 2 to 3 points below Labour’s recent polling by our measure, so it will be interesting to see if this is consistent with polls from the near future. What is also interesting about this poll (and the Opinium poll of 8 March) is that the ‘Other’ parties support has increased from 16 to 17 per cent. Looking at this alongside our combined measure which puts polling at 14 per cent for these parties, it does seem that there is a noticeable swing away from the major parties.

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Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported
This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.