Exit negotiations

MPs say they won’t allow a no deal Brexit. Can they stop one?

No deal is the default position if the Withdrawal Agreement is rejected by Parliament – but the situation is complex and developing quickly. Omar Salem explains what would be needed for a no deal Brexit to be avoided.

As things currently stand, the UK will leave the EU by operation of law at 11pm on 29 March 2019. If Parliament […]

How a second referendum could be the best way to overcome the Brexit impasse

A new vote based on the revocation (or not) of Article 50 would give the UK government a clear signal to proceed in one direction or another, and thus trim down the number of options being touted – most of which are unworkable as things stand, write Maria Dimertzis (Bruegel) and Nicola Viegi (University of Pretoria).
The harsh realities of Brexit […]

The time has come to revoke Article 50

It’s time to revoke Article 50, writes Phil Syrpis (University of Bristol). Westminster has yet to see it, but it will not be long before the reality becomes impossible to avoid. Unless something is agreed, the UK will leave the EU on 29 March with no deal.

While attention was focused on the travails of Theresa May – who on 12 […]

The legal issues of revoking the notification to leave the EU – but then notifying to leave again

The European Court of Justice has ruled that the UK can unilaterally revoke Article 50. But, warns Ronan McCrea (UCL), this is only helpful if Britain takes the (extraordinarily unlikely) decision to reverse Brexit within the next couple of months. Should the UK equivocate, the Court would find itself in the very difficult position of having to rule on the country’s […]

The most likely Brexit outcome is Norway

The UK is entering a period of great uncertainty and constitutional, legal and political upheaval. The big immediate question is what will come out of the debate on Theresa May’s Brexit deal  – which is actually one very detailed withdrawal deal, and one set of vague aspirations for the future in the accompanying “political declaration”. What might happen? The […]

LSE Continental Breakfast 15: the ‘meaningful vote’

The latest in the series of LSE Continental Breakfasts – discussions held under Chatham House rules – tackled the issue of the Commons’ role in Brexit, and the ‘meaningful vote’ in particular. Oliver Garner (European University Institute) reports on the event.

On 25 November 2018, the European Council endorsed the Withdrawal Agreement between the UK and the EU – concluding the European […]

A No Deal Brexit would be a liberation, not a crisis

The government’s ‘deal’ with the EU is atrocious, writes Ruth Lea. The Withdrawal Agreement and the ‘Political Declaration on the framework for the future relationship’ would shackle this country and have nothing to commend them. The indications are that the House of Commons will reject the ‘deal’ on 11 December, when the ‘meaningful’ vote is due to take place. One can only […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Game Over? The Withdrawal Agreement is by no means the end of the Brexit negotiations

Game Over? The Withdrawal Agreement is by no means the end of the Brexit negotiations

The announcement of the Withdrawal Agreement on November 13th was a momentous occasion, regardless of its final fate and the aftermath in London. It followed years of intense and fractious negotiations between the EU and the UK government. Although negotiating the future EU-UK relationship will also be arduous, it is difficult to envisage any issue more fractious as resolving […]

Staying in the EU would not be perfect. But it’s the best deal on offer

Is it time for Parliament to compromise and vote through May’s Brexit deal? Dimitri Zenghelis (LSE) argues that ‘no deal’ is not the only viable alternative to a deeply flawed deal. Yes, a second referendum would divide the country – but it is already divided. People are now in a better position to understand the choices on offer and […]

BRINO satisfies no-one. The Brexit wrangles are far from over

As the cabinet pores over Theresa May’s Brexit deal, where do we stand? Dimitri Zenghelis (LSE) says even if the deal passes ministers and Parliament, the uncertainty is far from over.

In my last post for LSE Brexit, I wrote:
“Looking ahead, the prospects are not encouraging. The ‘agreement’ at Chequers and subsequent ministerial resignations reflect the fact that the time […]