Donald Trump’s presidential election victory earlier this month stunned much of the media and political science community. But how could he have won despite his chances being written off by so many? To explore the answer to this question, David P. Redlawsk takes us back in time to the Iowa Caucus of August last year, and describes a rally […]
Clinton Performed Very Well in Most Urban Areas Relative to Obama, Despite Losing the Rustbelt—and the Presidency with It
Despite talk of collapsed Democrat support for Clinton, her performance in urban areas was very strong this presidential election. As Joshua D. Ambrosius argues however, her loss to Donald Trump highlights the weakness of Democrats’ urban-centric appeal, given the new-found GOP capacity to mobilise masses of rural working class and suburban Americans.
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s lead in the popular […]
Given Trump’s divisive rhetoric during the presidential election, many have expressed concern and fear about the course of international politics, American domestic affairs and US culture. Though acknowledging the serious danger to the status quo that President-Elect Trump poses, Terry Hathaway posits that we should be hopeful and not put too much stock in his campaign rhetoric; in addition, he notes […]
As the final votes are counted, pundits and pollsters sit stunned as Donald J. Trump gets set to enter the White House. For anyone in Britain, there is a sharp tang of déjà vu in the air: this feels like the morning after the Brexit vote all over again. Eric Kaufmann explains that, as with Brexit, there’s little evidence […]
Much has been made of the inaccuracy of exit polls and voting projections amidst Trump’s shocking win this week. Michael McQuarrie argues, however, that to truly appreciate why Donald Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States we must look beyond distortionary exit polling and come to appreciate the thoroughly regional nature of his victory. Only this […]
Despite winning the popular vote, Democrat Hillary Clinton lost the presidential election to Republican candidate Donald Trump. This was made possible by America’s unusual method of picking a president, namely through its “Electoral College” system – which as Thomas J. Leeper argues, has serious consequences for the strength of Trump’s mandate and could reignite debate over electoral reform in the United […]
State initiatives on gun control and the minimum wage mean that a Trump presidency may not be as bad as some fear
As half of the country ponders how they underestimated Trump’s advantage, it is important to remember the state level propositions that passed across the United States last night. Sierra Smucker writes that victories of state ballot initiatives highlight the fact that a Trump victory is not necessarily a sign that American citizens are moving toward a conservative platform. Victories […]
Donald Trump scored a stunning victory over Hillary Clinton on Tuesday. This is an election that political analysts will be debating for some time to come. How did this happen and what does Trump’s victory portend, both domestically and internationally? LSE US Centre Director, Peter Trubowitz, offers some provisional thoughts on these issues.
What explains Trump’s victory?
Many things obviously: a politically vulnerable opponent, lower voter […]
Donald Trump is the new President of the United States. But should the 45th president expect to gain another four years in the White House? Looking at presidential elections over the past six decades, Ben Worthy argues that incumbency is a distinct advantage to presidential candidates, meaning that presidents are more likely to stay in the White House than […]