Read the South Asia Centre’s list of must-read, evidence-based analysis from across the world on the Indian General Elections 2019. Follow the South Asia Centre for analysis and commentary on India’s National Elections 2019.

Photo: People show their ink-marked fingers after casting their votes | Credit: Shutterstock

• The Mirage of Modinomics Over-promise and under-deliver has been the story of the Narendra Modi government’s management of the economy. Maitreesh Ghatak (LSE) and Udayan Mukherjee (economic journalist and former managing editor of CNBC, India)

• Voters most happy with their MPs in Kerala, least in Tamil Nadu, finds India Today study In times of stiff competition between the BJP and Trinamool, Mamata Banerjee can heave a sigh of relief as West Bengal seems largely satisfied with its members of Parliament. Poulomi Saha (Berkeley)

• Parties pick new candidates as anti-incumbency plays spoiler. Rebalancing of local caste equations one of the reasons why parties tend to change their candidates. Gilles Verniers (Ashoka University)

• Lok Sabha elections 2019: Alliance math formidable challenge for BJP in Uttar Pradesh The BJP’s gains from a divided Opposition will be limited in 2019. The SP, BSP and the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) have significantly increased the index of Opposition unity in Uttar Pradesh with a pre-poll pact in place. Roshan Kishore (Hindustan Times)

• The Election Fix: Is arithmetic enough for the BSP-SP alliance to take on BJP in UP? Rohan Venkataramakrishnan (Scroll)

• What UP tie-ups portend for BJP in Lok Sabha polls The SP and the BSP have formed a coalition before to stop the BJP. Neelanjan Sircar (Centre for Policy Research)

• This Congress is Unholy Gilles Verniers (Ashoka University)

• How India Votes: Why political campaigns matter more in multi-phase elections Reaching information-deprived and undecided voters and creating the perception of winnability holds the key to winning this election. Rukmini S (Scroll)

• Forward posts: The journey political posts make before they reach millions As India heads into an election where social media is setting the agenda like never before, political parties are banking on a burgeoning army of party volunteers to spread the word. The Sunday Express on the journey that political posts, shares and tweets make before they reach millions of phones. Karishma Mehrotra (Indian Express)

• Forest Rights Could Decide Election Results In 133 (25%) Seats’ Bhasker Tripathi (India Spend)

• Lok Sabha elections 2019: Why states matter in the battle for India While the overall vote share of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Congress has hovered around the 50% mark in India since 1989, they are not the main players in a lot of states in the country. Roshan Kishore (Hindustan Times)

• Elections 2019: The digital challenge to ECI’s model code of conduct India heads into its first fully-digital national election. Is the Election Commission up to the task of policing it? Visvak (freelance tech journalist based in Goa)

• Manipur’s ethnic divisions mean candidates may need support of armed groups to win elections A controversial letter addressed to BJP chief Amit Shah suggests they do. Ipsita Chakravarty (Scroll)

• A Murky Flood of Money Pours Into the World’s Largest Election Jeanette Rodrigues, Archana Chaudhary and Hannah Dormido (Bloomberg)

• Can national security issues impact electoral outcomes? An analysis of how ruling parties have fared in polls after military conflicts shows mixed results. Roshan Kishore (Hindustan Times)

• Gorakhpur in perspective What do SP-BSP victories in UP by-polls prefigure for 2019? Not much. Gilles Verniers (Ashoka University)

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