#LSEThinks

By LSE authors

Sub-national government can only watch and wait as Brexit grows nearer

Brexit negotiations are conducted in London and Brussels. With so much uncertainty about the final shape of any Brexit deal, and no clear immigration policy yet, local and sub-national government is finding it very hard to plan, writes Tony Travers (LSE). The trade deals the government hopes to do will affect regions in different ways – but none can […]

Watch: Hagemann on what Brexit means for EU institutions

The UK has played a very important role as a progressive and liberal voice in EU policy-making. After its departure EU institutions will change quite drastically in the next couple of years, argues Sara Hagemann, Associate Professor in European Politics at the LSE European Institute.

This post represents the views of the author and not those of the Brexit blog, nor the […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Known Unknowns: How to ensure Europe’s security after Brexit

Known Unknowns: How to ensure Europe’s security after Brexit

Brexit will significantly impact both the EU’s and the UK’s foreign, security, and defence policy.  With the UK´s withdrawal from the Union, Britain’s capabilities will formally cease to be part of the EU. Meanwhile, the UK will no longer have access to EU agencies, structures, and decision-making forums. How the EU deals with these changes and how they affect […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    How useful are the estimates of the economic consequences of Brexit?

How useful are the estimates of the economic consequences of Brexit?

In this blog, Josh De Lyon (LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance) discusses some of the concerns with the economic forecasts of the effects of Brexit and suggests that the available reports are informative of the likely consequences of Brexit. He also provides an insight into how such research should be interpreted, beyond the headline-grabbing figures reported in the news.

On 29 January, a new government […]

A hard Brexit will see criminals taking back control

How will Brexit affect British security? A hard Brexit would see both the UK and its European partners lose access to much-needed information, but even a soft Brexit will come at a price. Gijs de Vries (LSE) explains.  

What’s the price for Brexit? Whatever it takes, as Brexiteers would have it? A hard Brexit would see Britain crash out of […]

What a CETA (or CETA+) free trade agreement would mean

The UK seems to be aiming for a CETA or CETA+-type free trade agreement with the EU. Steve Woolcock (LSE) takes a detailed look at the European Commission’s negotiating position and explains some of its implications for trade. Significantly, the inclusion of ‘most favoured nation’ clauses effectively limits the UK’s scope to negotiate deals with other countries, and means the EU is […]

Brexit has the semblance of a new English Civil War

Brexit may be coming, but the terms are far from clear. In the range between the Norwegian model (membership in the customs union and single market without political participation) and a hard Brexit severing all ties with the EU, and even the long run dissolution of the United Kingdom, anything is possible. History rarely repeats itself, but some structures […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    EU Withdrawal Agreement: the real losers will be British businesses and British citizens

EU Withdrawal Agreement: the real losers will be British businesses and British citizens

When Britain leaves the EU in March 2019, will it become isolated and not influential, to paraphrase Sir John Major’s words from his speech last week?  In this blog, Monica Horten (LSE) investigates the Transition chapter of the EU Withdrawal Agreement and scrutinises how far Britain’s influence could be written out from the very start. 

There is one aspect of […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Theresa May’s negotiation strategy sets the UK on a course to a soft – or at least softer – Brexit

Theresa May’s negotiation strategy sets the UK on a course to a soft – or at least softer – Brexit

On Friday 2 March, Theresa May gave a speech in which she laid out some of the “hard truths” of Brexit, but her strategy with regard to the negotiations is as unclear as ever. Benjamin Martill (LSE) argues there’s value in being intentionally vague.

Does Theresa May have a Brexit strategy? To most observers of the chaotic Brexit process, the […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Many multinationals may pull out of the UK if it leaves the Customs Union

Many multinationals may pull out of the UK if it leaves the Customs Union

As March 2019 draws closer, the UK government remains divided over the type of trade relationship it wants to achieve in the ongoing negotiations with the EU. Paola Conconi (ULB/LSE) explains why Japanese multinationals may pull out of the UK in case of a hard Brexit, one which would mean there is no kind of customs union with the EU.

Some […]