Thomas Gift

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    Trump may be behind in the polls, but the 2020 election is far from over

Trump may be behind in the polls, but the 2020 election is far from over

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President Trump has been criticised increasingly for his response to the COVID-19 pandemic, which has seen the US become one of the worst affected countries. In this Q&A, Thomas Gift explains that Donald Trump has reason to be concerned about his flagging campaign and low poll numbers. At the same time, the 2020 race for the White House is […]

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    Trump’s mismanagement of the US COVID-19 response may have eroded his international reputation – not that he cares.

Trump’s mismanagement of the US COVID-19 response may have eroded his international reputation – not that he cares.

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Recent polls outside of the US indicate that President Donald Trump’s leadership is not trusted overseas. In this Q&A, Thomas Gift writes that while Trump’s poor handling of the US response to the COVID-19 pandemic is unlikely to exact irreparable damage to US soft power on its own, it is part of a wider trend of perceived poor leadership […]

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    As Trump’s poll slump continues, expect him to continue to go negative as the election approaches 

As Trump’s poll slump continues, expect him to continue to go negative as the election approaches 

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This past weekend, on the eve of Independence Day celebrations, President Trump took a divisive tone by attacking his opponents on the left. In this Q&A, Thomas Gift writes that Trump’s poor polling against his Democratic presidential challenger, former Vice President Joe Biden, and the ongoing criticisms of his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, mean that he is likely to continue to hit […]

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    COVID-19 and #BlackLivesMatter have put Trump on the back foot, but it’s too early to say that he’s lost his loyal base

COVID-19 and #BlackLivesMatter have put Trump on the back foot, but it’s too early to say that he’s lost his loyal base

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This election year, President Trump has faced significant criticism not only for his response to the COVID-19 pandemic, but now also for his reaction to the renewed #BlackLivesMatter protests that began after the death of George Floyd in Minnesota last month. Thomas Gift writes that although Trump now trails his Democratic challenger, former Vice President Joe Biden, in many […]

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    Michael Bloomberg is eyeing the White House: Here are the strengths – and weaknesses – of his candidacy.

Michael Bloomberg is eyeing the White House: Here are the strengths – and weaknesses – of his candidacy.

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Michael Bloomberg has enjoyed a storied career in business, politics, and philanthropy. Will he soon call the White House home? Amid an already jam-packed field of Democratic presidential candidates, the billionaire businessman and former New York City mayor has indicated that he’s considering a run for the nation’s highest office. Thomas Gift discusses the strengths and weaknesses of a […]

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    Will Democrats win the politics of impeachment? It depends on their strategy.

Will Democrats win the politics of impeachment? It depends on their strategy.

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House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s decision last month to launch a formal impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump has fueled debate over whether the move will ultimately help or hurt the Democratic Party. Thomas Gift explores how their strategy over the upcoming weeks will shape the politics of impeachment. He argues that, to prevent the impeachment inquiry from backfiring, Democrats […]

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    The Trump impeachment inquiry could quickly narrow the Democratic field by making Joe Biden the presumptive nominee

The Trump impeachment inquiry could quickly narrow the Democratic field by making Joe Biden the presumptive nominee

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The Trump impeachment inquiry has consumed media attention in recent days, but how will the story affect the Democratic presidential primary? While many experts assume it will hurt Joe Biden by spotlighting unfounded allegations by Donald Trump that Biden improperly used his position as vice president to bully Ukraine into helping his son, Thomas Gift argues that the actual […]

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    Americans lack the stomach for a protracted trade war with China

Americans lack the stomach for a protracted trade war with China

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In recent weeks, the US-China trade war has ratcheted up, with both sides adopting new measures designed to inflict pain on the other’s economy. As US and Chinese leadership attempt to credibly commit to waiting out the other in a bruising economic battle, Thomas Gift explains why China may have the advantage. He argues that Americans are largely unwilling […]

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    Why declaring a national emergency to build a border wall could set Donald Trump on the road to impeachment

Why declaring a national emergency to build a border wall could set Donald Trump on the road to impeachment

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Although some critics have floated the idea of impeaching Donald Trump, Democratic leadership in the House of Representatives has so far muted such calls. Some analysis, however, suggests that if Trump declares a national emergency to build a border wall with Mexico, it would constitute an impeachable offense. Thomas Gift examines how conversations over impeachment could change if Trump […]

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    Republicans in Congress may be the best positioned to stop Trump from declaring a national emergency.

Republicans in Congress may be the best positioned to stop Trump from declaring a national emergency.

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After the recent partial shutdown of the US government, Donald Trump emerged politically weakened and without his promised $5.7 billion border wall with Mexico. With the potential of yet another shutdown looming in less than three weeks, Trump may take the daring step of declaring a national emergency to secure funding for the wall. Thomas Gift analyzes the legal […]

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