Euroscepticism

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    An in-out referendum will not solve the European question in British politics

An in-out referendum will not solve the European question in British politics

The run-up to Britain’s 2015 General Election will see the idea of holding an in-out referendum pushed as a necessary step for any new government that hopes to solve Britain’s European question. But the nature of the European question and the limits of what direct democracy can deliver means all sides should be weary of raising too many expectations […]

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    Merkel has not issued an ultimatum to the UK over free movement, but there is growing German frustration at David Cameron’s approach to the EU

Merkel has not issued an ultimatum to the UK over free movement, but there is growing German frustration at David Cameron’s approach to the EU

An article in the German news magazine Der Spiegel generated headlines in the UK press over the weekend when it appeared to suggest Germany would rather let Britain leave the EU than accept changes to EU free movement rules. Imke Henkel writes that while the reaction in the UK to the comments has been somewhat overblown, there is nevertheless growing […]

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    The UK’s £1.7 billion EU bill puts the country one step closer to a ‘Brexit’

The UK’s £1.7 billion EU bill puts the country one step closer to a ‘Brexit’

The UK has been asked to pay an extra £1.7 billion to the EU budget by 1 December following a reassessment of the size of the British economy. Iain Beggwrites that while the issue has generated an extremely hostile reaction from David Cameron, the data correction process used to arrive at the figure is well-known to the UK authorities […]

What do we know about EU migration to the UK?

With fevered political debate about EU migration to the UK, it is important to take a step back and analyse what we know. Carlos Vargas-Silva gives us the complete run-down, providing the numbers, showing where EU migrants live and what occupations they tend to work in, and explaining why EU migrants come to the UK and their economic impact. He concludes […]

How eurosceptic is Rochester and Strood?

It’s generally difficult to measure opinion in constituencies, so how can we tell how eurosceptic a specific constituency like Rochester and Strood is? In this article, Chris Hanretty explains the use of novel techniques which build on existing national survey samples to estimate the percentage of voters in each constituency who would currently support exit from the EU. By this measure, Clacton is ranked as the most […]

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    Politicians are clearly misreading EU provisions regarding freedom of movement

Politicians are clearly misreading EU provisions regarding freedom of movement

UKIP’s success in the Clacton by-election has prompted further unease in Conservative and Labour ranks, with free movement of people in the EU, a cornerstone of the Union, now suddenly under fire from the political elite. Brad Blitz writes that the shift in tone is not only at odds with previous policies, it reflects a clear misreading of EU provisions regarding the free […]

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    Did the possibility of a Brexit influence the shape of the new Commission?

Did the possibility of a Brexit influence the shape of the new Commission?

Jonathan Hill, David Cameron’s nominee for the European Commission, was recently given the financial services portfolio, seen as a good outcome for British interests, by Jean-Claude Juncker, the Commission president that was fiercely opposed by Cameron. Does this suggest that the threat of a ‘Brexit’ has paid off? Simon Usherwood writes that a Brexit might not have been topmost on Juncker’s mind […]

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    Greater attention should be paid to the consequences of a ‘Brexit’ for the EU and other states around the world, not just the UK

Greater attention should be paid to the consequences of a ‘Brexit’ for the EU and other states around the world, not just the UK

The UK’s EU membership is likely to be a key issue in the 2015 British general election campaign: a point underlined by the defection last week of the Conservative MP Douglas Carswell to UKIP. Almut Möller and Tim Oliver write that while the issue is of obvious significance within the UK, a potential ‘Brexit’ is also extremely important for other states within […]