Exit negotiations

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    Global trade can’t replace the value of the EU Single Market for the UK

Global trade can’t replace the value of the EU Single Market for the UK

New trade deals for the UK will be an important part of the Brexit negotiations, not only with the EU but also with the rest of the world. But Steven Brakman, Harry Garretsen and Tristan Kohl argue that the UK has no trade-enhancing alternative to an agreement with the EU that essentially mimics its current situation as an EU […]

How to settle the size of the UK’s Brexit bill? Go to arbitration

The UK-EU financial settlement risks becoming a toxic stumbling block in Brexit negotiations. But there are actually much more important issues to discuss. To diffuse the issue, argues André Sapir, both sides should agree to independent international arbitration.
The Brexit negotiations have not begun well. Instead of focusing on what really matters, the two sides (the European institutions and the UK […]

Delusions and meddling: 30 years of Tory Euroscepticism are coming to the fore

The Conservative party’s relationship with the EU has come a long way since Edward Heath urged the UK to be ‘inside Europe’. Euroscepticism has a long history in the party, but the drift of public, media and Tory sentiment away from European unity crystallised in 1988 under Margaret Thatcher. The Brexit process is now bringing these tensions to the fore, […]

Brexit will inevitably hurt UK exports, slowly but surely

Leaving the EU will matter a great deal for trade, writes Pierre-Louis Vézina. He argues that in time, Brexit will surely hurt UK exports.

Most experts are convinced Brexit will hurt UK exports. That’s because we’ve learned from past episodes that removing trade barriers does actually boost trade. On average, bilateral trade is around 40% larger after trade agreements are signed. But […]

LSE Continental Breakfast #2: migration and Brexit

In the second LSE Continental Breakfast, the participants discussed the challenges facing the government as it tries to bring down immigration post-Brexit. Zoe Gardner reports.
Reform freedom of movement – or abandon it?
Two possible scenarios for the future direction of migration policymaking emerged from the discussion. In the first, any iteration of EU freedom of movement, leaving EU and EEA […]

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    Ireland and Brexit: Turning potential negative consequences into bargaining leverage

Ireland and Brexit: Turning potential negative consequences into bargaining leverage

Ireland is arguably the EU state with the most to lose from Brexit, given its close relationship with the UK. Anthony Costello argues that although the UK’s decision to leave could have clear negative economic and political consequences for Ireland, there is also an opportunity for the country to use the situation to increase its bargaining power and gain meaningful […]

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    Involvement of Europe’s national parliaments will further complicate the Brexit deal

Involvement of Europe’s national parliaments will further complicate the Brexit deal

While the power of national parliaments in the European Union has generally been increased over the last two decades, as means of democratising the EU, their involvement in the Brexit process will further complicate the negotiations and prove difficult for the the next British government to handle, writes Julian M Hoerner.

Amidst the triggering of Article 50 on 29 March, the announcement of a UK […]

Labour has picked a side on Brexit – and it’s the right one

Labour sought to clarify its position on Brexit this week, and has opted for a soft stance. Ben Marguelies argues that the party is right to follow the instincts of its 2015 voters, less than a fifth of whom seem to favour a hard Brexit of the type the government is pursuing. The best shot Labour has for the future is […]

LSE Continental Breakfast 1: What can we expect from Brexit negotiations?

In the first of LSE’s Continental Breakfasts – held under Chatham House rules, so participants can speak as freely as they wish – a roundtable discussed the immediate challenges facing the UK as it triggers Article 50. Robert van Geffen distills some of the key points.

Once Article 50 is triggered, the European Council will meet to issue guidelines […]

It’s not that Britons want to have their EU cake and eat it. They just don’t like the recipe

Most Britons want to curb immigration while trading freely with the EU – or ‘having their cake and eating it’. Freedom of movement is regarded by the EU as fundamental to the single market, which is why Theresa May has indicated the UK will leave it. John Curtice explains that the British tend to believe that migration is an unpalatable […]