Posted by Chris Gilson
Latest Poll Information for 22 March
| Party | BBC Poll Tracking | LSE Poll Tracking |
|---|---|---|
| Per cent | Per cent | |
| Last Change | 21 March | 22 March |
| Labour | 31 | 32 |
| Conservatives | 38 | 38 |
| Liberal Democrats | 19 | 20 |
| Other Parties | 12 | 10 |
The gap widens by a point for both our measures today, likely on the heels of the three day British Airways strike over the weekend and on revelations of the union Unite’s £4m donation to the Labour party. It would seem that the Tories have made political hay out of these two issues, with their lead rising by two points to six per cent in our measure and also by two points to seven per cent in the BBC’s measure, which takes the most recent YouGov/Sunday Times poll for its figures.
Seat Projections
Some changes today as compared with our last look at the post-election make up of parliament last week. Electoral Calculus has adjusted its projections downwards slightly to 302 (from 304) to the Conservatives and 262 (from 264) for Labour. The Lib Dems gain three seats from this to 53. UK Polling Report suggests a seat upswing relative to its projections last week – with 307 (from 298) for the Tories, Labour continuing to fall with 264 (from 276), and the Lib Dems up three on 49. While the Tories are still 19 short of a majority with this measure, their seat count has been climbing – likely reflecting the gradually increasing Tory/Labour gap shown by recent polls.
