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    Turn out or else: do referendum campaigns actually change voters’ minds?

Turn out or else: do referendum campaigns actually change voters’ minds?

Over £9m has been spent on leaflets for all British household outlining the arguments in favour of remaining in the EU. But do campaign activities actually sway voters in referendums? Would campaigners do best to try to change minds, or simply motivate their supporters to turn out at the polls? Which arguments will prove decisive? Sara Hobolt and Sara Hagemann report […]

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    The generation gap: How young voters view the UK’s referendum

The generation gap: How young voters view the UK’s referendum

Opinion polls on the UK’s upcoming referendum have consistently shown a clear generational divide, with younger voters more likely to support staying in the EU than older citizens. Using recent survey data, James Sloam assesses the factors underpinning this split, noting that if young people have such a distinct position on the EU, it is important that their […]

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    Can we really not predict who will vote for Brexit, and where?

Can we really not predict who will vote for Brexit, and where?

In a recent Guardian article, Simon Jenkins suggested that voter decisions regarding the EU referendum will be made on the basis of gut instinct alone, and that personal characteristics and previous party support provide no guide. Using a new modelling strategy applied to a large body of YouGov opinion poll data, Ron Johnston, Kelvyn Jones and David Manley address Jenkins’ claim, and find it wanting. The young and the well-qualified […]

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    The question is not whether Brexit will cost the UK in economic terms but how much

The question is not whether Brexit will cost the UK in economic terms but how much

For over two years, a research team at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) has been studying the likely impact of the UK leaving the European Union. Their latest report focuses on the impact of ‘Brexit’ through changing trade patterns. Under ‘optimistic’ assumptions, there is a fall in national income of 1.3 per cent (about £850 per household). Under ‘pessimistic’ assumptions, this doubles […]

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    Lies, damned lies and yet more misleading statistics on Europe

Lies, damned lies and yet more misleading statistics on Europe

Both sides of the EU referendum debate are deploying statistics to back their arguments. Citing recent examples from Vote Leave, the Sunday Times and the Centre for Economics and Business Research, Iain Begg warns that these figures can make misleading assumptions or even be downright inaccurate.

In war, according to the ancient Greek dramatist Aeschylus, truth is the first casualty. Plainly, he […]

Labour should not be the champion of EU free movement

It’s time for the Labour Party to have a sensible discussion about immigration within the EU. The traditional perspective of the British socialist Left on immigration is neither the liberal viewpoint that immigration is inherently good nor the xenophobic viewpoint that it is inherently bad. Instead, practically minded British socialists have argued that immigration must be evaluated on the […]

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    Leaving the EU will be detrimental for the future of the City

Leaving the EU will be detrimental for the future of the City

The City’s growth is not endogenous,  it has coincided with the achievement of the European single market. In the past 20 years London managed to adapt as a bridgehead for foreign, mostly US, financial institutions’ operations all over the EU (banks, institutional investors and fund managers, and ratings agents). Karel Lannoo, one the participants of the first LSE Commission on the Future of Britain in Europe, claims that it is […]

The year in review: the EU referendum

In 2013 David Cameron committed a future Conservative government to an In/Out referendum on membership of the EU. Now, after Conservative victory in the General Election, the major campaign groups for both sides of the argument are starting to push their case. Below are our ten most popular articles on the topic during 2015. The debate is only going to intensify […]

December 22nd, 2015|Uncategorized|1 Comment|
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported
This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.