Exit negotiations

First bargaining chips, now stocktaking: the plan to register EU citizens

EU citizens living in the UK will reportedly be asked to register in ‘a first step towards regularising’ their legal status post-Brexit. But the purpose of this move is unclear, writes Tanja Bueltmann. It comes after a year of uncertainty during which many EU citizens, concerned about their future in the UK, have decided to leave. And it offers no […]

What the Czech Republic wants to get out of Brexit negotiations

The UK is the Czech Republic’s fourth-largest export market, and many of its citizens live in Britain. Monika Brusenbauch Meislová looks at the country’s negotiating stance and asks whether it will stay in line with the rest of the EU27 – or whether domestic political pressures will lead it to break with the rest of the bloc.

Before the EU referendum, […]

Breaking up families is easy to do: family reunification post-Brexit

Will EU citizens living in the UK be able to keep the rights they have enjoyed up to now? Or will the UK’s unusually harsh family reunification laws apply to them? Katya Ivanova (left) and Georgiana Turculet predict that the Brexit negotiations will reignite domestic debates around citizens’ core family rights. The authors outline four possible outcomes of the negotiations. […]

Unpicking ‘no deal is better than a bad deal’: not just meaningless, but unhelpful

In the last of a series of posts on the Government’s ‘no deal is better than a bad deal’ stance, Michael Johnson points to the advantages of a preferential deal with the EU. The ‘no deal’ mantra is meaningless, and serves only to obscure both the practical imperatives and the real possibilities of Brexit negotiations.

 
It isn’t just trade….
The consequences […]

If May fights on, a hard Brexit is inevitable. Only Boris Johnson might avert it

If Theresa May manages to carry on as Prime Minister, her precarious position within the Conservative Party and in Parliament will leave her a weaker negotiator. Kevin Featherstone argues that if she fights on – and either returns from Brussels without a deal, or is ousted after failing to secure an acceptable one – Tory party politics make a hard Brexit inevitable. Were Boris Johnson […]

Unpicking the ‘no deal is better than a bad deal’ mantra: what does ‘no deal’ look like?

“No deal is better than a bad deal,” says Theresa May. But what is actually meant by “no deal”? In the second of three posts about the ramifications of the Government’s position, Michael Johnson looks at what it would mean for trade.

As regards future UK/EU27 trade relations, the common assumption is that if no form of preferential agreement (such […]

Unpicking the “No deal is better than a bad deal” mantra: what would a ‘bad deal’ look like?

Brexit supporters – including Government ministers – regularly claim that when it comes to UK withdrawal from the European Union and future bilateral relations, “no deal is better than a bad deal”.  This mantra is based on confused thinking, writes Michael Johnson, in the first of three posts.  The issues that will arise respectively if the UK successfully negotiates […]

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    Global trade can’t replace the value of the EU Single Market for the UK

Global trade can’t replace the value of the EU Single Market for the UK

New trade deals for the UK will be an important part of the Brexit negotiations, not only with the EU but also with the rest of the world. But Steven Brakman, Harry Garretsen and Tristan Kohl argue that the UK has no trade-enhancing alternative to an agreement with the EU that essentially mimics its current situation as an EU […]

How to settle the size of the UK’s Brexit bill? Go to arbitration

The UK-EU financial settlement risks becoming a toxic stumbling block in Brexit negotiations. But there are actually much more important issues to discuss. To diffuse the issue, argues André Sapir, both sides should agree to independent international arbitration.
The Brexit negotiations have not begun well. Instead of focusing on what really matters, the two sides (the European institutions and the UK […]

Delusions and meddling: 30 years of Tory Euroscepticism are coming to the fore

The Conservative party’s relationship with the EU has come a long way since Edward Heath urged the UK to be ‘inside Europe’. Euroscepticism has a long history in the party, but the drift of public, media and Tory sentiment away from European unity crystallised in 1988 under Margaret Thatcher. The Brexit process is now bringing these tensions to the fore, […]