House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s decision last month to launch a formal impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump has fueled debate over whether the move will ultimately help or hurt the Democratic Party. Thomas Gift explores how their strategy over the upcoming weeks will shape the politics of impeachment. He argues that, to prevent the impeachment inquiry from backfiring, Democrats […]
The Trump impeachment inquiry could quickly narrow the Democratic field by making Joe Biden the presumptive nominee
The Trump impeachment inquiry has consumed media attention in recent days, but how will the story affect the Democratic presidential primary? While many experts assume it will hurt Joe Biden by spotlighting unfounded allegations by Donald Trump that Biden improperly used his position as vice president to bully Ukraine into helping his son, Thomas Gift argues that the actual […]
In recent weeks, the US-China trade war has ratcheted up, with both sides adopting new measures designed to inflict pain on the other’s economy. As US and Chinese leadership attempt to credibly commit to waiting out the other in a bruising economic battle, Thomas Gift explains why China may have the advantage. He argues that Americans are largely unwilling […]
Why declaring a national emergency to build a border wall could set Donald Trump on the road to impeachment
Although some critics have floated the idea of impeaching Donald Trump, Democratic leadership in the House of Representatives has so far muted such calls. Some analysis, however, suggests that if Trump declares a national emergency to build a border wall with Mexico, it would constitute an impeachable offense. Thomas Gift examines how conversations over impeachment could change if Trump […]
Republicans in Congress may be the best positioned to stop Trump from declaring a national emergency.
After the recent partial shutdown of the US government, Donald Trump emerged politically weakened and without his promised $5.7 billion border wall with Mexico. With the potential of yet another shutdown looming in less than three weeks, Trump may take the daring step of declaring a national emergency to secure funding for the wall. Thomas Gift analyzes the legal […]
Trump’s base does not support withdrawing US troops from Syria; Americans continue to favor international engagement.
Last month, President Trump announced that US troops would be leaving Syria. While some have suggested that Trump’s move is yet another example of the President pandering to his base, Thomas Gift and Jonathan Monten show that recent survey data do not bear this out: 70 percent of Republicans who back Trump support the use of US troops overseas […]
Graduates of Ivy League universities like Harvard, Yale, and Princeton dominate American politics. But how do voters feel about their country being run by those educated at these elite institutions? In new research, Carlos X. Lastra-Anadón and Thomas Gift asked survey respondents to rate hypothetical candidates who were randomly assigned an education at either an Ivy or non-Ivy League […]