Following this week’s midterm elections, in 2019 the Democratic Party will be in the majority in the US House of Representatives. Ryan Williamson and Jamie Carson have previously argued that more moderate Democratic candidates were more likely to win House seats. Analyzing the midterm results, they find that this year Democratic candidates who were more moderate were indeed able […]
In a state that hasn’t elected a Republican US senator since 1972, New Jersey’s incumbent Democrat Bob Menendez is unexpectedly in the fight of his life
On paper, New Jersey should be a safe seat for the Democratic Party in this year’s US Senate elections. The incumbent, Bob Menendez, won his two previous elections handily, and the state has not elected a Republican US Senator since the days of Richard Nixon. But, writes Ashley Koning, Menendez has been hurt by a 2017 federal corruption case […]
While considerable attention is being paid to the coming elections for the US House and Senate, November 6th will also see a number of important gubernatorial contests. Wendy E. Scattergood takes a deep dive into Wisconsin’s race for governor, where eight-year incumbent Republican Scott Walker, faces Democrat Tony Evers. She writes that while Walker has incumbency and the GOP’s […]
Democrat Jacky Rosen may have a good chance of flipping Nevada’s Senate seat from flip-flopping Republican Dean Heller
In this year’s midterm elections, the contest for a US Senate seat in the Silver State is seen as the best opportunity for the Democratic Party to take a seat from the Republican Party in a year with a very challenging Senate election map for the Democrats. But will current US House Representative Jacky Rosen be able to beat […]
Out of 35 US Senate elections this year, Arizona’s is one of only three without an incumbent. Barbara Norrander and Lisa Sanchez write that the contest between US House Representatives Republican Martha McSally and Democrat Krysten Sinema is a close and hard fought one, with both going negative in their campaigns. While this negativity may energize both party’s respective […]
In Indiana’s Senate race between Joe Donnelly and Mike Braun, personality and positions are beating partisanship.
In 2012, the now Senator Joe Donnelly replaced an over 30-year incumbent Republican in Indiana. In 2018, Donnelly now faces tough competition from state legislator Mike Braun to keep his seat in the Hoosier State. Laura Merrifield Wilson writes that while the state as a whole is very red, Donnelly has generally tacked to the center as a bipartisan moderate […]
In West Virginia, Democrat Joe Manchin is tacking to the right to keep his Senate seat in an increasingly red state
Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Manchin is favored to beat out his Republican challenger, Patrick Morrisey in West Virginia Senate race on November 6th. But, writes Matthew Jacobsmeier, in a state which has swung towards the Republican Party in recent years, victory for the Democrat – even one as conservative as Manchin – is far from certain.
This article is […]
In Missouri’s Senate race, Claire McCaskill is tacking to the center to fend off Josh Hawley’s partisan warfare.
The US Senate race in Missouri between incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill and Republican state Attorney General Josh Hawley is one of only a small number of toss-up races in the 2018 midterms. Robynn Kuhlmann writes that while McCaskill has had to walk a political tightrope by embracing more moderate positions to appeal to a wider base of voters, Hawley […]
Welcome to our live blog for the 2018 midterm elections. From 7pm UK time until the very early hours of Wednesday morning, the LSE US Centrewill be your go-to source for commentary and analysis on the vote and on the results as they come in.
Featured image credit: “”I Voted” sticker; N. Pleasant Street Amherst MA” by Léa Aliberti is licensed under CC BY […]
No Democrat has been elected to state-wide office in Texas since 1994. And yet, there are glimmers of hope for Democrat Beto O’Rourke who is challenging Republican Ted Cruz for his US Senate Seat in the Lone Star State. Heather K. Evans writes that surprisingly for a candidate challenging an incumbent, O’Rourke has released no attack ads or critical […]