Exit negotiations

In 1955, Britain had the chance to shape the future EU. It flunked it

Negotiating with the EU was never going to be successful, because the EU’s interest is in protecting the advantages its members enjoy. In their book How to Lose a Referendum: the definitive story of why the UK voted for Brexit, Paul Goldsmith (left) and Jason Farrell explain why the failure of British politicians to explain why the compromises of EU […]

Kicking the bucket down the road to Norway: EEA is back

Many months after it was ruled out by the government, membership of the European Economic Area (the ‘Norway option’) is being mooted once again. Given Theresa May’s procrastination and the obstacle of the Northern Ireland border, writes Jim Gallagher (Centre on Constitutional Change), it may be that – over time – what is effectively continued economic but not political union is broadly acceptable […]

On Brexit, Transition, Customs Partnership and Max Fac – a drama in four acts

The Brexit process has had its share of surprising twists and turns. But even seasoned observers were taken by surprise recently when the Sun reported that “Brexiteers urge Theresa May to extend the transition period”. Experts have long agreed that the transition period currently provided for in the Withdrawal Agreement is unlikely to be long enough to successfully negotiate a broad […]

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    The Airbus case sits at the heart of the Brexit industrial equation

The Airbus case sits at the heart of the Brexit industrial equation

The Airbus case sits at the heart of the Brexit industrial equation.
If the EU takes an aggressive stance, the UK can penalise Airbus to bring Brussels back to the negotiating table, writes Nicolas Petit (École de Guerre Économique).

While an agreement on Brexit negotiations is far from being reached between the United Kingdom and the European Union, Brussels seems to […]

LSE Continental Breakfast 7: the business consequences of a breakdown in exit negotiations

The seventh Continental Breakfast seminar at the LSE, held under Chatham House rules, focused on the potential implications that a breakdown of the Brexit negotiations would have for UK businesses. The overall message was that the consequences of such a breakdown – a “no deal” outcome – would be severe. Angelos Angelou (LSE) reports on the discussion.

A “no deal” outcome […]

Why Britain’s habit of cherry-picking criminal justice policy cannot survive Brexit

The European Arrest Warrant is important to Theresa May. But, as Auke Willems (LSE) explains, it will be difficult to negotiate the pan-European security co-operation she wants unless Britain is prepared to cross the ‘red line’ of recognising the European Court of Justice, as well as the Charter of Fundamental Rights.

Cooperation on matters of police and criminal law – or […]

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    Long read | EU citizens in the UK are in a particularly weak position and need an independent authority to monitor their rights

Long read | EU citizens in the UK are in a particularly weak position and need an independent authority to monitor their rights

The Brexit Withdrawal Agreement has been unveiled, and there are serious limitations to the future protections of EU citizens living in Britain after Brexit. As things stand now, EU citizens risk falling into an implementation gap created by the limitations to bottom-up enforcement, and the limits of international dispute settlement. In this blog, Stijn Smismans (Cardiff University) argues that EU citizens in […]

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    EU Withdrawal Agreement: the real losers will be British businesses and British citizens

EU Withdrawal Agreement: the real losers will be British businesses and British citizens

When Britain leaves the EU in March 2019, will it become isolated and not influential, to paraphrase Sir John Major’s words from his speech last week?  In this blog, Monica Horten (LSE) investigates the Transition chapter of the EU Withdrawal Agreement and scrutinises how far Britain’s influence could be written out from the very start. 

There is one aspect of […]

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    The UK government is shedding some of its illusions about Brexit, and softening its position

The UK government is shedding some of its illusions about Brexit, and softening its position

Step by step, the UK government is shedding some of its illusions about Brexit, argues Holger Schmieding (Berenberg). The United Kingdom has already accepted that it will have to meet the legally binding financial commitments it incurred while it was a member of the European Union (the so-called Brexit bill) and is going along with the EU’s timetable for negotiations […]

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    Many multinationals may pull out of the UK if it leaves the Customs Union

Many multinationals may pull out of the UK if it leaves the Customs Union

As March 2019 draws closer, the UK government remains divided over the type of trade relationship it wants to achieve in the ongoing negotiations with the EU. Paola Conconi (ULB/LSE) explains why Japanese multinationals may pull out of the UK in case of a hard Brexit, one which would mean there is no kind of customs union with the EU.

Some […]