euroscepticism

What motivated Conservative MPs to back or oppose Brexit?

The Conservative Party’s divisions over the EU are well known. But what motivated MPs to back Leave or Remain? Luke Moore uses logistic regression analysis to consider three key motivations: seeking office, votes, or that particular policy. He explains why all three affected Conservative MPs’ decision making, but that policy- or office-seeking were more prominent.

The divisions amongst Conservative MPs […]

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    The ultimate causes of Brexit: history, culture, and geography

The ultimate causes of Brexit: history, culture, and geography

Xenophobia, austerity, and dissatisfaction with politics may have contributed to the Brexit vote. But James Dennison and Noah Carl write that, although a number of concerns may have tipped the balance, Brexit was ultimately decided by more than recent events. Here, they demonstrate how the UK has been the least well-integrated EU member state, and so the closer the EU […]

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    ‘Banging on about Europe’: how the Eurosceptics got their referendum

‘Banging on about Europe’: how the Eurosceptics got their referendum

Brexit would be a ‘self-inflicted wound’, David Cameron declared this week. He should know about those, writes Tim Bale. He traces the Conservative rebellions that extracted successive concessions from the PM, to no avail – until he finally tried to appease his party’s Eurosceptics by promising them a referendum.

On Tuesday, we heard the Prime Minister give his final plea on why we should remain […]

How Enoch Powell helped to shape modern Tory Euroscepticism

The name of Enoch Powell provokes consternation in many on both the left and right of British politics. But the sometime Conservative was a powerful influence on Tory Euroscepticism – probably greater than most would want to acknowledge, writes David Shiels. His views on Europe chime with recurring themes in the referendum campaign.

In the current ‘blue on blue’ debate […]

June 7th, 2016|Brexit, Featured|2 Comments|
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    Project Fear is the legacy of decades of Euroscepticism. Dare Cameron make a positive case for the EU?

Project Fear is the legacy of decades of Euroscepticism. Dare Cameron make a positive case for the EU?

It is 14 years since Tony Blair extolled the merits of the EU in his landmark Cardiff speech. Since then, writes Oliver Daddow, Euroscepticism has gradually come to dominate the political agenda, and the best David Cameron hopes for is a reluctant agreement to Remain from the media. Unless he dares to make the multilateral case for staying in […]

March 14th, 2016|Brexit, Featured|5 Comments|
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    Cameron and Tebbit are both wrong: Tory activists are not as set on leaving the EU as many imagine

Cameron and Tebbit are both wrong: Tory activists are not as set on leaving the EU as many imagine

David Cameron has run into trouble for warning Tory backbenchers not to make up their minds on whether to campaign for Leave or Remain “because of what your constituency association might say”. The reaction to his remarks was swift and damning, particularly from those who want out, all of whom assume, to quote venerable Thatcherite veteran Norman Tebbit, that […]

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    Euroscepticism in the Conservative Party: the role of nationalism and electoral pressures

Euroscepticism in the Conservative Party: the role of nationalism and electoral pressures

What is the scale of Euroscepticism within the Conservative Party today? How have modern day Conservative MPs formed their views on Europe? And can the Eurosceptics be persuaded to support the “in” campaign? Luke Moore has created a dataset of Conservative MPs (from the 2010 Parliament) that gives each MP a score according to their views on Europe. These scores were […]

How eurosceptic is Rochester and Strood?

It’s generally difficult to measure opinion in constituencies, so how can we tell how eurosceptic a specific constituency like Rochester and Strood is? In this article, Chris Hanretty explains the use of novel techniques which build on existing national survey samples to estimate the percentage of voters in each constituency who would currently support exit from the EU. By this measure, Clacton is ranked as the most […]