O presidente Bolsonaro alcançou o sucesso eleitoral culpando o Partido dos Trabalhadores e o establishment político pelo naufrágio do país. No entanto, se o presidente brasileiro não conseguir combater o desemprego em breve, as eleições municipais de 2020 poderão se tornar um referendo nacional sobre o estado da economia e a aprovação presidencial, argumentam Mark S. Langevin (George Mason University) e Elisa Antunes (BrazilWorks).
With Jair Bolsonaro certain to reach the second round of Brazil’s elections in October 2018, the real issue now is which of the other 12 candidates will join him. Mark S. Langevin (George Mason University) analyses the key factors that will shape the prospects of Bolsonaro’s main rivals: Marina Silva, Geraldo Alckmin, Ciro Gomes, and especially Lula’s hand-picked candidate Fernando Haddad.
If the problems and potential of environmental licensing are not taken seriously in this year’s policy debates and electoral campaigns, future development and economic recovery could trigger environmental degradation far more serious than any single mega-dam project, write Mark S. Langevin and Olivia Smith (both George Washington University).
A coordinated political effort to move toward higher labour productivity, higher valued-added activities, and a solid foundation of public education and health services can only be achieved through elections and negotiations between legitimate representatives, writes Mark S. Langevin.
Trump may represent a challenge to Brazil and multilateralism, but his government also offers unique opportunities for Brazilian foreign policymakers to advance economic integration and expand the nation’s leadership in the international community, writes Mark S. Langevin.