Are women really at a disadvantage compared to men when they run for elected office? In new research, Rebecca D. Gill and Kate Eugenis look at how women fare when they run for state supreme court judgeships. Using over 15 years’ worth of election data across the states, they find that women are seven percentage points more likely than […]
Many Americans are represented in Congress by someone who does not share their party affiliation – who do they look to for political representation? In new research using a national-level study, Ashley English, Kathryn Pearson, and Dara Strolovitch find that most Americans do not feel best represented by their member of Congress, and that sharing partisanship – or being […]
For an incumbent seeking re-election, focusing on their links to their district can often be enough to see off a challenger
In elections, those already in office – incumbents – tend to have a considerable advantage over a challenger. But how is this advantage shaped by how incumbents and their challengers campaign? In new research, James N. Druckman, Martin J. Kifer and Michael Parkin coded the content of US House and Senate candidates’ websites and find that while incumbents tend […]
As in 2016, the only way for Donald Trump to retain the White House in 2020 is through the Rust Belt
In 2016 Donald Trump surprised much of the political world by winning the Electoral College – and the White House. Jack Thompson reminds us that Trump’s strategy was to tear down the Democrats’ ‘Blue Wall’ of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan by appealing to working class whites in those Rust Belt states. Looking to 2020, he writes, Trump will be […]
In both California and Washington State, state candidates for election all participate in one primary, regardless of their party. In new research, Steven Sparks finds that far from eliminating choice from the ballot, the top-two primary system actually encourages candidates to reach out for support beyond their own partisan base by adopting more moderate positions.
In the last 15 years […]
People who experience political disagreement with those who are close to them are less likely to follow the party line
Voters, on the whole, tend to vote on party rather than policy lines, making it less likely that they will select a candidate that actually best represents their views. In new research using 2008 and 2012 election data, Pierce Ekstrom, Brianna Smith, Allison Williams, and Hannah Kim look at whether political disagreement can trigger people to think more […]
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s primary victory was an outlier. Here’s how to encourage more Latino candidates to run for office.
Ahead of the 2018 midterms, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez made international headlines by unseating 10-term incumbent Joe Crowley for the Democratic nomination for New York’s 14th US House District. In new research, Angela X. Ocampo and John L. Ray find that Ocasio-Cortez’s example is an unusual one: because of limited party support, Latinos are generally far less likely to run for […]
Primary Primers: The US primary-style contest for the next UK Prime Minister is the worst of both worlds
As the United States gears up for its next presidential race next year, the United Kingdom is also in the throes of a contest to elect its next leader. While both contests involve presidential style debates and a great deal of public scrutiny, Robin Pettitt writes that in the UK, only the 160,00 which are members of the Conservative […]
Like the US, until recently Italian politics had virtually never seen a city mayor elevated to its highest office. That all changed with the appointment of the former Mayor of Florence, Matteo Renzi as Prime Minister of Italy in 2014. Emanuele Monaco sees close parallels between the rise of Renzi and the presidential ambitions of the Mayor of South […]
The Supreme Court’s partisan gerrymandering decision is Justice Scalia’s last laugh. Democratic restoration now depends on the people alone.
This week the United States Supreme Court determined that reviewing partisan gerrymandering cases was outside the remit of federal courts. Alex Keena, Michael Latner, Anthony J. McGann and Charles Anthony Smith argue that in failing to recognize the vote dilution caused by gerrymandering, as well as connecting the majority rule standard to the Fourteenth Amendment, the decision removes Americans’ fundamental right to participate equally in the […]