Paul Whiteley

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    Persistent inflation seriously threatens the Democrats’ chances of controlling Congress in the 2022 midterm elections

Persistent inflation seriously threatens the Democrats’ chances of controlling Congress in the 2022 midterm elections

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Following a summer of declining approval ratings, President Joe Biden now faces further falling sentiment as concerns about inflation increase. Paul Whiteley and Harold Clarke find that consumer confidence, which is influenced by inflation and unemployment rates, tends to track with presidential approval. With consumer confidence on the decline because of concerns about persistent inflation, they argue, Joe Biden […]

December 10th, 2021|Economy, Harold Clarke, Paul Whiteley|0 Comments|
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    Vulnerable Americans rally around a president in a crisis. But polarization means this hasn’t happened during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Vulnerable Americans rally around a president in a crisis. But polarization means this hasn’t happened during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Historically in times of crisis, presidents experience a polling boost as Americans ‘rally around the flag’, but this has not been the case during President Trump’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. In new analysis, Harold Clarke, Marianne Stewart and Paul Whiteley find that the massive partisan and ideological differences in the electorate meant that the expected spike in Trump’s […]

October 8th, 2020|Elections and party politics across the US, Harold Clarke, Marianne Stewart, Paul Whiteley|0 Comments|
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    The large gender gap in Trump’s support threatens his reelection. Here’s what’s driving it.

The large gender gap in Trump’s support threatens his reelection. Here’s what’s driving it.

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While women have tended to be more supportive of Democrats than Republicans in recent years, the gender gap in support for Donald Trump between men and women is exceptionally large, write Harold Clarke, Marianne Stewart, Paul Whiteley and Guy D. Whitten. They argue that a combination of poor economic factors, women’s party identification, and many women’s personal dislike for […]

July 2nd, 2020|Elections and party politics across the US, Guy D. Whitten, Harold Clarke, Marianne Stewart, Paul Whiteley|1 Comment|
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    Economic inequality can help predict COVID-19 deaths in the US

Economic inequality can help predict COVID-19 deaths in the US

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COVID-19 has not affected everywhere in the US equally, there are significant disparities in Covid-related illnesses between the states. In new research which analyses the relationship between COVID-19 and economic, social and demographic factors, Harold Clarke and Paul Whiteley find that those states with greater income inequality are more likely to see coronavirus cases and related deaths.  

The United […]

May 6th, 2020|COVID-19, Harold Clarke, Paul Whiteley, Urban, rural and regional policies|0 Comments|
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