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    The grievances of the fishing industry would be better aimed at the UK government, not the EU

The grievances of the fishing industry would be better aimed at the UK government, not the EU

Fishing is a proud industry and its struggle has been propelled to prominence in the debate on the EU referendum next month. Griffin Carpenter argues that, despite what Brexit: The Movie claims, the genuine grievances of the fishing industry should be directed at the UK government, not the EU.

It is indisputable that many ports and coastal communities around the UK […]

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    After a Leave vote the UK would have a strong hand in any trade negotiations

After a Leave vote the UK would have a strong hand in any trade negotiations

The UK runs significant trade deficits with politically important EU countries. Ruth Lea shows that it is hence an  important market for the EU’s key exporters and rather than being a supplicant, the UK would, after a vote to leave the union, have a very strong hand of cards to play.

It is sometimes claimed that UK markets matter comparatively little […]

HM Treasury v Economists for Brexit: whom to believe?

Two recent assessments of the economics of Brexit, from the Treasury and a new group calling itself Economists for Brexit, come to diametrically opposed conclusions, writes Iain Begg. They add to an array of claims and counter-claims, many of which come up with apparently firm predictions, but have subtle differences that make direct comparisons difficult. Voters are entitled to be […]

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    Danny Dorling on Brexit, empire, inequality…and Eurovision.

Danny Dorling on Brexit, empire, inequality…and Eurovision.

At a recent LSE talk, Danny Dorling argued that we should stay in the European Union. He unpicks the absurdity of some arguments against our EU membership. Those for Brexit are not only likely to come from areas with few immigrants, but they want highly-skilled lowly-paid young Europeans out of the country, all while British expat pensioners rely on someone else’s […]

How to cope with Brexit: an employers’ guide

Migrants are now 11 per cent of the workforce and one in 20 workers is from the EU, writes Heather Rolfe of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research(NIESR). Their presence in low skilled work is particularly marked. We asked employers in low skilled sectors what free movement means to them and what they would do if the supply of […]

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    Turn out or else: do referendum campaigns actually change voters’ minds?

Turn out or else: do referendum campaigns actually change voters’ minds?

Over £9m has been spent on leaflets for all British household outlining the arguments in favour of remaining in the EU. But do campaign activities actually sway voters in referendums? Would campaigners do best to try to change minds, or simply motivate their supporters to turn out at the polls? Which arguments will prove decisive? Sara Hobolt and Sara Hagemann report […]

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    The generation gap: How young voters view the UK’s referendum

The generation gap: How young voters view the UK’s referendum

Opinion polls on the UK’s upcoming referendum have consistently shown a clear generational divide, with younger voters more likely to support staying in the EU than older citizens. Using recent survey data, James Sloam assesses the factors underpinning this split, noting that if young people have such a distinct position on the EU, it is important that their […]

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    Can we really not predict who will vote for Brexit, and where?

Can we really not predict who will vote for Brexit, and where?

In a recent Guardian article, Simon Jenkins suggested that voter decisions regarding the EU referendum will be made on the basis of gut instinct alone, and that personal characteristics and previous party support provide no guide. Using a new modelling strategy applied to a large body of YouGov opinion poll data, Ron Johnston, Kelvyn Jones and David Manley address Jenkins’ claim, and find it wanting. The young and the well-qualified […]

Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported
This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.