Helmut Norpoth

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    Biden is struggling to please both the progressive voters and the Trump haters who helped elect him

Biden is struggling to please both the progressive voters and the Trump haters who helped elect him

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President Joe Biden’s approval ratings have now been in decline for nearly a year, making him the least popular president at this time in his presidency in 70 years, save for Donald Trump. Yulia Pechenkina and Helmut Norpoth argue that Biden’s falling ratings can be linked to progressive disenchantment with his failures so far to deliver on many of […]

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    Washington DC may be politically polarized but most Americans are not

Washington DC may be politically polarized but most Americans are not

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In recent decades the US Congress has become increasingly polarized, with legislators taking increasingly more extreme ideological positions on various issues. But does this polarization reflect the US as a whole? Using data from the American National Election Study Helmut Norpoth and Michael S. Lewis-Beck find that the American electorate is far from polarized, with a plurality identifying with the […]

The Electoral Cycle favors the GOP in 2016

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Over nearly two centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle. This is not the pattern associated with partisan realignments that may last 30 years or so; it is a shorter cycle that relates to party control of the White House. A cyclical model of presidential elections developed by Helmut Norpoth predicts that in 2016 it will be […]

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