With Nick Clegg signalling that in a hung Parliament he would want to back the leading party in terms of votes, so far clearly the Conservatives, the Tories’ resolute refusal to contemplate any electoral reform for the Commons has become a major stumbling bloc for any Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition. Clegg has warned Cameron that his fixed opposition will be a ‘strategic mistake’. Françoise Boucek reviews Cameron’s arguments.
David Cameron’s detailed arguments to listeners during his recent Radio 4 ‘Election Call’ programme provide an interesting insight into the Conservative’s public thoughts on electoral reform (as opposed presumably to an unvoiced private self-interest). He defends his rejection of a proportional representation system on the ground that it breaks MPs’ constituency links and generates ‘lots and lots’ of unstable hung parliaments, with attendant undemocratic ‘horse-trading’ between parties and so on.
On these arguments, it seems curious that British politicians including supporters of electoral reform (like the Liberal Democrats) almost never discuss mixed-member electoral systems as used Scotland, Wales and London, as well as in Germany and in many new and old democracies. New Zealand was once regarded as ‘a paragon of Westminster majoritarian democracy’ but switched in 1996 to just such as system.
The political scientists Matthew Shugart and Martin Wattenberg famously argued in 2001 that mixed-member electoral systems involving some seats elected in local contests, and other ‘top-up’ seats allocated to give a proportional outcome) may become the electoral reform of the 21st century. They provide the best of both worlds: they generate two-bloc (not two-party) nationally oriented party systems, without reducing minor parties to insignificance. Simultaneously they preserve MPs’ constituency links and local accountability, an objective always considered important in Britain.
Concerning Cameron’s stigmatization of ‘hung’ parliaments, it is clear now that the term is a recent misnomer and some advocates (such as the SNP’s Alex Salmond) are always careful to call them instead ‘balanced Parliaments’. Such parliaments should not be confused with coalition governments, which are neither unstable nor ineffective, as demonstrated in many competitive democracies in Europe and elsewhere. Coalition governments are widespread, stable (often lasting the full length of a parliamentary term) and are marked by moderate (instead of adversarial) politics.
In Britain, politicians get away with using such loose language and ‘confuser’ arguments because voters have no peacetime experience of coalition government, except for the weak Lib-Lab Pact of the late 1970s. Under this arrangement a minority Labour government enjoyed the legislative support of Liberal MPs, mainly passively through their abstention. Government in these circumstances, with very low levels of trust on both sides, ended up being quite a laborious process (no pun intended).
Coalition governments would undeniably be the likely result if Britain was to ditch its current plurality rule electoral system. However, a coalition outcome should not be equated with horse-trading and shady politics as Cameron suggests. In many European multi-party democracies the parties that go into election campaigns parties with similar views often make formal electoral alliances, supported by written documents outlining the alliance’s position on particular issues and policies. This process is all completely transparent for voters. And, if elected, these multiparty coalitions work together in government and within legislatures to transform their electoral pledges into government legislation.
In France where a majoritarian run-off system is used for presidential and legislative elections, inter-party alliance formation tends to formalize between the first and second rounds of elections, which the front-runners in each constituency usually fights the seat on behalf of the coalition. In both cases voters know clearly what outcomes their votes will bring before they cast their ballots.
I cannot see any reason why a mixed-member electoral system (similar to that in Scotland) would not work also at national level in Westminster. After all, Germany has used such a system since the end of the Second World War and nobody could accuse Germany of being an unstable democracy. As a matter of fact, the German party system is very similar to the British party system in its electoral composition. There are two large national parties (the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats) flanked by minority parties on each side of the political spectrum (but with a 5% official threshold of parliamentary representation as a safeguard against extremist parties winning representation). In Germany a small Liberal party in the middle (the Free Democrats) generates centripetal party competition and helps produce moderate national politics for citizens, but it is certainly not always in government.
Thanks, Ken, for your comment.
DPR Voting needs academic recognition. It needs an attributable comment on, or assessment by, a respected political science academic.
DPR Voting is interesting because by separating the vote for Party and Candidate it simplifies the voters’ choice. It is one of the few PR systems that works with the existing single member constituency system.
Another interesting aspect is that voters are encouraged to elect their MP on merit, and track record, rather than party affiliation, and incidentally the voting will show to what extent this has happened.
It will alter the balance of the relationships between Government and Parliament, MPs and their constituents which is something many commentators have called for.
Is there an political science academic at the LSE who would be interested to take up the challenge?
I’ve had a look at what Stephen is proposing and it makes a lot of sense. The only change required is some technology in the house of commons to tally up fractional votes. Problem is nobody seems to have heard of it, so how do we spread the word?
Mr Whittam Smith writes in The Independent May 6 of the voting dilemma inherent in our system – ‘Back the person, not the party’
Betty Boothroyd spoke May 3 on BBC The World at One about PR and the Speakers constituents loss of voting choice.
Both problems are solved by DPR Voting.
In this system, each voter has one vote for the Party to govern the country, like an opinion poll, and this determines how many parliamentary votes each party gets, but does not by itself elect any MP’s.
And a second vote to elect the constituency representative, the MP. This vote is like the present voting system, but it does not change the number of parliamentary votes each party receives. This election chooses the best representative for the constituency on personal merit.
DPR Voting has exciting outcomes, is simple in concept and easy to introduce. Maybe it sounds similar to some other voting system. It isn’t.
It could be the right system at the right time for the UK.
Francoise, DPR Voting is rather different from the German system. It doesn’t use a party list system. The separation of the party vote (which doesn’t elect any MPs) from the Representative vote (which doesn’t have any affect on the strength of the Party in the Parliament) has interesting consequences. This combined with the simplicity and similarity to the existing UK system makes it uniquely attractive as a replacement for the UK FPTP system. I have emailed you a more detailed explanation which I hope will interest you.
Stephen, why complicate things with yet more confusing labels? That’s exactly what the German (federal) electoral system does. It gives the voter two votes: one for a candidate and one for a list. The first vote is used to elect an individual candidate in a single-member district contest won by plurality rule (as in Britain). The second vote for a party list provides compensatory seats to those parties that did not receive in the single-seat districts a seat share that is proportional to their nationwide vote share. Hence, my prediction that such a system would be likely to generate moderate and balanced politics in Britain as in Germany. However, as in the case in New Zealand, this may not happen immediately. It would probably take a couple of national elections for voters and parties to adapt to the new rules and adjust their strategies accordingly.
David Cameron says that he will address the unfairness of the current electoral system by reducing the number of constituencies and making them all the same size. While this will benefit the Conservative party and partly address the over representation of the Labour party, Mr Cameron should explain how he thinks this is fair for the Lib Dems. Otherwise he is in danger of claiming that his policy is designed to make the election system fairer when actually it will be widely seen as a partisan change benefiting only the Conservatives.
Direct Party and Representative Voting (DPR Voting) is an alternative to the Mixed Member system where the voter has two votes, one for the party, and one to elect the MP. The separation of these aspects of the voting decision has interesting consequences which, it can be argued, are wholly beneficial for the Political system. It works well with the existing single member constituency system and does not rely on additional members to achieve PR. See http://www.dprvoting.org
It is easy to understand and the voting is simple. It would be quick and easy to introduce, relatively speaking, and might attract support from backbenchers since MPs who are well respected in their constituencies might be expected to retain their seats after the change.
I think the Lib Dems don’t talk about MMP because they don’t favour it. They prefer STV on the Irish model, with small districts. Its the model that they negotiated while in government with the the Labour Party in Scotland for local elections.
It took a couple of elections for our MMP system here in NZ to bed down. The first election was a bit of a scramble, for example, with one small party carrying far too much power. However, we now have a steady group of political parties, which seem to me to fairly represent our varied citizenship in a way the old two-party system didn’t. Many people, particularly politicians it has to be said, were firmly against the change, but, in my opinion, the end result has been more moderate policy decisions and much less of that “swing” where copious amounts of money was wasted undoing the oppositions policies each time a new party came to power.
For a critique of the Additional Member System (AMS = MMP) used to elect the Scottish Parliament, see:
http://www.commissiononscottishdevolution.org.uk/uploads/2008-12-02-fairshare.pdf
and
http://www.fairsharevoting.org/Fairshare%20Submission%20Arbuthnott%20Commission%2022%20Mar%2005.pdf
AMS (MMP) is not the way forward for Westminster either.