How can South Asia contribute to Global Development? Elias Khoury — winner of the LSE South Asia Centre Vera Anstey Essay Competition 2022 — argues that the rest of the world, and especially countries of the Global North, should learn development strategies from South Asia which has pursued sustainable models despite challenges and problems, and achieved success.
South Asia is the fastest-growing region on Earth. In 2016, it registered an economic growth rate of nearly 8% at a time when many developing nations were stagnant or declining. This explosive growth slowed, unsurprisingly, due to the Covid-19 pandemic. But while the region — India in particular — was ravaged by Covid-19, it is now rebounding. The World Bank has projected South Asia to grow by another 6.6% this year.
Development economists love quoting these facts. They also cite supposed success stories like Bangladesh’s manufacturing and Nepal’s energy production to argue that South Asia is the new face of global development. The economists are right, but for the wrong reasons.
In reality, South Asia’s contribution to global development has little to do with massive growth rates or heavy industry. Rather, it has to do with sustainability. Indeed, South Asia provides models for how to promote human flourishing while staying within ecological boundaries. In doing so, the region shows a path out of the ongoing climate crisis and toward a more viable future.
The current model of global development is not sustainable. Capitalist growth cannot deliver widespread prosperity on a dying planet with finite resources. It is structurally impossible, and due to gross inequality in how the gains of that growth are distributed.
The world’s billionaires own more total wealth than the bottom 60% of humanity, who receive just 5% of the gains from global GDP growth. Clearly, capitalist growth disproportionately benefits a certain subset of people. But what does that mean for global poverty reduction?
Economist David Woodward ran the numbers. His findings were shocking. At the present rate, eliminating global poverty would require expanding the world’s GDP to 175 times its current size. Given the limited evidence for decoupling economic growth from environmental harm, the consequences for ecology would be unthinkable. This is where chasing GDP growth — a common theme in development discourse — leads us.
South Asia is seeing this first-hand. Much of its growth has come at great environmental cost. Regional problems of air pollution, biodiversity loss and water scarcity have all been greatly exacerbated by rapid increases in production and consumption. Its rapid economic growth is far from unique in this regard. Economic growth the world over often comes at the expense of environmental health. This is especially true of rich countries in the Global North, as they are the primary drivers of climate change.
But, despite the pitfalls of South Asia’s growth, the region is also home to promising models of sustainable development which can act as blueprints for how to promote human and ecological flourishing simultaneously. The rest of the world should take note.
In 1972, the 4th King of Bhutan, Jigme Singye Wangchuck, declared that ‘Gross National Happiness is more important than Gross Domestic Product.’ His words altered the trajectory of his country for decades to come. A new development ideology had taken hold in Bhutan — one that foregrounded a more holistic view of progress and prosperity.
Over time, Gross National Happiness evolved from quip to multidimensional policy tool. Today, Bhutan measures individual and collective wellbeing across nine domains including psychological wellness and ecological diversity. Gross National Happiness therefore represents a refreshing departure from the myopia of GDP and similar indicators of development.
While Bhutan is not without its problems, the kingdom’s alternative approach to development has led to remarkable policy achievements. It holds the title of the world’s first carbon-negative country: that means it absorbs more carbon than it produces. Bhutan’s forests — which, by law, must cover at least 60% of the country — draw vast amounts of carbon from the atmosphere. And Bhutan’s emissions are kept low thanks in large part to its extensive use of hydropower.
Despite a minimal ecological footprint, Bhutan offers substantial provisions to its people. For example, Bhutanese law mandates eight weeks of paid leave for new mothers; that is lower than many other countries and certainly worth improving. But compare it to the United States, which — despite having a GDP per capita that is 20 times more than Bhutan’s — guarantees no paid maternity leave.
Bhutan also treats healthcare as a right and has had a free universal healthcare system since the 1970s. This was especially useful — and comprehensive — during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic. In addition to the usual services, the government of Bhutan provided psychological counseling for those in quarantine and delivered essentials to people’s homes during national lockdown.
Under a series of left-wing and even communist governments, the Indian state of Kerala has achieved similarly impressive successes. Situated on the Malabar coast, Kerala is home to a diverse mix of 35 million people and boasts a literacy rate of 96.2%. That’s higher than much wealthier jurisdictions like Kuwait, Portugal and Qatar. Kerala also has a higher life expectancy than any country with a similar GDP per capita, and is currently working toward guaranteeing internet access as a basic right.
Kerala’s statistics are strikingly similar to those of China. The two have almost identical literacy rates, life expectancies, and expected years of schooling. Yet Kerala’s development is far more sustainable. Adjusted per capita, its raw material consumption and carbon emissions are just 40% of that of China. This shows that the supposed trade-off between increased living standards and environmental protection is a false one. Societies can, in fact, achieve high levels of human development with modest environmental impacts.
To that end, perhaps the most impressive story in South Asia has been Sri Lanka. Prior to its current woes, the island had compiled a remarkable record of sustainability. Sri Lanka ranked second in the 2019 global Sustainable Development Index which benchmarks life expectancy, education and income to planetary boundaries. Its high ranking should come as no surprise. Sri Lanka provides universal healthcare and, between 2012 and 2019, cut poverty by more than 86% while keeping per capita emissions and resource use to just 20% and 30% of the global average, respectively.
The examples highlighted here are not perfect. Far from it. Despite its achievements, Bhutan is still a monarchy with a long history of persecuting its Lhotshampa minority; Kerala suffers from labour shortages in key sectors — especially of blue-collar workers; and Sri Lanka is currently facing falling imports as well as significant inflation.
Importantly, many of the problems plaguing South Asia are rooted in colonial dynamics. The situation in Sri Lanka is largely the product of a foreign currency shortage resulting from debt traps laid by Western creditors. Moreover, much of the industrial harm to South Asia’s environment is due to countries of the Global North outsourcing production there. Whatever their origins, however, these remain problems in need of solutions.
But none of this negates the fact that South Asia has successfully planted the seeds of sustainability. With a looming climate catastrophe, it is incumbent upon the rest of the world to follow South Asia’s lead and do the same. If that happens, South Asia may go down as the region that saved humanity from itself. And that is as big a contribution to global development as any.
The views expressed here are those of the author and not of the LSE South Asia Centre, the ‘South Asia @ LSE’ blog or the London School of Economics and Political Science.
Image credit: Casey Horner, ‘Looking up’, Unsplash.
Thank you for this piece. More often than not repeating the all too well known facts over and again can be rather exhausting, yet it is absolutely necessary to rub the salt into the wound to overcome human complacancy in the face of overwhelming looming disaster. I recall Donella Meadows’ deadpan insight (I’m quoting from memory)
“The behavior of a complex system orients itself towards the dominating system goal.”
Straight forward enough. Your article casually mentioned what the main goal of the complex system that mankind is has become: Capital growth. Not good lifelihood or happiness. Much less “environmental” sustainability. On a micro level the main goal is profit maximization, often in the form of maximizing “shareholder value”. On the macro level it is all about GDP, and since the days when I halped preparing the 1992 Earth summit as a student assistant not much changed about that. En contraire. The enlightened age of a society guided by humanitarian values and scientific insight never happened. Instead we got Sept. 11, a wild pletora of outlandish conspiracy theories, Afghanistan, Donald Trump, Brexit, politics driven by twisted ideologies without any factual base, a pandemic that for the informed wasn’t the least bit surprising and even a full out war in Europe. When will they (we?) ever learn? So where is space for sustainability in this tapestery of semi orchestrated insanity? Within this GDP and shareholder value driven system social justice, human welfare and nature protection merely are burdensome costs that must be minimized and/or externalized where and whenever possible. By all means. I recall the discussions in the nineties that revolved around an “efficiency revolution”, spearheaded in Germany by Ulrich von Weizsäcker and the Wuppertal Institute for Climate and Environmental Research. There was a lot of hype around their book “Factor 4” that outlined how energy and resource consumption could, with existing technologies, be reduced by a factor of four. But we all (hopefully) know the good old Albert Bartlett statement, saying “the greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.” Any efficiency revolution is doomed to be meaningless as long as the main system goal remains one of exponential growth. And – what for, actually? And what does money even mean? I recall a TV documentary about homeless people in California. There was a secretary who worked for a silicon valley tech company and who had an income of US$ 70,000. Not bad, one should think. She lived in her car, because she could not afford housing in the area. Uriah Heap: “There is no strength in numbers, have no such misconceptions”.
(Neo-) classic economics mimics the methods of Newtonian Physics, which explains why the main aspects of economic activity are largely absent from theory. Humans that is. Human well being entered economic theory as not much more than an afterthought (Keynes et al), and still good livelihood is at best an annoying sidetrack of economic policy making and theorizing. Yet the warnings against the lurking horror behind the concept of money, so closely intertwined with the deadly sin of greed, are legion and date back to our earliest myths and stories. Mammon. King Midas. Goethe’s Faust. For those on this slippery slope there is no such thing as “enough”. Isn’t it fascinating, that the most adored people of our time seem to be the super-rich, while our religions and philosophies, dating back to antiquity, all teach the exact opposite. Be humble. Enjoy the simple stuff. Treat thy neighbour… Protect every sentient being… Walk the valley without leaving a trace… And then there was Diogenes happily loafing about in his wine barrel. When approached by a thankful Alexander the Great (something akin to an Elon Musk of his time) who asked him if he could do anything for him, Diogenes lazily waved his hand and said something akin to: “Yes indeed. Could you kindly step out of the sun, please?”
As the Mandalorian keeps saying: “THIS IS THE WAY”. No technological breakthrough whatsoever can fix a fundamentally flawed system. Economist boasts to an MD friend the success of keeping up a certain percentage of GDP growth. THe good MD thinks to himself: “Well, we don’t call that success. We call it cancer”.
Thank you for sharing your thoughts. I am glad you liked my essay. Yes, greed is definitely a leading crisis of our time. We ought to build an economic system that prioritizes human needs rather than balance sheets. Whether this will happen in time to avert climate doom is an open question. I have my doubts but try to remain hopeful nonetheless. If you would like to continue this discussion, feel free to send me an email at e.khoury@lse.ac.uk. Cheers.