2020 Primary Primers

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    Primary Primers: Why 2020 might be just another disappointment for the Democratic Party

Primary Primers: Why 2020 might be just another disappointment for the Democratic Party

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In recent months, former Vice President Joe Biden has opened up a significant lead over President Trump in the 2020 election race, as voters react to the president’s poor handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. And while Democrats may feel that they have reasons to be cheerful heading into November, Osman Sahin argues that Donald Trump’s ability to tap into […]

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    Primary Primers: Moving the Republican convention is all about Trump’s ego – not his reelection

Primary Primers: Moving the Republican convention is all about Trump’s ego – not his reelection

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The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major shifts and changes to this election year’s political schedule, among them the Republican National Committee’s decision to shift the party’s presidential nominating convention from Charlotte, North Carolina, to Jacksonville, Florida. Kevin Fahey writes that President Trump has been the driving force behind this change, and that he believes that moving the convention will […]

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    Primary Primers: Missouri and Iowa: The challenge facing Democrats in Obama-Trump Country 

Primary Primers: Missouri and Iowa: The challenge facing Democrats in Obama-Trump Country 

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The 2016 election was marked by the popularity of Donald Trump with voters in Midwestern states like Iowa and Minnesota, which had voted for Barack Obama in 2012.  To the south, Missouri has trended from a purple to a “deep red” Republican state since the early 2000s. Michael A. Smith takes a close look at Iowa and Missouri, states which have experienced economic shifts in recent years which […]

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    Justin Amash’s presidential bid shows that some Republicans’ future may be with the Libertarian Party. 

Justin Amash’s presidential bid shows that some Republicans’ future may be with the Libertarian Party. 

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With Republican and Democratic voters rallying around their party’s respective presidential candidates ahead of the November election, the chances of a victory for the Libertarian Party look bleak. While the Libertarian Party may not be successful this fall, write Olivier Lewis and Jeffrey Michels, former Republican Justin Amash’s recent short-lived candidacy for the party may point to a longer term realignment for Republican voters who seek less government involvement in their lives.

This […]

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    Primary Primers: Voters are generally happy to work alongside elites to choose their party’s presidential nominee

Primary Primers: Voters are generally happy to work alongside elites to choose their party’s presidential nominee

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Since 1984, party elites, both elected and DNC members, have played a role in selecting the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee. While recent years have seen calls to move away from a system that includes those who some accuse of being unelected elites, in new research, Zachary Albert and Raymond La Raja find that voters are actually happy with a […]

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    Primary Primers: Why Justin Amash could be a game-changer without a chance

Primary Primers: Why Justin Amash could be a game-changer without a chance

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Late last month, former Republican Representative Justin Amash announced that he was exploring a presidential bid for the Libertarian Party. Jeffrey Michels and Olivier Lewis write that if Amash is able to gain the Libertarian Party’s presidential nomination, then he could find himself the kingmaker if he is able to win over Republican voters who dislike Donald Trump. Whether he […]

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    Primary Primers: Why rescheduling the Democratic National Convention is likely to benefit Trump 

Primary Primers: Why rescheduling the Democratic National Convention is likely to benefit Trump 

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The Democratic Party recently announced that it would be shifting its presidential nominating convention back by more than a month because of concerns over COVID-19. James D. King writes that party reforms of the last 50 years mean that national conventions have become an advertisement for a pre-determined candidate rather than a venue to decide on the nominee. He comments that […]

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    Primary Primers: Why Minnesota is – and isn’t – a swing state 

Primary Primers: Why Minnesota is – and isn’t – a swing state 

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In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump very nearly won in Minnesota, only missing out by 45,000 votes in the state. Rubrick Biegon takes a close look at whether Minnesota should now be considered to be a swing state. He writes that despite Trump’s recent appeals there, the North Star State’s progressive history and present may make a victory for him very difficult this fall.

This article is part of our Primary Primers series […]

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    Primary Primers: Why Texas won’t be turning blue this year 

Primary Primers: Why Texas won’t be turning blue this year 

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As the second most populated state, Texas is a significant electoral prize in presidential contests. Robert Ledger, Madison Imiola and Peter Finn write that changing demographics mean that Democrats are becoming more hopeful about winning the Lone Star State, but other factors such as primary turnout and the COVID-19 pandemic point to an uphill battle this year.

This article is part of our Primary Primers series curated by […]

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    Primary Primers: Wyoming had made important reforms to its nomination process even before Covid-19 disrupted the presidential primary.

Primary Primers: Wyoming had made important reforms to its nomination process even before Covid-19 disrupted the presidential primary.

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With its small population meaning that it has a relatively low number of delegates on offer for presidential nomination candidates, Wyoming’s caucus typically garners little attention. But this year’s vote, is significant, writes James D. King, as the state’s Democrats have moved to a hybrid primary-caucus model as well as extending the submission deadline for ballots due to the […]

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