Exit negotiations

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    The gaffe that keeps on taking: How to break the deadlock over Britain’s EU divorce bill

The gaffe that keeps on taking: How to break the deadlock over Britain’s EU divorce bill

The size of the ‘divorce bill’ the UK will pay following its exit from the EU remains one of the key sticking points in the Brexit negotiations. Iain Begg writes that despite the apparent deadlock over the issue, it would not take much to reach a compromise. He suggests that extending the idea of an implementation phase to the […]

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    Europeans support the EU’s hard line in the Brexit negotiations

Europeans support the EU’s hard line in the Brexit negotiations

The British government has been frustrated by the hard negotiating line pursued by the EU under the lead of Michel Barnier, and the unusual degree of unity in supporting the EU’s Brexit negotiation strategy has surprised quite a few observers. Stefanie Walter (University of Zurich) reflects on the Brexit process through EU-27 eyes, and concludes that by and large Europeans support EU’s […]

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    The Irish border is not a technical issue but a political one

The Irish border is not a technical issue but a political one

At this stage of the exit negotiations, the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic is not a technical issue but a political one, argues Katy Hayward (Queen’s University Belfast). She explains exactly why the Northern Irish/Irish issue is a block preventing the Brexit talks from progressing, and provides suggestions on how to shift it.

It is quite clear from communications from the EU […]

Brussels may have agreed to accelerate Brexit negotiations – but Merkel’s priorities are elsewhere

At her meetings in Brussels this week, Theresa May and the European Commission agreed to ‘accelerate’ the stalled Brexit negotiations. But, as John Ryan (LSE) writes, after a bruising election result Angela Merkel will be preoccupied with coalition talks until Christmas. The UK should not expect major concessions from Germany, which knows its principal interest is in preserving the Single Market.

The […]

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    The Brexit talks aren’t just about power, they’re about legitimacy – and the UK urgently needs a vision for the future

The Brexit talks aren’t just about power, they’re about legitimacy – and the UK urgently needs a vision for the future

Coverage of the Brexit negotiations often focuses on the relative bargaining power of the UK and the EU as they seek to reach a new agreement following Britain’s withdrawal. Andrew Glencross highlights that although bargaining power is central to the negotiations, power is a function of legitimacy, and if the UK is to reach a genuinely good Brexit deal it will have […]

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    Britain’s approach to Brexit is a textbook example of failed strategic thinking

Britain’s approach to Brexit is a textbook example of failed strategic thinking

Prime Minister Theresa May’s speech in Florence was intended to move forward stalled Brexit negotiations. But as Tim Oliver (LSE/EUI) argues, Britain has found itself running into numerous problems with Brexit because its strategy for exiting the EU has been a textbook example of failed strategic thinking.

It’s said that in the First World War the Germans viewed the British troops […]

How ready is the UK for Brexit?: 9%

Opinions on whether Britain will be ready to exit the EU in 2019 differ. Simeon Djankov introduces the Brexit Readiness Score: updated quarterly, the index would track the negotiations’ progress in ten components, each scored on a scale from 0 (no progress) to 10 (full readiness). Based on the data available so far, he estimates the UK’s current readiness to be at […]

Red lines and compromises: how flexible is public opinion about Brexit negotiations?

The heated nature of the public discourse around Brexit suggests that the British public are not in a compromising mood, but is there evidence to back this up? Lindsay Richards and Anthony Heath (Nuffield College, Oxford) set out to discover what people think about the various aspects of the EU negotiations. Where are people more willing to compromise and what do […]

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    Juncker, Euroscepticism and the guinea pig: how other Europeans assess the dangers of leaving the EU

Juncker, Euroscepticism and the guinea pig: how other Europeans assess the dangers of leaving the EU

Public support for the EU rose after the referendum, while Jean-Claude Juncker has painted a starry picture of the Union’s prospects without Britain. In effect, writes Catherine E De Vries (University of Essex), the UK is a guinea pig for Eurosceptics on the rest of the continent. Consequently, national leaders have every incentive to make Brexit as arduous as […]

May in Florence: renaissance or resistance?

After a summer of squabbling by UK Cabinet Ministers and growing exasperation on the EU side, Theresa May’s Florence speech was supposed to clarify what the UK wants from Brexit. But are we any clearer on what sort of arrangement the UK seeks or what it is prepared to concede to obtain it? Probably not, writes Iain Begg (LSE […]