Exit negotiations

BRINO satisfies no-one. The Brexit wrangles are far from over

As the cabinet pores over Theresa May’s Brexit deal, where do we stand? Dimitri Zenghelis (LSE) says even if the deal passes ministers and Parliament, the uncertainty is far from over.

In my last post for LSE Brexit, I wrote:
“Looking ahead, the prospects are not encouraging. The ‘agreement’ at Chequers and subsequent ministerial resignations reflect the fact that the time […]

The EU’s negotiating strategy has worked so far, but it’s playing a risky game

In a report published recently, Oliver Patel (UCL) assesses the EU’s institutional and strategic approach to the Brexit negotiations, and considers what the EU wants from the process. Here, he summarises the core points of the paper and outlines how the UK has been outflanked by the EU’s negotiating tactics thus far.

October’s European Council summit represented ‘more of the same’ for the Brexit […]

Continental Breakfast 13: Brexit’s lasting effects on the EU

The departure of the UK will have lasting effects on the European Union, which will be felt for years to come. Marcel Hadeed (LSE) reports on a lunchtime event on 1 October, 2018 jointly hosted between LSE and the Hertie School of Governance, Berlin. Where do we stand six months ahead of the British withdrawal from the EU? How do […]

Continental Breakfast 12: Where is Brexit heading to?

The UK wants to remain economically in the UK, but leave it politically. Horatio Mortimer (LSE) reports on a breakfast event held at the LSE to discuss where Brexit is likely to end up. The likely outcome, the participants concluded, will be a ‘Brino’ – Brexit in name only – that satisfies no one.

In simplified terms, at the moment […]

Negotiating Single Market access with the EU: institutional lessons from Switzerland

Switzerland is in the midst of negotiating an institutional framework for some of its more important bilateral agreements with the EU. Laura Knöpfel (King’s College London) and Cenni Najy (University of Geneva) look at what institutional lessons can be learned for the UK as it tries to leave the EU while remaining partly in the Single Market.
Chapter 4 of […]

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    Permalink Theresa May in Salzburg on 19 September 2018. Photo: <a />No 10 Downing St</a> via a <a>CC-BY-NC-ND 2.0 licence</a>Gallery

    May’s Brexit luck looks like running out at Westminster this autumn

May’s Brexit luck looks like running out at Westminster this autumn

Theresa May’s strategy of procrastination and ambiguity is about to run out, writes Jim Gallagher (University of Glasgow). While she may, even after Salzburg, be able to agree a form of words with Brussels, the fudge involved is now so transparent it is unlikely to satisfy enough MPs to get the deal through Parliament. This makes a disorderly exit – or […]

The people’s vote is not the answer to the Brexit riddle

Momentum seems to be building for a people’s vote on Brexit. Phil Syrpis (University of Bristol) argues that it will not provide the answer to Brexit – whether or not the government secures a deal with the EU. Rather, he argues that the calls for a people’s vote are distracting campaigners from making the case for the outcomes they really want.
Numerous people […]

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    Why we must all now be with Rees-Mogg: the case against a sudden reversal of Brexit

Why we must all now be with Rees-Mogg: the case against a sudden reversal of Brexit

All the available evidence suggests that Brexit will be chaotic and debilitating, but the answer is not necessarily to force a halt – unless it is the Hard Brexit devotees themselves who are forced to do it. In this blog, Conor Gearty (LSE) explains that a sudden reversal of Brexit would become the new casus belli. Equally, the government’s current exit […]

Article 50 is flawed: could the ECJ extend the two-year withdrawal period?

The two-year time limit stipulated in Article 50, argues Philip Allott (University of Cambridge), is wildly unrealistic: its drafters never anticipated that a large member state would ever leave the EU. In this legal opinion, he sets out how the ECJ could extend the withdrawal period, thereby allowing the UK to leave in an orderly fashion.
The UK’s scheduled withdrawal from […]

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    No deal, no trucks? What a no-deal Brexit will mean for road transport

No deal, no trucks? What a no-deal Brexit will mean for road transport

What will a no-deal Brexit mean for road transport? Dmitry Grozoubinski explains that come March 30th 2019, UK firms may not be able to transport goods between European Union countries. This means that many British lorry drivers will not be able to work in the EU, and many UK firms will urgently need to become permanently established somewhere in the EU to operate […]